Session 13A |
| | Ensemble Forecasts of Severe Weather |
| | Chair: Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK
|
| 1:30 PM | 13A.1 | Utility of Short-Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) guidance for forecasting the development of severe convection  
Jared L. Guyer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK ; and D. R. Bright |
| 1:45 PM | 13A.2 | Utilizing Short Range Ensemble Point Forecast Soundings for Severe Storms Forecasting
Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK ; and J. Hart, R. S. Schneider, D. R. Bright, and R. L. Thompson |
| 2:00 PM | 13A.3 | Using Short Range Ensemble Forecasts and High Resolution Model Guidance to Assess the Potential for Tornadoes across Southeast Virginia on 28 April 2008
Josh Korotky, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA; and R. Grumm |
| 2:15 PM | 13A.4 | Ensemble forecasts of severe convective events during spring 2007: Improvements from surface data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter
David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and N. Yussouf and D. C. Dowell |
| 2:30 PM | 13A.5 | Ensemble forecasts of severe convective storms
David C. Dowell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Stensrud |
| 2:45 PM | 13A.6 | Toward improved convection-allowing ensembles: Model physics sensitivities and optimizing probabilistic guidance with small ensemble membership
Craig S. Schwartz, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and J. S. Kain, D. R. Bright, S. J. Weiss, M. Xue, F. Kong, J. J. Levit, M. C. Coniglio, and M. S. Wandishin |