84th AMS Annual Meeting

Session 24: Forecast Uncertainty (ROOM 605/606)

Thursday, 15 January 2004: 3:30 PM-5:00 PM
Room 605/606
Organizer:  Nicholas A. Bond, JISAO/Univ. of Washington and NOAA/PMEL
Papers:
  3:30 PM
Predictive reliability and the scale-bridging capacity of nested models
Ana P. Barros, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and K. -. C. Harm and S. Chiao

  4:00 PM
Forecasting Mesoscale Uncertainty: Short-Range Ensemble Forecast Error Predictability
Eric P. Grimit, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. F. Mass

  4:15 PM
Spatial bias errors in the operational NCEP Eta model
Kimberly L. Elmore, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Schultz and M. Baldwin

  4:30 PM
The risks and rewards of high resolution and ensemble numerical weather prediction
Paul J. Roebber, University of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI; and D. M. Schultz, B. A. Colle, and D. J. Stensrud

  4:45 PM