* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Program Chairpersons:
Aiguo Dai, NCAR
John Roads, SIO/Univ. Of California
David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC

Compact View of Conference

Sunday, 20 January 2008
	7:30 AM-9:30 AM, Sunday Short Course Registration
	9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday Conference Registration
	12:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, Exhibit Hall B 7th Annual WeatherFest
Monday, 21 January 2008
	7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday Registration continues through Thursday, 24 January
	9:00 AM-10:15 AM, Monday, 215-216 Session 1A Adaptation to Climate Change
Organizers: Rosina Bierbaum, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI; Peter Backlund, NCAR, Boulder, CO Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
9:00 AM Overview: Rosina Bierbaum   9:15 AM 1A.1 Outcomes from the first National Summit on Coping with Climate Change   Peter Backlund, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Bierbaum 9:30 AM 1A.2 Management Options to help the water sector adapt to Climate Change   Kathy Jacobs, Arizona Water Institute, Tucson, AZ 10:00 AM 1A.3 Opportunities to Anticipate and Adapt to the Effects of Climate Change on Water Quality   Joel Scheraga, EPA, Washington, DC
	9:00 AM-10:15 AM, Monday, 217-218 Session 1B African Climate: I. Past and Future
Chair: Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
9:00 AM 1B.1 Holocene hydrological changes in North Africa (Invited)   Françoise Gasse Sr., CNRS-France, Aix-en-Provence, France 9:30 AM 1B.2 Regional projections of future changes in climate in tropical Africa under greenhouse gas forcing and land cover changes   Heiko Paeth, University of Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany; and M. Christoph and A. H. Fink 9:45 AM 1B.3 The relationship between temperature and precipitation in the Sahel as a diagnostic of land-atmosphere feedbacks of relevance to climate change   Alessandra Giannini, International Research Institute for Climate and Society/Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10:00 AM 1B.4 Forcing of Sahel rainfall change and variability in the CMIP models   Michela Biasutti, LDEO, Palisades, NY
	10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday Coffee Break (Mon a.m.)
	10:45 AM-11:45 AM, Monday, 215-216 Session 2A Adaptation to Climate Change (continued)
Chair: Rosina Bierbaum, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI
10:45 AM 2A.1 Energy Systems and Adaptation issues   Sue Tierney, Analysis Group, Inc., Boston, MA 11:15 AM 2A.2 The Nexus between Mitigation and Adaptation   John P. Holdren, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA
	10:45 AM-11:45 AM, Monday, 217-218 Session 2B African Climate: II. African Easterly Waves and Dust
Chair: William K. M. Lau, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
10:45 AM 2B.1 North African dust production: past, present and future (Invited)   Richard Washington, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom 11:00 AM 2B.2 Dust interaction with african climate (Invited)   Natalie Mahowald, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and M. Yoshioka and A. M. Sealy 11:15 AM 2B.3 On the generation mechanisms of African easterly waves (Invited)   Jen-Shan Hsieh, Department of Oceanography, Texas A & M University, College Station, TX; and K. H. Cook 11:30 AM 2B.4 Radar Observations of African Easterly Wave Convection During NAMMA   Robert Cifelli, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO; and T. Lang, S. A. Rutledge, B. Smull, and P. A. Kucera
	11:45 AM-1:30 PM, Monday Opening Plenary Session Featuring Mayor Nagin of New Orleans (Cash & Carry Lunch)
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, R02-R03 Joint Session 8 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Part I (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
1:30 PM J8.1 Downscaling hurricane climatologies from IPCC AR4 climate models: Results and uncertainties   Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA 1:45 PM J8.2 Is there a discernible anthropogenic impact on Atlantic hurricane activity?   Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ 2:00 PM J8.3 Global warming and tropical cyclone landfall frequency in East Asia   Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China 2:15 PM J8.4 Hurricanes and Global Warming: Expectations versus Observations   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/NWS/TPC/NHC, Miami, FL
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, 215-216 Session 3A African Climate: III. Convection and Synoptic Systems
Chair: Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
1:30 PM 3A.1 Intraseasonal and interannual variability of the characteristics of West African convective systems (Invited)   Karen I. Mohr, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft, C. J. Alonge, and W. -. K. Tao 1:45 PM 3A.2 Cycles of deep convection over central and southern Africa   A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. E. Carbone and V. Levizzani 2:00 PM 3A.3 A 3-4 day Convective Oscillation between East Africa and Equatorial Congo during Boreal Summer   Chris D. Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and A. Mekonnen 2:15 PM 3A.4 Convectively coupled Kelvin waves and convective systems over equatorial Africa   Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD), Paris, France; and J. P. Duvel
	1:30 PM-2:30 PM, Monday, 217-218 Session 3B Impacts of Climate Changes
Chair: David R. Easterling, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC
1:30 PM 3B.1 Climate Change and Chicago: Projections and Potential Impacts   Donald J. Wuebbles, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and K. Hayhoe 1:45 PM 3B.2 Analysis of weather patterns associated with air quality degradation and potential health impacts   Adel F. Hanna, Univ. of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, NC; and J. P. Pinto, Q. Meng, A. Xiu, P. J. Robinson, K. Yeatts, and Z. Zhu 2:00 PM 3B.3 An index to measure the influences of climate on residential natural gas demand   Ahira Sanchez-Lugo, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, D. Wuertz, and K. Hamilton 2:15 PM 3B.4 Simulated carbon losses from the land surface exceed emissions from fossil fuel burning   Paul A. T. Higgins, American Meteorological Society, Washington, DC
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (mon p.m.)
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B Joint Poster Session 3 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Poster Session (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ
JP3.1 An enhanced tropical cyclone data set for the Australian region   Blair Trewin, Australian Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, VIC, Australia   JP3.2 Chimeric Equatorial Waves as a Better Descriptor for “Convectively-Coupled Equatorial Waves”   Winston C. Chao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD   JP3.3 Variations of Atlantic tropical cyclones and climate change since the mid eighteenth century   Cary J. Mock, University of South Carolina, Columbia, SC; and M. Chenoweth, D. A. Glenn, S. F. Dodds, S. O. Holmberg, H. F. Young, J. Tanis, R. L. Murphy, L. J. Stroup, I. M. Altamirano, and C. W. Landsea   JP3.4 Understanding tropical cyclogenesis as part of NAMMA 2006: A case study of wave development (Debby) versus non development (Ernesto) in the eastern Atlantic   Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook   JP3.5 Investigating barotropic instability of the African Easterly Jet and its potential for development in the NASA fvGCM   Marangelly Fuentes, Howard University Program in Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and O. Reale and V. Morris   JP3.6 Atlantic hurricane increases and carbon dioxide rise   William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO   JP3.7 Influence of the Amazon/Orinoco plume on Atlantic hurricanes   Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and E. K. Vizy   JP3.8 Conversion from Shear to Curvature Vorticity, Organization of Convection, and Hurricane Genesis   Benjamin Schenkel, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and D. T. N. Krishnamurti, S. Pattnaik, M. K. Biswas, and A. Simon   JP3.9 Interdecadal variability of the typhoon activity in Autumn   Chih-Hua Tsou, Department of Earth Sciences, National Taiwan Normal University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. J. Lee   JP3.10 Relationships between the Madden-Julian Oscillation and Atlantic-East Pacific tropical cyclone activity   Bradford S. Barrett, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie   JP3.11 A typhoon loss estimation model for China   Peter J. Sousounis, AIR Worldwide Corporation, Boston, MA; and H. He, M. L. Healy, V. K. Jain, G. Ljung, Y. Qu, and B. Shen-Tu   JP3.12 Structure on eastward-moving cloud clusters in 2007 January MJO   Tetsuo Nakazawa, MRI, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan   JP3.13 The role of deep tropical convection on the distribution of water within the UTLS region   Maria R. Russo, Centre for Atmospheric Science, Cambridge, United Kingdom; and C. Chemel, J. A. Pyle, R. S. Sokhi, and C. Schiller   JP3.14 Transition from a Mixed Rossby-gravity Wave to a Tropical Cyclone   Xiaqiong Zhou, university of Hawaii, Honolulu, ID; and B. Wang, X. Ge, and Q. Ding   JP3.15 Modeling Studies of Island Induced Convective Activities in Puerto Rico Region   Melissa Sheffer, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao and I. Matos   JP3.16 Tropical Cyclone Induced Tornados Associated With The Formation of Tropical Storm Barry   Andrew Devanas, NOAA/NWS, Key WEst, FL; and P. Santos, D. Gregoria, and K. Kasper   JP3.17 Characterization of the Streamers over the Caribbean   Evelyn Rivera-Acevedo, Florida Institute of Technology, Melbourne, FL; and S. Chiao, O. Bermudez, and I. Matos   JP3.18 A Climatological Feature of Typhoon Making Landfall over the Korean Peninsula   Baek-Jo Kim, National Institute of Meteorological Research, Seoul, South Korea; and K. S. Choi   JP3.19 Exergetics of deep moist convection   Peter R. Bannon, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA   JP3.20 Taking the pulse of climate change: NOAA's TAO buoys go from “research” to “operational”   Phoebe Woodworth, NOAA, Honolulu, HI   JP3.21 Are tropical cyclones feeding more extreme rainfall events?   William K. M. Lau, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and Y. Zhou and J. H. -. T. Wu   JP3.22 Experiments on WRF Hurricane Initialization (WRF-HI) – An Approach Based on WRF Variational Data Assimilation of Remote-Sensing and Synthetic Observations   Qingnong Xiao, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and X. Zhang, Z. Liu, W. Wang, C. A. Davis, G. J. Holland, P. J. Fitzpatrick, Y. Li, C. Hill, and H. R. Winterbottom   JP3.23 Role of large-scale environment in the interannual variability of Australian region tropical cyclones   Hamish Andrew Ramsay, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie, P. J. Lamb, and M. Leplastrier   JP3.24 The Impacts of Dust and Humidity Fields on Atlantic Hurricane Activities   Donglian Sun, George Mason University, Fairfax, Viriginia; and M. Kafatos and Z. Boybeyi   JP3.25 Developing verse non-developing tropical disturbances for tropical cyclone formations   Melinda S. Peng, NRL, Monterey, CA; and B. Fu and T. Li   JP3.26 Reconciling water vapor fields measured by AIRS and HSB – A tropical case study using Hurricane Lili   Evan Fishbein, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and E. Fetzer and B. H. Lambrigtsen   JP3.27 Atmospheric teleconnections and Australian region tropical cyclone variability 1970–2005   Kevin H. Goebbert, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and L. M. Leslie   JP3.28 Observing hurricanes and severe storms with the GeoSTAR-PATH mission   Bjorn H. Lambrigtsen, JPL and California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA; and S. Brown JP3.29 PAPER WITHDRAWN   JP3.30 High-resolution upper air measurement from Cape Verde during NAMMA, the NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analyses Project   F. J. Schmidlin, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and B. J. Morrison, E. T. Northam, and T. M. Baldwin   JP3.31 Quantifying the Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Extreme Rainfall along the Coastal Southeastern United States   J. Marshall Shepherd, Univ. of Georgia, Athens, GA; and A. Grundstein and T. Mote   JP3.32 Distributions and trends of death and destruction from hurricanes in the United States, 1900-2006   Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL   JP3.33 Building capacity to forecast and respond to storm inundation in Hawaii   Wes Browning, NOAA/NWS/Honolulu Weather Forecast Office, Honolulu, HI   JP3.34 Education through interaction with data sets - Hurricane Katrina and the Integrated Data Viewer   Troy Allison, University of North Carolina Charlotte, Charlotte, NC; and S. O. Holmberg, B. J. Etherton, and J. Weber   JP3.35 Upper ocean thermal structure and the western North Pacific supertyphoons   I.-I. Lin, Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan; and I. F. Pun and C. C. Wu   JP3.36 Coastal observations of disturbed weather in Senegal during the 2006 NAMMA field campaign   Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and P. A. Kucera, E. Joseph, J. D. Fuentes, A. T. Gaye, J. Gerlach, F. Roux, A. Protat, D. Bouniol, and N. Viltard   JP3.37 An evaluation of long-term variability of tropical storm and hurricane activity in the Atlantic   Jose Maliekal, SUNY, Brockport, NY   JP3.38 Next Generation Airborne Hurricane Imaging Radiometer (HIRad) - Improved Forecast Skill with Wide Field Imagery   Linwood Jones, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL; and P. G. Black, S. S. Chen, R. E. Hood, J. W. Johnson, C. S. Ruf, A. Mims, and C. C. Hennon   JP3.39 On the Climatology of Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico   L. J. Pietrafesa, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and S. Bao, T. I. Yan, and D. Dickey   JP3.40 Possible climate impacts of Saharan dust on frequency and intensity of tropical cyclones   Kyu-Myong Kim, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD; and W. K. M. Lau   JP3.41 The utility of the ERA40 Cyclone Phase Space in Trend Diagnosis and North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Reanalysis   Danielle Manning, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart   JP3.42 The possible winter impact from recurving tropical cyclones   Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and L. F. Bosart and C. Hosler   JP3.43 Estimating local memory of tropical cyclones through MPI anomaly evolution   Robert Hart, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Maue and M. C. Watson   JP3.44 Analysis of the Wind Field Evolution Associated with the Extratropical Transition of Bonnie (1998)   Clark Evans, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart   JP3.45 Tropical cyclone trends and attribution from reanalysis datasets   Ryan N. Maue, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL; and R. Hart and M. A. Bourassa   JP3.46 Tropical Storm Debby and the SAL: A comparative analysis with TD 8 from the NAMMA 2006 field campaign   Aaron Pratt, Howard University, Washington, DC; and G. S. Jenkins   JP3.47 Are there regimes in Tropical Cyclone Activity in the North Atlantic?   S. D. Aberson, Hurricane Research Division, AOML, Miami, FL   JP3.49 NEXRAD in Space: A Solution to the Hurricane Intensity Prediction Problem   Gregory J. Tripoli, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and V. Chandrasekar, S. S. Chen, G. Holland, E. Im, R. Kakar, W. E. Lewis, F. D. Marks, A. Mugnai, E. A. Smith, and S. Tanelli JP3.48 PAPER WITHDRAWN     JP3.50 Characterization of the Saharan Air Layer (SAL) during NAMMA 2006 DC-8 Flight Missions   Tamara L. Battle, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins   JP3.51 The Role Played by Blocking over the Northern Hemisphere on Hurricane KATRINA   Dr. Yehia Yehia Hafez Sr., Cairo University, Giza, 12613, Egypt   JP3.52 NOAA's Hurricane Forecasting Improvement Project Plan   Fred Toepfer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B Poster Session 1 African Climate Poster Session
Chair: Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY
P1.1 Four-dimensional climate data sets of the AMMA special observing period-3   Leonard Druyan, NASA/GISS, New York, NY; and M. Fulakeza, P. Lonergan, and E. Noble   P1.2 Climatology and interannual variability of South African synoptic scale storms   Timothy Eichler, Saint Louis University, Saint Louis, Mo; and W. Higgins   P1.3 The impact of dynamic vegetation on dust and Sahel precipitation   Andrea M. Sealy, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and N. Mahowald   P1.4 East African temperature variations and their possible causes   J. R. Christy, Earth System Science Center, Huntsville, AL; and W. B. Norris and R. T. McNider   P1.5 A reexamination of the statistical relationships between West African precipitation anomalies and Atlantic hurricane activity   Jon M. Schrage, Creighton Univ., Omaha, NE; and A. H. Fink   P1.6 Genesis of African Easterly Waves   Chris D. Thorncroft, University at Albany, SUNY, Albany, NY; and N. M. J. Hall and G. N. Kiladis   P1.7 Subseasonal prediction of cumulative precipitation over the Sahel with the NCEP Climate Forecasting System   Augustin Vintzileos, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, VA; and W. M. Thiaw   P1.8 Convectively coupled Kelvin waves over tropical Africa during the boreal summer: Structure and variability   Ademe Mekonnen, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft and G. N. Kiladis   P1.9 Index insurance for drought in the Millennium Villages Project   M. Neil Ward, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and E. M. Holthaus and A. Siebert   P1.10 Annual cycle of the Saharan heat low and its role in the coupled West African monsoon system   Thi Thuy Hanh Nguyen, SUNY Albany, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft, C. Zhang, and P. Peyrille   P1.11 Statistical characterization of the dry spell risk during the west African monsoon from meteorological station data   Asher Siebert, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and N. Ward, O. Ndiaye, and P. Kangah   P1.12 Impacts of dust on West African climate during 2005 and 2006   Moctar Camara, Howard University, Washington, DC; and G. Jenkins and A. Konare   P1.13 A climatology of African warm-season rainfall episodes based on a combined IR/MW precipitation estimate approach   Samantha Melani, LaMMA -Institute of Biometeorology (IBIMET-CNR), Sesto Fiorentino, Firenze, Italy; and A. Antonini, V. Levizzani, R. Ginnetti, M. Pasqui, A. Ortolani, A. G. Laing, and R. E. Carbone   P1.14 A Synoptic and Structural Analysis of the 11 September 2006 West African Squall Line   Jonathan Smith, Howard University, Washington, DC; and M. Delonge, S. Chan, A. Diop, B. Koltz, D. Grant, S. Diatta, S. Salak, and T. Fall   P1.15 Possible Interactions between a West African Squall Line Event and the SAL   Aaron Pratt, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and T. L. Battle, D. Robertson, and B. Dickey   P1.16 Interactions of the West African Monsoon circulation and the Tropical Atlantic SSTs in a coupled regional climate model   Samson M. Hagos, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York; and K. H. Cook   P1.17 The effect of dust optical properties on surface radiative energy budget and atmospheric thermodynamics during Pirata/Aerose-III   Adrian Flores, NOAA Center for Atmospheric Sciences, Washington, DC; and E. Joseph, N. R. Nalli, and V. Morris   P1.18 Wavelet-Based Monthly-to-Seasonal Rainfall Predictions for Ethiopia   Zewdu Segele, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. J. Lamb and L. M. Leslie
	2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall B Poster Session 2 General Climate Studies: Poster Session
CoChair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA Chair: J. Roads, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA
P2.1 The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: A Synthesis of the Fourth Assessment Report   Harvey Stern, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic., Australia   P2.2 Attribution of extreme variability of temperature to major teleconnections and development of probabilistic aides for decision makers using logistic regression: a case stduy of a Florida frost hollow   Bartlett C. Hagemeyer, NOAA/NWS, Melbourne, FL   P2.5 Impacts of Climate Change on Energy Demand in Greater Dublin Region, Ireland   Xiaochen Liu, Department of Geography, National University of Ireland Maynooth, Maynooth, Ireland; and J. Sweeney P2.3 PAPER WITHDRAWN   P2.4 Stratocumulus sensitivity to aerosols and dynamics   Guillaume Sadler Mauger, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. R. Norris   P2.6 A new satellite derived precipitation data set for studying trends in extreme events   Ralph R. Ferraro, NOAA/NESDIS, College Park, MD; and T. Smith, M. Sapiano, R. Joseph, and H. Meng   P2.7 Use of climate data to further enhance quality assurance of Oklahoma Mesonet observations   Peter K. Hall Jr., Oklahoma Mesonet, Norman, OK; and C. R. Morgan, A. D. Gartside, N. E. Bain, R. Jabrzemski, and C. A. Fiebrich   P2.8 The European Heat Wave & Drought Event of 2003   Jason R. Webster, Creighton University, Omaha, NE   P2.9 Analyses and Comparisons of Two Reanalyses for Tropical Monthly v -component wind field   Yujing Qin, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and P. Wang P2.10 PAPER WITHDRAWN     P2.11 Upwelling and Coastal Climate Variability in Southern California, 1998-2007: A Return to the Cool Phase of Pacific Decadal Oscillation?   Pedro Ramirez, California State University, Los Angeles, CA; and S. LaDochy and W. C. Patzert   Poster P2.12 has been moved. New paper number 13A.4A     P2.13 Two types of strong Northeast Asian summer monsoon   Jung-Eun Kim, Yonsei Univ., Seoul, South Korea; and S. W. Yeh and S. Y. Hong   P2.14 The global increase in blocking occurrences   Anthony R. Lupo, University of Missouri - Columbia, Columbia, MO; and J. V. Clark, K. Puricelli, and A. S. Kelly   P2.15 Characteristics of boundary-layer decoupling and cloud properties revealed   David K. Mansbach, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. R. Norris   P2.16 Science policy changes are necessary for information archival to support producing long term climate data records from remote sensing data   Albert J. Fleig, PITA Analytic Sciences, Bethesda, MD   P2.17 Covariate analysis of severe weather across Australia   Stephanie M. Verbout, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. H. Goebbert, L. M. Leslie, M. Leplastrier, and A. Gero   P2.18 Recent trend of Hadley and Walker circulation shown in water vapor transport potential   Seong-Chan Park, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul, South Korea; and B. J. Sohn   P2.19 Diurnal and seasonal wind variability for selected stations in southern california climate regions   Charles J. Fisk, Naval Base Ventura County, Point Mugu, CA., Point Mugu, California   P2.20 Does the Madden-Julian Oscillation Influence Aerosol Variability?   Baijun Tian, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, R. A. Kahn, Q. Li, Y. Yung, T. Tyranowski, I. Geogdzhayev, M. I. Mishchenko, and O. Torres   P2.21 Examination of Canadian Climate Immediately after Sept. 11, 2001   William A. Van Wijngaarden, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada   P2.22 Shortwave aerosol radiative effect over the global oceans using GOCART and satellite data   Thomas A. Jones, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and S. A. Christopher   P2.23 Temperature extremes variability in the south of South America in relation to Atlantic SST and the Southern Annular Mode   Mariana Barrucand, CONICET/Departamento de Ciencias de la Atmósfera y los Océanos (FCEN-UBA), Buenos Aires, Argentina; and M. Rusticucci and W. Vargas   P2.24 The influence of urbanization on precipitation patterns in the Dallas/Fort Worth (DFW) Metroplex since 1900   Anna Marie Nordfelt, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and S. M. Quiring   P2.25 Analysis of historical surface temperature data across a heterogeneous landscape in lower Mississippi river valley   Jiale Xu, Mississippi State University, Mississippi State, MS; and V. Anantharaj, Q. Lu, and U. S. Nair   P2.26 From Climate Variability to Climate Change: Challenges and Opportunities to Agricultural Extension   Clyde William Fraisse, Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and N. E. Breuer, D. F. Zierden, and K. T. Ingram   P2.27 Teleconnection between the precipitation rates over the Red Sea and El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)   Dr. Yehia Yehia Hafez Sr., Cairo University, Giza, Egypt; and M. El - Rafy   P2.28 Characterizing the Vertical Latent Heating Structure of the MJO using TRMM   Duane Edward Waliser, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and X. Jiang, J. L. Li, B. Tian, W. S. Olson, M. Grecu, W. -. K. Tao, S. E. Lang, A. M. Tompkins, and T. S. L'Ecuyer   P2.29 Isolating non-ENSO signals in the historical climate record   Prashant Sardeshmukh, Climate Diagnostics Center/CIRES/University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and G. P. Compo   P2.30 Pacific Pan-decadal Variability in observation, reanalyses and IPCC AR4 CGCM simulations   Junye Chen, Univ. of Maryland/ESSIC & NASA/GSFC/GMAO, Greenbelt, MD; and H. Wang, A. D. Del Genio, B. Carlson, and M. G. Bosilovich   P2.31 The tropical Pacific barrier layer's multi-temporal scale variability and its thermodynamic effects   Qiuxia Wu, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China; and Y. Yin   P2.32 Seasonal Rainfall and ENSO over the Tropical Pacific Region   Luke He, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and E. Olenic and D. A. Unger
	4:00 PM-4:30 PM, Monday, R02-R03 Joint Session 9 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Part II (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Chair: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
4:00 PM J9.1 Quantifying the uncertainty in hurricane response to climate fluctuations and trends   Greg Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO 4:15 PM J9.2 Hurricane variability and trends: The varying roles of sea surface temperature   James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, 215-216 Session 4A African Climate: IV. West Africa
Chair: Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
4:00 PM 4A.1 A comparison of coastal radio sounding stations during NAMMA-06   Gregory S. Jenkins, Howard Univ., Washington, DC; and S. Sall, A. T. Gaye, D. Badiane, F. Kebe, M. Camara, and E. Joseph 4:15 PM 4A.2 Dynamics of the West African monsoon jump   Kerry H. Cook, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. M. Hagos, J. F. Newman, and E. K. Vizy 4:30 PM 4A.3 West Africa Desert Locust infestations: connections with regional atmospheric circulation patterns   Chiara Vallebona, CNR, Firenze, Italy; and A. Crisci, A. Di Vecchia, L. Genesio, G. Maracchi, and M. Pasqui 4:45 PM 4A.4 Evolution of latent heating profiles of the West African Monsoon   C. Zhang, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and S. M. Hagos and G. Gu 5:00 PM 4A.5 Seasonal evolution of the West African Heat Low: a climatological perspective   Christophe Lavaysse, CNRS, Paris, France; and C. Flamant, S. Janicot, J. P. Lafore, D. J. Parker, and J. Pelon 5:15 PM 4A.6 Intraseasonal Variability in the Equatorial Atlantic-West Africa during March-June   Guojun Gu, NASA/GSFC and Univ. of Maryland Baltimore County, Greenbelt, MD
	4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, 217-218 Session 4B Impacts of Climate Changes (continued)
Chair: Juliane Fry, UC, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA
4:00 PM 4B.1 Multi-catchment investigation of the impacts of climate change on hydrology in Ireland   Susan C. Dunne, University College Dublin, Dublin, Ireland; and R. McGrath, P. Lynch, T. Semmler, S. Wang, J. A. Hanafin, and P. Nolan 4:15 PM 4B.2 Projected climate change impacts on lakes/wetlands extent and their hydrologic processes in Michigan State   Vimal Mishra, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and K. A. Cherkauer and L. C. Bowling 4:30 PM 4B.3 Refinements in index insurance pricing via dendroclimatology, in the context of a nonstationary background state   Arthur M. Greene, IRI = International Research Institute for Climate and Society (The Earth Institute, Columbia University), Palisades, NY; and D. Osgood and L. Goddard 4:45 PM 4B.4 Impacts of weather and climate on commercial motor vehicles   Michael A. Rossetti, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and M. Johnsen 5:00 PM 4B.5 Climate variability and change with implications for transportation   Thomas C. Peterson, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and M. McGuirk, T. G. Houston, A. Horvitz, and M. F. Wehner 5:15 PM 4B.6 Climate Change / Climate Variability, System Vulnerability and Planning for Adaptive Strategies   T.N. Balasubramanian, M.S.Swaminathan Research Foundation, Chennai, TamilNadu, India; and A. A. Nambi
	4:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday, R02-R03 Joint Panel Discussion 1 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Panel Discussion: Kossin, Landsea, Holland, Chan, Emanuel, Knutson (Joint between the Tropical Meteorology Special Symposium and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Panelists: Kerry A. Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; Christopher Landsea, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/TPC, Miami, FL; James P. Kossin, CIMSS/Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; Thomas R. Knutson, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ; Johnny C. L. Chan, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong China; Greg J. Holland, NCAR, Boulder, CO Moderator: Hugh E. Willoughby, Florida International University, Miami, FL
4:30 PM JPD1.1 Tropical Cyclones and Climate Change Panel Discussion   Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and C. Landsea, J. Kossin, T. R. Knutson, J. C. L. Chan, and G. Holland   Hugh E. Willoughby     Christopher Landsea     James P. Kossin     Thomas R. Knutson     Johnny C. L. Chan     Greg J. Holland
	5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday, Exhibit Hall A Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
Tuesday, 22 January 2008
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, 224 Joint Session 1 Land-Atmosphere Interactions (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
8:30 AM J1.1 Analysis of Large Scale Spatial Variability of Soil Moisture Data using a Geostatistical Method   Tarendra Lakhankar, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and A. S. Jones, C. L. Combs, M. Sengupta, and T. H. Vonder Haar 8:45 AM J1.2 Analysis and Verification of Soil Water Content Measurements from the Oklahoma Mesonet   Aaron M. Gleason, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara 9:00 AM J1.3 Analysis of Surface Energy Budget Data Over Varying Land-Cover Conditions   John B. Barr, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara, W. P. Kustas, and J. H. Prueger 9:15 AM J1.4 Replicating horizontal variability in latent and sensible heat flux over a heterogeneous surface: The IHOP_2002 Western Track   Margaret LeMone, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Tewari, F. Chen, J. G. Alfieri, and D. Niyogi 9:30 AM J1.5 The structure of the convective boundary layer in and around Oklahoma City   Kodi L. Nemunaitis, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. Basara
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, 215-216 Session 5A African Climate: V. Eastern and Southern Africa
Chair: Chidong Zhang, University of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL
8:30 AM 5A.1 Abrupt rainfall transitions over the Greater Horn of Africa: observations and regional model simulations   Emily E. Riddle, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook 8:45 AM 5A.2 The role of upper tropospheric easterly waves on the synoptic time scale convection over East Africa   Ademe Mekonnen, SUNY, Albany, NY; and C. D. Thorncroft 9:00 AM 5A.3 Monsoon breaks over northern Africa: Role of cold air surges   Edward K. Vizy, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook 9:15 AM 5A.4 Why did the southern Africa teleconnection “hang up” during the 1997-98 El Niño?   Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY; and S. J. Mason 9:30 AM 5A.5 A regional climate modeling study of climate change over the Greater Horn of Africa   Jared Bowden, North Carolina State Univ., Raleigh, NC; and F. H. M. Semazzi
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, 217-218 Session 5B General Climate Studies: Observations I
Chair: Edward A. O'Lenic, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD
8:30 AM 5B.1 Thermal Structure and Variability of the Tropical Tropopause Layer Derived from AIRS Observations   Baijun Tian, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and E. J. Fetzer, D. E. Waliser, and B. H. Lambrigtsen 8:45 AM 5B.2 AIRS-based atmospheric parameter climatologies: a high quality tool for monitoring short-, and longer-term climate variabilities and “trends”   Gyula I. Molnar, GEST/Univ. of Maryland, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Susskind 9:00 AM 5B.3 Global Climatology of Tropospheric CO from the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS)   Wallace McMillan, University of Maryland Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD; and L. Yurganov, K. Evans, and C. D. Barnet 9:15 AM 5B.4 Estimation of top of the atmosphere global aerosol direct radiative effect using CERES, MODIS and MISR   Falguni Patadia, Univ. of Alabama, Huntsville, AL; and P. Gupta and S. A. Christopher 9:30 AM 5B.5 Calculating cloud feedbacks from changes in temperature using daily satellite and reanalysis data   Neil D. Gordon, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. R. Norris
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (Tue a.m.)
	9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall B Joint Poster Session 1 Land-Atmosphere Interactions (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
JP1.1 Assessing the Performance of CLASS in the Canadian Regional Climate Model   Edmond Chan, EC, Toronto, ON, Canada; and M. MacKay and D. Verseghy   JP1.2 Evapotranspiration over an irrigated cotton field   Haimei Jiang, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and S. Liu and H. P. Liu   JP1.3 ENSO based low-frequency precipitation and nutrient load oscillations in the Little River Watershed, Georgia   Victoria W. Keener, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL; and G. Feyereisen, J. W. Jones, and U. Lall   JP1.4 Korea land data assimilation system (KLDAS) and its application using WRF   Yoon-Jin Lim, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea; and T. Y. Lee and K. Y. Byun   JP1.5 Evaluating NARR surface variables and NLDAS using observations from the Oklahoma Mesonet   Justin W. Monroe, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and J. B. Basara and D. L. Toll   JP1.6 Evaluating land-atmosphere interactions in climate models using high-frequency ARM observations   Thomas J. Phillips, LLNL, Livermore, CA; and J. S. Boyle, J. J. Hnilo, S. A. Klein, G. L. Potter, and S. Xie   JP1.7 Impacts of global climate change on the surface energy budget and water balances in the past 50 years   Li Sheng, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and S. Liu and H. P. Liu   JP1.8 Evaluation of different Approaches for Estimating Evaporation over an open Water Surface   Yu Zhang, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and H. Jiang, L. Sheng, H. Liu, and Q. L. Williams   JP1.9 Do Clouds Follow Deforestation Over the Amazon?   Frederic J. F. Chagnon, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and R. L. Bras, J. Wang, E. Williams, A. K. Betts, N. O. Renno, L. A. T. Machado, R. Knox, and G. Bisht
	11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall A Exhibits Open (Tuesday)
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, 215-216 Session 6A African Climate: VI. Modeling Studies
Chair: A. G. Laing, NCAR, Boulder, CO
11:00 AM 6A.1 Modeling the semi-arid Sahel Climate West African -- Monsoon Modeling and Evaluation (WAMME) Initiative and its first set of experiments (Invited)   Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and W. K. M. Lau, K. H. Cook, and A. WAMME Team 11:15 AM 6A.2 Variability of the West African monsoon system in the new NCEP CFS model   Wassila M. Thiaw, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and V. B. Kumar, K. C. Mo, and A. Vintzileos 11:30 AM 6A.3 How do the large-scale models represent the West African Monsoon mean state and variability (the AMMA-MIP experiment)?   Alessandro Dell'Aquila, ENEA, Roma, Italy; and F. Favot, F. Guichard, F. Hourdin, S. Janicot, T. Losada, I. Musat, R. Roca, and P. M. Ruti 11:45 AM 6A.4 Simulation of West African Monsoon in a set of atmospheric general circulation model uncoupled/ coupled to ocean models of varying complexity   Sylwia Trzaska, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and D. Dewitt and D. Lee
	11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, 217-218 Session 6B General Climate Studies: Observations II
Chair: Bradfield Lyon, International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Palisades, NY
11:00 AM 6B.1 Intercomparisons of AIRS, AMSR-E, and CloudSat for improving GPCP high-latitude precipitation estimates   Eric J. Nelkin, SSAI and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and G. J. Huffman, R. F. Adler, D. T. Bolvin, J. Susskind, and J. M. Haynes 11:15 AM 6B.2 Assessment of high latitude GPCP Version 2 monthly and One-Degree Daily precipitation estimates using ground-based observations   David T. Bolvin, SSAI and NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and R. F. Adler, G. J. Huffman, and E. J. Nelkin 11:30 AM 6B.3 A new global analysis of precipitation   Mathew R. P. Sapiano, Cooperative Institute for Climate Studies (CICS/UMD), College Park, MD; and T. Smith and P. A. Arkin 11:45 AM 6B.4 Precipitation reanalysis/reconstructions based on satellite and in situ data   Phillip A. Arkin, University of Maryland, College Park, MD; and T. Smith and M. R. P. Sapiano
	12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday, La Louisiane Presidental Forum: Hurricane Katrina: Looking Back to Look Ahead (Cash & Carry) (Presidental Forum will run parallel to the other sessions throughout the afternoon)
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, 215-216 Session 7A General Climate Studies: Observations III
Chair: Baijun Tian, JPL, Pasadena, CA
1:30 PM 7A.1 Satellite retrieval of land surface temperature: challenges and opportunities   Ana C. T. Pinheiro, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC (STG, Inc contractor), Asheville, NC; and J. L. Privette, J. J. Bates, and J. Pedelty 1:45 PM 7A.2 Comparison of Temperature in the Lower Stratosphere from Microwave Measurements using COSMIC Radio Occultation Data: the Early Results   Shu-peng Ho, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Kuo, M. D. Goldberg, C. Z. Zou, and W. S. Schreiner 2:00 PM 7A.3 The annual cycle of surface radiation budget over Europe   Pamela E. Mlynczak, SSAI, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and R. Hollmann 2:15 PM 7A.4 A Global Monthly Land Surface Air Temperature Analysis for 1948-present   Yun Fan, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC/RSIS, Camp Springs, MD; and H. van den Dool 2:30 PM 7A.5 The climate of 2007 in historical perspective   Jay Lawrimore, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and R. Heim, D. H. Levinson, A. Sanchez-Lugo, D. Wuertz, L. Love-brotak, and E. Godfrey 2:45 PM 7A.6 Does it rain more on weekends?   David M. Schultz, University of Helsinki and Finnish Meteorological Institute, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland; and S. Mikkonen, A. Laaksonen, and M. B. Richman
	1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, 217-218 Session 7B Climate of 20th Century (C20C) Part I
Organizers: Chris K. Folland, United Kingdom Meteorological Office, Exeter, Devon United Kingdom; James L. Kinter, III, COLA, Washington, DC Chair: James L. Kinter, III, COLA, Washington, DC
1:30 PM 7B.1 The CLIVAR C20C modelling project: selected 20th century changes   Adam A. Scaife, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and F. Kucharski, C. K. Folland, J. L. Kinter, D. Fereday, S. Grainger, K. E. Jin, J. Knight, S. Kusunoki, M. J. Nath, T. Nakaegawa, P. Pegion, S. D. Schubert, P. Sporyshev, J. Syktus, A. Voldoire, J. H. Yoon, and T. Zhou 1:45 PM 7B.2 The CLIVAR C20C project: Decadal and interannual Indian rainfall variability   Fred Kucharski, Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy; and A. A. Scaife, J. H. Yoo, C. K. Folland, J. L. Kinter, D. Fereday, K. E. Jin, M. J. Nath, P. Pegion, P. V. Sporyshev, A. Voldoire, J. H. Yoon, and T. Zhou 2:00 PM 7B.3 Simulating the Actual Climate of the 20th Century with a coupled GCM   Meizhu Fan, George Mason University/COLA, Calverton, MD; and E. K. Schneider 2:15 PM 7B.4 Tropical belt expansion observed during the late 20th century and relation to 21st century climate model projections   Dian J. Seidel, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and Q. Fu, R. D. Hudson, W. J. Randel, and T. Reichler 2:30 PM 7B.5 Annual cycle of the tropical intraseasonal oscillation simulated by CAM3 with a modified convection scheme   Min Dong, Beijing Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China; and T. Wu and G. J. Zhang 2:45 PM 7B.6 Changes in cloudiness and related variables over Russia, 1950–2000   Garrett P. Marino, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA; and D. Kaiser
	1:45 PM-2:45 PM, Tuesday, 224 Joint Session 2 Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part II (Joint between the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change and the 22nd Conference on Hydrology)
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
1:45 PM J2.2 Effects of environmental factors on evaporation over an open water surface in Mississippi, U.S.A   Heping Liu, Jackson State University, Jackson, MS; and Y. Zhang, L. Sheng, and H. Jiang J2.1 The Lake-Atmosphere Turbulent EXchanges (LATEX) field measurement campaign   Elie Bou-Zeid, Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland; and N. Vercauteren, H. Huwald, U. Lemmin, C. Meneveau, J. Selker, and M. B. Parlange 2:00 PM J2.3 Signatures of land-atmosphere feedback in a 360-year tree-ring record   Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and H. C. Fritts and M. Suarez 2:15 PM J2.4 North American Snow Depth Responses to Climate   Yan Ge, Columbia University, New York, NY; and G. Gong 2:30 PM J2.5 Snow and warming   Philip W. Mote, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and R. Brown
	3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday, Exhibit Hall A Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall (tues p.m.)
	3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Tuesday, 224 Joint Session 3 Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part III (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
CoChair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA Chair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
3:30 PM J3.1 Using photosynthesis-based canopy resistance model and new MODIS-based data to improve the presentation of vegetation transpiration in the Noah land surface model   Anil Kumar, NCAR / Purdue University, Boulder, CO; and F. Chen, D. Niyogi, J. G. Alfieri, K. Manning, M. Ek, and K. Mitchell 3:45 PM J3.2 Minimum canopy resistance for croplands and grasslands during the 2002 International H2O Project   Joseph G. Alfieri, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN; and D. Niyogi, P. D. Blanken, F. Chen, M. Ek, A. Kumar, M. A. LeMone, and K. Mitchell 4:00 PM J3.3 Controlling factors and uncertainty in dynamic vegetation modeling at seasonal and interannual scales – a study using the SSiB4/TRIFFID   Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA; and Z. Zhang and P. M. Cox 4:15 PM J3.4 Evaluation of GCM surface processes over West Africa using offline land surface models and observations   Aaron A. Boone, CNRM, Toulouse, Midi-Pyrenees, France; and I. Poccard-Leclercq and Y. K. Xue 4:30 PM J3.5 Impact of Different Surface Layer Schemes and Snow Albedo Formulations on Cold-season Simulations by the Noah Land-surface Model   Michael Ek, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell, Y. Xia, V. Wong, A. Slater, and B. Livneh 4:45 PM J3.6 An Observation-Based Formulation of Snow Cover Fraction and Its Evaluation over Large North American River Basins   Guo-Yue Niu, University of Texas, Austin, TX; and Z. L. Yang 5:00 PM J3.7 Mass balance of the Haig Glacier using mesoscale modeling   Amanda S. Adams, Univ. of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada; and S. Marshall
	3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, 215-216 Session 8A General Climate Studies: Variability (ENSO, MJO, NAO, etc.)
Chair: Gerald L. Potter, LLNL, Livermore, CA
3:30 PM 8A.1 A Two-Oscillator View of ENSO and Its Decadal Modulation   Jin-Yi Yu, University of California-Irvine, Irvine, CA; and H. Y. Kao and F. Sun 3:45 PM 8A.2 Recent intensification of ENSO-MJO interaction   Jong-Seong Kug, Climate Environment System Research Center, Seoul, South Korea; and F. F. Jin, A. Timmermann, and I. S. Kang 4:00 PM 8A.3 Thermodynamic balance and changes to the regional circulation during the monsoon onset   Roop K. Saini, University of Massachusetts - Lowell, Lowell, MA; and M. Barlow 4:15 PM 8A.4 Intraseasonal teleconnection between the summer Eurasian wavetrain and the Indian monsoon   Qinghua Ding, Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang 4:30 PM 8A.5 Examination of the relationship between snow cover anomalies over the Tibetan Plateau and East Asian summer monsoon onsets using MODIS satellite snow mapping and NCEP/DOE reanalysis data   Li Xu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT; and Z. Pu 4:45 PM 8A.6 The Southwestern Monsoon in California as indicated by GPS precipitable water   James D. Means, SIO/Univ. Of California, La Jolla, CA; and D. R. Cayan 5:00 PM 8A.7 Does upper and middle tropospheric relative humidity (RH) remain constant as global temperatures rise?   William M. Gray, Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO 5:15 PM 8A.8 Nonlinear Time Series Modelling of Lahore's Precipitation   Muhammad Jawed Iqbal, Universityy, Karachi 75270, Pakistan; and M. S. Khan
	3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, 217-218 Session 8B Climate Prediction
Chair: Aiguo Dai, NCAR, Boulder, CO
3:30 PM 8B.1 Low Emission Future Climate Change Simulations   Warren M. Washington, NCAR, Boulder, CO 3:45 PM 8B.2 Smoke and mirrors: Is geoengineering a solution to global warming?   Luke Oman, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and A. Robock and G. L. Stenchikov 4:00 PM 8B.3 Future mid-latitude summer drought: contrasts between North America and Europe   David P. Rowell, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom 4:15 PM 8B.4 Future Climate of the North Pacific as Projected by IPCC-AR4 Models   Muyin Wang, University of Washington, Seattle,, WA; and J. E. Overland 4:30 PM 8B.5 An assessment of ENSO-driven potential predictability implied by coupled GCM experiments with prescribed Eastern Tropical Pacific SSTs   Dong Eun Lee, Columbia University, Palisades, NY; and D. G. Dewitt 4:45 PM 8B.6 Assessing the Skill of an All-season Statistical Forecast Model for the Madden-Julian Oscillation   Xianan Jiang, JPL, Pasadena, CA; and D. E. Waliser, M. C. Wheeler, C. Jones, M. I. Lee, and S. Schubert 5:00 PM 8B.7 Verification of hemispheric-wide winter temperature forecasts based on fall snow and atmospheric anomalies   Judah Cohen, AER, Lexington, MA; and C. Fletcher 5:15 PM 8B.8 The Impact of air-sea coupling on boreal winter predictability in the Indo-Pacific   Kathy Pegion, COLA, Calverton, MD
Wednesday, 23 January 2008
	8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday, R08-R09 Joint Panel Discussion 2 Enhancing the Connectivity between Research and Applications for the Benefit of Society Part II (Joint between the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, the 10th Conference on Atmospheric Chemistry, the The Committee on Applied Climatology, the The Board on the Urban Environment, the The Measurements STAC, the 15th Joint Conference on the Applications of Air Pollution Meteorology with the A&WMA, and the Third Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research)
Panelists: Henry Reges, CoCoRaHS/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; Kenneth Schere, NOAA/ERL/ARL, Research Triangle Park, NC; S. Pal S. Arya, Department of marine, earth and atmospheric sciences, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; Heidi Cullen, The Weather Channel/Georgia Institute of Technology, Boulder, CO; Anthony Brazel, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ; John T. Snow, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK Moderator: David M. Schultz, Univ. of Helsinki/Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki Finland
David M. Schultz     Henry Reges     Kenneth Schere     S. Pal S. Arya     Heidi Cullen     Anthony Brazel     John T. Snow     Panel Discussion
	8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, 224 Joint Session 4 Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part IV (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
CoChair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
8:30 AM J4.1 Initialization of LSM in JMANHM   Daisuke Miura, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and M. Oh'Izumi 8:45 AM J4.2 Stratosphere-troposphere coupling and links with Eurasian land-surface variability   Judah Cohen, AER, Lexington, MA; and M. Barlow, P. Kushner, and K. Saito 9:00 AM J4.3 Summer Season Predictions with the NCEP Coupled Forecast System Using Different Land Models and Different Initial Land States   Rongqian Yang, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell, J. Meng, H. Wei, and G. Gayno 9:15 AM J4.4 The Impact of using GLDAS/Noah initial land states on GFS Forecasts   Helin Wei, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mitchell and J. Meng 9:30 AM J4.5 Soil Moisture, Evaporation and Convection: Do better land surface initial conditions produce a better precipitation forecast?   Christa D. Peters-Lidard, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. J. Alonge, J. A. Santanello, S. V. Kumar, J. L. Eastman, W. K. Tao, and J. J. Shi 9:45 AM J4.6 Verification of NAEFS land-surface forecasts   Wanru Wu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and K. Mo
	8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, 215-216 Session 9A General Climate Studies: Climate Dynamics
Chair: Toshiaki Shinoda, NOAA-CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO
8:30 AM 9A.1 Zonal jet structure and the leading mode of variability   Dennis L. Hartmann, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and S. J. Eichelberger 8:45 AM 9A.2 Evolution and Structures of Tropical Instability Waves in the Pacific Ocean and Its Interannual Variation   Toshiaki Shinoda, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS; and G. Kiladis and P. E. Roundy 9:00 AM 9A.3 An investigation of cold-air cyclogenesis along the East Coast of the United States   Christopher J. Warren, Plymouth State Univ., Plymouth, NH; and E. G. Hoffman 9:15 AM 9A.4 Impact of Polar night jet on the Ural blocking circulation in boreal winter   Wen Zhou, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; and L. Wang, W. Chen, J. Chan, and R. H. Huang 9:30 AM 9A.5 Dynamical aspects of the 1993 upper Mississippi River Basin floods   Ana M. B. Nunes, SIO/Univ. of California, La Jolla, CA; and J. Roads 9:45 AM 9A.6 Indian ocean influences on North Atlantic climate   Prashant Sardeshmukh, CDC/CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and S. I. Shin
	8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Wednesday, 217-218 Session 9B Climate of the 20th Century (C20C) Part II
Chair: Adam A. Scaife, Hadley Centre, Met Office, Exeter, Devon United Kingdom
8:30 AM 9B.1 The evolution of ENSO-monsoon relationship in GCM experiments   Emilia Kyung Jin, COLA, Calverton, MD; and J. L. Kinter 8:45 AM 9B.2 Understanding variations in ENSO impacts through a pacemaker ensemble   Benjamin A. Cash, COLA, Calverton, MD 9:00 AM 9B.3 ENSO teleconnections in the South Pacific extratropical atmospheric circulation in the HADAM3 general circulation model   Steve Harangozo, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, Cambs, United Kingdom 9:15 AM 9B.4 The enhanced PNA-like climate response to Pacific interannual and decadal variability   Bin Yu, AES, Toronto, ON, Canada; and F. W. Zwiers and A. Shabbar 9:30 AM 9B.5 The North Pacific Oscillation/West Pacific teleconnection pattern: Mature phase structure   Megan Linkin, Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD; and S. Nigam 9B.6 Why did the Western Pacific Subtropical High experience a westward extension in the past decades?   Tianjun Zhou, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China; and R. Yu, J. Zhang, and H. Drange 9:45 AM 9B.6A East Asian Summer Monsoon's Response to SST, Greenhouse Gas, and Aerosol Forcings   Hongmei Li, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Dai, T. Zhou, R. Yu, and J. Lu
	10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break (Wed a.m.)
	10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday, 230 Joint Session 10 Climate Policy, Vulnerability, and Adaptation (Joint between the Third Symposium on Policy and Socio-Economic Research and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
Cochairs: Juliane Fry, UC, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA; Mark A. Shafer, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Norman, OK
10:30 AM J10.1 Adaptive governance: proposals for climate change adaptation science, policy and decision making   Amanda H. Lynch, Monash Univ., Clayton, Vic., Australia; and R. D. Brunner 10:45 AM J10.2 Robustness as a Framework for Climate Change Policy   Zach Pirtle, Arizona State Univ., Tempe, AZ 11:00 AM J10.3 Managing climate uncertainties   Marilyn Averill, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO 11:15 AM J10.4 Carbon cycle feedbacks to warming imply a need for strong climate policy   Paul A. T. Higgins, AMS, Washington, DC 11:30 AM J10.5 State Climate Action Plans: The Opportunity for Adaptation Response   Susan K. Avery, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and B. H. Udall 11:45 AM J10.6 Adaptation, policy research and the IPCC: Where are we going (and why am I in this hand basket)?   Roger Pulwarty, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO
	10:30 AM-11:45 AM, Wednesday, 224 Joint Session 5 Land-Atmosphere Interactions, Part V (Joint between the 22nd Conference on Hydrology and the 20th Conference on Climate Variability and Change)
CoChair: Randal D. Koster, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD Chair: Yongkang Xue, University of California, Los Angeles, CA
10:30 AM J5.1 Investigation of Land Surface Conditions Impact on Processes and Predictability of the North American Monsoon   Xia Feng, George Mason University, Calverton, MD; and M. G. Bosilovich, P. R. Houser, and J. D. Chern 10:45 AM J5.2 Soil moisture impacts on convective margins   Benjamin R. Lintner, Unversity of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA; and J. D. Neelin J5.3 Influence of sea surface temperature on soil moisture and precipitation interactions   Kingtse Mo, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD 11:00 AM