Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration (Expanded View)

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

Program Chairpersons:
Marilyn M. Wolfson, MIT
David J. Pace, FAA

Compact View of Conference

Saturday, 10 January 2009
7:30 AM-10:00 AM, Saturday
Student Conference Badge Pick-up Only
 
Sunday, 11 January 2009
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Annual Meeting Registration Begins
 
12:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, Northballroom A
Weatherfest
 
3:00 PM-4:00 PM, Sunday, Room 130
First-Time Attendee Briefing
 
5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Sunday, Hall 5
Fellows Reception
 
Monday, 12 January 2009
7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday
Registration Open
 
8:30 AM-10:15 AM, Monday, Ballroom ABC
Presidential Forum
 
10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in Meeting Room Foyer
 
10:45 AM-12:00 PM, Monday, Room 131A
Joint Session 3 The Use of Lightning Data In Aviation Operations (Joint between the Fourth Conference on the Meteorological Applications of Lightning Data and the Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology Special Symposium on Weather-Air Traffic Management Integration)
Chair: William P. Roeder, Private Meteorologist, Rockledge, FL
10:45 AMJ3.1Lightning warning systems for airport ramp operations   wrf recording
David B. Johnson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. Heitkemper and R. F. Price
11:15 AMJ3.2Developments in the nowcasting total lightning flash rates using GOES satellite infrared convective cloud information   wrf recording
John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL; and C. Siewert
11:45 AMJ3.3A thunderstorm and lightning alert service for airport operations  extended abstract
Rodney J. Potts, CAWCR, Melbourne, Vic., Australia
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday
Lunch Break
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Monday, Room 132A
Tim Oke Symp Luncheon
 
2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Monday, Hall 5
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday, Hall 4
Opening of the Exhibit Hall with Reception
 
Tuesday, 13 January 2009
8:30 AM-9:15 AM, Tuesday, Room 132A
Session 1 Framing the Weather-ATM Integration Problem
Chairs: David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC; Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA
8:30 AM1.1REDAC weather – ATM integration study   wrf recording
William S. Leber, Northwest Airlines, Minneapolis, MN
8:45 AM1.2Toward estimating and reducing forecast uncertainty for aviation applications using high-frequency data assimilation   wrf recording
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO
9:00 AM1.3Using weather information for ATM decision support   wrf recording
Craig Wanke, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA
 
9:15 AM-9:45 AM, Tuesday, Room 132A
Panel Discussion Question and Answer
Chairs: David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC; Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday, Hall 5
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break (See poster listing in Monday's program)
 
9:45 AM-10:45 AM, Tuesday, Hall 5
Poster Session 1 Aviation Weather Warning, Forecast and Decision Support Systems Poster Session
 P1.1The 2008 CoSPA* Forecast Demonstration *Collaboration Storm Prediction for Aviation  extended abstract
William J. Dupree, MIT, Lexington, MA; and D. Morse, M. Chan, X. Tao, M. Wolfson, J. O. Pinto, J. K. Williams, D. Albo, S. Dettling, M. Steiner, S. G. Benjamin, and S. S. Weygandt
 P1.2The HRRR – 3-km storm-resolving, radar-initialized, hourly updated forecasts for air traffic management  
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and T. G. Smirnova, S. S. Weygandt, M. Hu, S. R. Sahm, B. D. Jamison, M. M. Wolfson, and J. O. Pinto
 P1.3Testing of GSI-WRF/ARW System for Potential High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Implementation with a Tropical Storm Over Land and Impact of Model Physics  
Yi Yang, CAPS, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Xue, A. M. Shao, M. Hu, S. S. Weygandt, and S. Benjamin
 P1.4An enhanced convective forecast (ECF) for the New York TRACON area  extended abstract
James G. Stobie, ENSCO, Inc., Falls Church, VA; and M. M. Wheeler, D. L. Sims, G. J. Jedlovec, and R. Gillen
 P1.5Comparison of Pilot Deviations Around Stratiform vs. Convective Weather Regions  
Yi-Hsin Lin, MIT, Lexington, MA; and M. Matthews, R. DeLaura, and M. Wolfson
 P1.6Development of a thunderstorm nowcasting system in support of Air Traffic Management  extended abstract
Peter P.W. Li, Hong Kong Observatory, Kowloon, Hong Kong
 P1.7Short-range and storm-scale ensemble forecast guidance and its potential applications in air traffic decision support  extended abstract
David R. Bright, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK; and J. Huhn, S. J. Weiss, J. J. Levit, J. S. Kain, R. S. Schneider, M. C. Coniglio, M. Duquette, and M. Xue
 P1.8Use of new prototype products from the Canadian Air Navigation System: the dispatch perspective  
Martin Kothbauer, Air Canada Jazz Dispatch, Enfield, NS, Canada; and B. Larochelle, R. Honch, and S. Laroche
 P1.9Prototyping new products for the Canadian Air Navigation System : TafPlus and VCMAC  
Mr. Rob Honch, EC, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and S. Laroche, B. Larochelle, and M. Kothbauer
 P1.10Site Specific Terminal Forecast Amendment Criteria (SSTAC)  
Bradford L. Sipperley Sr., NOAA/NWS, Fairbanks, AK; and J. D. Fairbanks Weather Forecast Office
 P1.11IC4D - A new tool for producing Four Dimensional Aviation Forecasts  
Eugene Petrescu, NOAA/NWS/AAWU, Anchorage, AK; and T. Hall
P1.12NextGen for the near-term, “NowGen”  
Tenny A. Lindholm, STAR Institute, Boulder, CO
 P1.13Overview of NextGen Weather Functional and Performance Requirements at end-state  
John A. May, AvMet Applications International, Inc., Reston, VA; and C. G. Souders, F. Foss, R. Klein, P. Jackson, M. Carver, P. Schuster, J. Justiniano, S. Spincic, and J. Mechanic
 P1.14Building a 4-D Weather Data Cube for 2013 IOC  extended abstract
Cecilia Miner, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and S. Abelman and J. G. Stobie
 P1.15Meteorological support of the Weather Systems Processor (WSP) operation  extended abstract
Ilana Steinhorn, Weather Processors and Sensors Branch, MMAC, FAA, Oklahoma City, OK
 P1.16A tactical decision aid to limit the impacts of thunderstorms on climb and descent traffic at the Orlando International Airport  extended abstract
Matthew Volkmer, NOAA/NWS/Weather Forecast Office, Melbourne, FL; and S. Spratt, C. Baxter, D. Sharp, R. Mobbs, M. Rosencrans, J. Peters, C. Abelman, and P. Witsaman
 P1.17Terminal Aerodrome Forecast-based Tactical Decision Aid  extended abstract
Eric Avila, NOAA/NWS, Houston, TX
 P1.18Innovative radar products for the 3D, high-resolution and real-time monitoring of the convective activity in the airspace around airports  
Pierre Tabary, Météo France, Trappes, France; and O. Bousquet, S. Sénési, and P. Josse
 P1.19Lightning warnings for airport ramp operations: A case study of possible complications in populating and using the NextGen 4-D data cube  
David B. Johnson, NCAR, Boulder, CO
 P1.20The extremely complex airspace over Memphis during the 5 February 2008 tornado outbreak  
Daniel Nietfeld, NOAA/NWSFO, Valley, NE
 P1.21An Empirical Model for Aerodrome Wind Forecasting during the Passage of Tropical Cyclones  extended abstract
Tak Chuen Cheung, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, New Territories, Hong Kong; and P. Cheung and C. C. Lam
 P1.22Visibility Forecasting For Warm and Cold Fog Conditions Observed During FRAM Field Projects  extended abstract
Ismail Gultepe, Environment Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada; and P. Minnis, J. Milbrandt, S. G. Cober, G. Isaac, C. Flynn, L. Nguyen, and B. Hansen
 P1.23Doppler SoDAR systems in the airport environment  
Kenneth H. Underwood, Atmospheric Systems Corporation, Santa Clarita, CA
 P1.24A Causational Argument for the Influence of Contrail Ice-particle Shape on Thermal Infrared Radiance Observations  extended abstract
Robert P. d'Entremont, AER, Inc., Lexington, MA; and D. L. Mitchell
 
11:00 AM-6:00 PM, Tuesday
Exhibits Open
 
11:00 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 132A
Session 2 Integrating Weather with ATM-I
Chairs: David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC; Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA
11:00 AM2.1The 4-D Weather Data Cube: Roadmap to 2022   wrf recording
Jason Tuell, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and T. E. Ryan and B. Lambert
11:15 AM2.2Comparing Convective Weather Avoidance Models and Aircraft-Based Data  extended abstract wrf recording
Rich DeLaura, MIT, Lexington, MA; and B. Crowe, R. Ferris, W. Chan, and J. F. Love
11:30 AM2.3Toward using NWP model ensemble data for strategic planning of the national airspace   wrf recording
James O. Pinto, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Steiner, R. E. Bateman, C. L. Phillips, S. S. Weygandt, and S. G. Benjamin
11:45 AM2.4The complexities of thunderstorm avoidance due to turbulence and implications for traffic flow management  extended abstract
Robert Sharman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. K. Williams
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Tuesday
Lunch Break (Cash and Carry in Exhibit Hall)
 
1:30 PM-2:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 132A
Session 3 Integrating Weather with ATM - II
Chairs: David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC; Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA
1:30 PM3.1NextGen Weather Requirements  extended abstract wrf recording
Cheryl G. Souders, FAA, Washington, DC; and R. C. Showalter, E. R. Dash, J. A. May, J. Tauss, S. Abelman, and C. Miner
1:45 PM3.2European Initiatives for the Integration of Meteorological Data with ATM  extended abstract wrf recording
Andrew K. Mirza, Met Office, Exeter, Devon, United Kingdom; and P. Gill and R. W. Lunnon
 
2:00 PM-3:00 PM, Tuesday, Room 132A
Panel Discussion 1 Quantifying the Impact of Weather on Air Traffic
Panelists: Alexander Klein, Air Traffic Analysis, Inc, Fairfax, VA; James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; Kapil Sheth, NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA; Michael Matthews, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; Sean Madine, OAR, Boulder, CO
Moderators: David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC; Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA
2:00 PMPD1.1NAS Weather Index: quantifying impact of actual and forecast en-route and surface weather on air traffic  extended abstract wrf recording
Alexander Klein, Air Traffic Analysis, Inc, Fairfax, VA; and T. MacPhail, S. Kavoussi, D. Hickman, and M. Phaneuf
2:15 PMPD1.2Convective weather forecasting to support better NAS network flow decision making in severe weather   wrf recording
James E. Evans, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA
2:30 PMPD1.3Analysis of Probabilistic Weather Forecasts for Use in Air Traffic Management  extended abstract wrf recording
Kapil Sheth, NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, CA; and T. Amis and S. Gutierrez-Nolasco
2:45 PMPD1.4Measuring the uncertainty of weather forecast specific to air traffic management operations  extended abstract wrf recording
Michael Matthews, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA
3:00 PMPD1.5Conditioning forecasts of convection for use in air traffic management: A step toward measuring economic value   wrf recording
Sean Madine, OAR, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Kay, S. A. Lack, G. J. Layne, and J. Mahoney
 
3:00 PM-3:30 PM, Tuesday, Hall 4
Coffee Break in Exhibit Hall
 
3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday, Room 132A
Session 4 Integrating Weather with ATM - III
Chairs: David J. Pace, FAA, Washington, DC; Marilyn Wolfson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA
3:30 PM4.1Use of operationally available weather forecast products beyond 6 hours for air traffic strategic planning  extended abstract wrf recording
John Huhn, The MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA; and M. Duquette, D. R. Bright, S. J. Weiss, R. S. Schneider, J. Racy, and B. Sherman
3:45 PM4.2Initial studies of an objective model to forecast achievable airspace flow program throughput from current and forecast weather information  extended abstract wrf recording
Michael Robinson, MIT Lincoln Laboratory, Lexington, MA; and R. DeLaura, B. Martin, J. E. Evans, and M. E. Weber
4:00 PM4.3Evaluation of Ensemble-based Probabilistic Weather Information for Air Traffic Management  extended abstract wrf recording
Matthias Steiner, NCAR, Boulder, CO ; and R. E. Bateman, D. L. Megenhardt, and J. O. Pinto
4:15 PM4.4Probabilistic evaluation of convective forecasts   wrf recording
S. Mark Leidner, AER, Norman, OK; and M. Pirone
4:30 PM4.5Ensemble forecast of ceiling, visibility and fog with NCEP Short-Range Ensemble Forecast System (SREF)  extended abstract wrf recording
Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, J. McQueen, and G. DiMedo
4:45 PM4.6Investigating a New Ground Delay Program Strategy for Coping with SFO Stratus  extended abstract wrf recording
David A. Clark, MIT, Lexington, MA
5:00 PM4.7Building a Stochastic Terminal Airspace Capacity Forecast from Convective Weather Forecasts  extended abstract
Diana Michalek, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and H. Balakrishnan
5:15 PM4.8Integrating convective weather forecasts with the traffic management advisor (TMA)  extended abstract wrf recording
James G. Stobie, ENSCO, Inc., Falls Church, VA; and R. Gillen and W. A. Lester
 
Wednesday, 14 January 2009
5:30 PM-6:30 PM, Wednesday, Hall 4
Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
 
7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Wednesday, Northballroom
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
 
Thursday, 15 January 2009
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Thursday, Room 131AB
Hollingsworth Symp Luncheon
 
5:15 PM-5:20 PM, Thursday
AMS 89th Annual Meeting Adjourns
 

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