Session 17A
	Tropical Cyclone Intensity Change III: Statistical-Dynamical Forecast Methods
	Chair: John E. Molinari, University at Albany/SUNY, Albany, NY
	8:00 AM	17A.1	Merging statistical and dynamical forecasts for hurricane prediction   Malaquias Pena, SAIC and EMC/NCEP/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD
	8:15 AM	17A.2	A simplified dynamical system for tropical cyclone intensity evolution   Mark DeMaria, NOAA/NESDIS, Ft. Collins, CO
		17A.3	A Statistical Intensity Prediction Scheme for Tropical Cyclones in the Western North Pacific   Peiyan Chen, Shanghai Typhoon Institute/CMA, Shanghai, China; and H. Yu
	8:30 AM	17A.4	A simple parameterization of sea surface cooling beneath a hurricane inner core   Andrea Schumacher, CIRA/Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and M. DeMaria, I. Ginis, and B. Thomas
	8:45 AM	17A.5	The use of a SHIPS ensemble for probabilistic tropical cyclone intensity forecasts   Brian J. Etherton, University of North Carolina, Charlotte, NC; and M. DeMaria
	9:00 AM	17A.6	Examination of environmental characteristics associated with secondary eyewall formation and their implications on intensity forecasts   Matthew Sitkowski, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and J. P. Kossin
	9:15 AM	17A.7	Evaluating a revised 24-hour Atlantic statistical hurricane intensification model with operational numerical models   Kevin T. Law, Marshall University, Huntington, WV

Friday, 2 May 2008: 8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Palms GF

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Browse or search the entire meeting