Session 4 | |||
Bayesian Probability Forecasting (Room 602/603) | |||
| Chairpersons: Daniel S. Wilks, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO | |||
| 8:30 AM | 4.1 | Calibrated probabilistic mesoscale forecasting with ensembles via Bayesian model averaging Adrian E. Raftery, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and F. Balabdaoui and T. Gneiting | |
| 8:45 AM | 4.2 | Bayesian Processor of Output: A New Technique for Probabilistic Weather Forecasting  Roman Krzysztofowicz, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA | |
| 9:00 AM | 4.3 | Bayesian Processor of Output for Probabilistic Forecasting of Precipitation Occurrence Coire J. Maranzano, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA; and R. Krzysztofowicz | |
| 9:15 AM | 4.4 | Bayesian approach to decision making using ensemble weather forecasts Richard W. Katz, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Ehrendorfer | |
Wednesday, 14 January 2004: 8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Room 602/603