Session: Probabilistic Forecasting/Ensembles. Part I (Joint between the Symposium on Forecasting the Weather and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean and the 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction) (ROOM 6A) (2004

Joint Session 6
	Probabilistic Forecasting/Ensembles. Part I (Joint between the Symposium on Forecasting the Weather and Climate of the Atmosphere and Ocean and the 20th Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction) (ROOM 6A)
	Chairpersons: Chris Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO; Chris Snyder, NCAR, Boulder, CO
	11:00 AM	J6.1	Toward an effective short-range ensemble forecast system F. Anthony Eckel, University of Washington and Air Force Weather Agency, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass and E. P. Grimit
	11:15 AM	J6.2	Multimodel fine-resolution ensembles for short-range forecasts in mountainous terrain Roland Stull, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada; and H. Modzelewski, X. Deng, Y. Zhou, L. Huang, T. Cannon, G. Hicks, II, D. Storey, M. Holmes, and J. Charbonneau
	11:30 AM	J6.3	Global ensemble forecast at NCEP—configuration, implementation and plan Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, R. Wobus, and M. Wei
	11:45 AM	J6.4	Ensemble augmentation with a new dressing kernel Xuguang Wang, Penn State University, University Park, PA; and C. H. Bishop
	12:00 PM	J6.5	Impacts of Resolution on Gridded Probability Thunderstorm Forecast Guidance Kathryn K. Hughes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. A. Trimarco

Tuesday, 13 January 2004: 11:00 AM-12:15 PM, Room 6A

Joint Session 6