Session 11 |
| | Ensembles |
| | Organizer: Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA
|
| 10:30 AM | 11.1 | An Examination of Regional Ensemble Forecasting Techniques during three Winter Storms 
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWS, State College, PA; and R. Hart |
| 10:45 AM | 11.2 | Flow Dependent Background Error Covariance and Mesoscale Predictability Estimation through Ensemble Forecasting
Fuqing Zhang, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX; and J. Ham and A. Aksoy |
| 11:00 AM | 11.3 | Effects of nesting frequency and lateral boundary perturbations on the dispersion of limited-area ensemble forecasts
Paul Nutter, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. Stensrud and M. Xue |
| 11:15 AM | 11.4 | Mesoscale Ensemble Prediction of Tropical and Mid-latitude Cyclones
Mohan K. Ramamurthy, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL; and B. F. Jewett, B. Cui, and H. Liu |
| 11:30 AM | 11.5 | Results of using the PSU shallow convection scheme in an ensemble mode: Effects on mass flux profiles and thermodynamic tendencies
Ricardo C. Muņoz, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and N. L. Seaman, D. R. Stauffer, and A. Deng |
| 11:45 AM | 11.6 | Using adjoint-derived forecast sensitivities to characterize forecast uncertainty
Michael C. Morgan, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and D. T. Kleist and G. A. Postel |