Session 4A Estimating and Communicating Uncertainty I: Large-scale systems

Tuesday, 25 January 2011: 8:30 AM-9:45 AM
613/614 (Washington State Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Weather and Forecasting/20th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction
Chair:
Zoltan Toth, NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO

Papers:
8:30 AM
4A.1
Prediction of Extratropical Cyclones by TIGGE Ensemble Prediction Systems
Lizzie S. R. Froude, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
Recorded Presentation

4A.2
PAPER WITHDRAWN

8:45 AM
4A.2A
Assessing the Performance of an Ensemble Forecast System in Predicting the Magnitude and the Spectrum of Analysis and Forecast Uncertainties
Elizabeth A. Satterfield, NRL, Monterey, CA; and I. Szunyogh
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
4A.3
Ensemble-based prediction and diagnostics during the PREDICT field experiment
Sharanya J. Majumdar, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and R. Torn
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
4A.4
Results from testing of EnKF and an EnKF-Var hybrid using the GFS during the 2010 hurricane season
Thomas M. Hamill, NOAA/ESRL, Boulder, CO; and J. S. Whitaker, S. G. Benjamin, M. Fiorino, and D. T. Kleist
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
4A.5
Forecast products for hurricane prediction: deterministic and ensemble-based
Erik Andersson, ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom; and F. Prates and D. Richardson
Recorded Presentation

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
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