22nd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/18th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

8B.2

Simultaneous estimation of inflation and observational errors in Ensemble Kalman Filter

Hong Li, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and E. Kalnay

Based on statistics of “observations minus forecasts”, “observations minus analysis” and “analysis minus forecasts” (Desroziers et al., 2006), we develop a method to estimate online simultaneously observation error covariance and the optimal inflation for the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF). Experiments with perfect model simulations with the Lorenz (1996) and the global SPEEDY model show very promising results.

Session 8B, Ensemble Kalman Filter
Thursday, 28 June 2007, 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Summit B

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