| Sunday, 9 January 2000 |
| 7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration |
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| 9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration |
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| Monday, 10 January 2000 |
| 7:30 AM-5:00 PM, Monday
Registration Continues through Friday, 14 January |
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| 10:00 AM, Monday
Coffee Break |
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| 10:30 AM-2:00 PM, Monday
Session 1 Coupled Fire - Atmospheric Models |
Organizer: David W. Goens, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT
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| 10:30 AM | | Conference Introduction: Dave W. Goens, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT and Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA
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| 10:45 AM | 1.1 | Another Look at the Weather Factors Related to the 1949 Mann Gulch Fire
David W. Goens, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT; and W. R. Krumm |
| 11:00 AM | 1.2 | Numerical simulation of a wildfire event
Mary Ann Jenkins, York Univ., Toronto, ON, Canada |
| 11:15 AM | 1.3 | Coupled atmosphere-fire model dynamics of a fireline crossing a hill
Janice L. Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. L. Clark |
| 11:30 AM | | Lunch Break
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| 1:15 PM | 1.4 | New numerical approaches for coupled atmosphere-fire models
Jon M. Reisner, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and D. A. Knoll, V. A. Mousseau, and R. R. Linn |
| 1:30 PM | 1.5 | Studying Complex Wildfire Behavior Using FIRETEC
Rodman R. Linn, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and J. E. Bossert, F. Harlow, J. M. Reisner, and S. Smith |
| 1:45 PM | 1.6 | Coupled atmosphere-fire behavior model sensitivity to spatial fuels characterization
James E. Bossert, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and R. R. Linn, J. M. Reisner, J. L. Winterkamp, P. Dennison, and D. Roberts |
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| 2:00 PM-3:00 PM, Monday
Session 2 Atmospheric and Fire Dynamics |
Organizer: Janice Coen, NCAR, Boulder, CO
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| 2:00 PM | 2.1 | Collection and analysis of infrared observations of fire-atmosphere dynamics
Terry L. Clark, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Coen, L. Radke, M. Reeder, and D. Packham |
| 2:15 PM | 2.2 | The Turbulent Structure of a Wildland Fire
Thomas Y. Palmer, Consultant, Fallbrook, CA |
| 2:30 PM | 2.3 | Incorporating smoldering into fire growth modelling
Kerry Anderson, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada |
| 2:45 PM | 2.4 | Characteristics of cloud-to-ground lightning activity in the contiguous United States from 1995-1997
Bard A. Zajac, Colorado State Univ., CIRA, Fort Collins, CO; and S. A. Rutledge |
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| 3:00 PM, Monday
1 Coffee Break |
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| 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Monday
Session 3 Smoke Management and Air Quality |
Organizer: Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA
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| 3:30 PM | | Session Introduction: Sue A. Ferguson, USDA Forest Services, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA
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| 3:45 PM | 3.1 | Definition and use of interpolated weather parameters for operational estimation and prediction of atmospheric stability
Richard Ammons, Idaho/Montana Smoke Management, Missoula, MT; and H. Thistle, P. Thornton, and S. Running |
| 4:00 PM | 3.2 | Climatology of Biomass Smoke in Wildland Areas of the United States
Sue A. Ferguson, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Seattle, WA |
| 4:15 PM | 3.3 | Airflow and diffusion modeling for forested and urbanized areas
Ronald M. Cionco, US Army Research Lab., White Sands Missile Range, NM |
| 4:30 PM | 3.4 | Development of a satellite-based fire and smoke analysis in NOAA/NESDIS
John Paquette, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and T. Renkevens and M. Ruminski |
| 4:45 PM | 3.5 | Effect of Pollution from Central American Fires on Cloud-to-Ground Lightning in the Spring of 1998
Natalie D. Murray, Texas A&M Univ., College Station, TX; and R. E. Orville and G. R. Huffines |
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| 5:00 PM, Monday
Sessions end for the day |
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| 5:00 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar) |
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| 7:30 PM, Monday
Fujita Banquet |
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| Tuesday, 11 January 2000 |
| 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Tuesday
Session 4 Application of Mesoscale Weather Modeling for Fire Management |
Organizer: Elizabeth Page, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO
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| 8:00 AM | | Session Introduction: Elizabeth Page, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO
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| 8:15 AM | 4.1 | Operational use of mesoscale models in fire weather forecasting
Elizabeth Mulvihill Page, NOAA/NWS, Boulder, CO; and M. P. Meyers, M. Chamberlain, and R. McAnelly |
| 8:30 AM | 4.2 | Numerical weather prediction for fire hazards on Oahu/Hawaii
Duane E. Stevens, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and D. Funayama and F. M. Fujioka |
| 8:45 AM | 4.3 | Development of an Objective Spot Forecasting Tool Using a Mesoscale Model
Scott L. Goodrick, Florida Division of Forestry, Tallahassee, FL |
| 9:00 AM | 4.4 | Real-Time Mesoscale Model Forecasts for Fire and Smoke Management: An Update
Sue A. Ferguson, Forestry Sciences Laboratory, Seattle, WA |
| 9:15 AM | 4.5 | Mesoscale numerical forecasting of wind changes in support of fire-fighting operations
Graham A. Mills, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, Melbourne, Vic., Australia |
| 9:30 AM | 4.6 | Very high resolution model forecasts of fire weather for the January 1994 Fires
Lance M. Leslie, Univ. of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and M. S. Speer and R. Bunker |
| 9:45 AM | 4.7 | Numerical modeling of the Santa Barbara Sundowner of 27 June, 1990
Chris MacFarland, Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA; and C. Jones and J. Michaelsen |
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| 10:00 AM-10:30 AM, Tuesday
Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 10:00 a.m.-2:15 p.m.) |
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| 10:30 AM-11:15 AM, Tuesday
Walter Orr Roberts Lecture in Interdisciplinary Science (Special President's Symposium on Environmental Applications) Title: Emerging Environmental Issues: A Global Perspective Speaker: R. E. (Ted) Munn, Univ. of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada |
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| 11:15 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday
WMO PRESENTATION (Special President's Symposium on Environmental Applications) Title: Meteorology and the Environment-The WMO Perspective Speaker: John W. Zillman, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland |
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| 12:15 PM, Tuesday
Conference Luncheon Speaker: D. James Baker, Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere, Administrator for NOAA, Silver Spring, MD |
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| 2:15 PM-4:30 PM, Tuesday
Session 5 Operational and Near Operational Forecast Techniques: Uses of New Technologies |
Organizer: Richard Ochoa, NOAA.NWS, Boise, ID
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| 2:15 PM | | Session Introduction: Richard Ochoa, NOAA/NWS, Boise, ID
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| 2:30 PM | 5.1 | A Web-based Spot Forecast Request and Preparation System
Timothy W. Barker, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT; and M. Whitmore |
| 2:45 PM | 5.2 | Evaluation and Utilization of Scripps ECPC Fire Weather Forecasts
Beth L. Hall, DRI, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown and J. O. Roads |
| 3:00 PM | 5.3 | Use of Model Soundings and Real-Time Radar Data to Predict Dry Microbursts
Steve Vasiloff, NOAA/ERL/NSSL and NWS, Salt Lake City, UT |
| 3:15 PM | 5.4 | Forecasting dry thunderstorms as a part of the fire weather outlooks at the Storm Prediction Center
Phillip D. Bothwell, SPC, Norman, OK |
| 3:30 PM | | Coffee Break
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| 4:00 PM | 5.5 | National fire weather outlooks issued by the Storm Prediction Center
Phillip D. Bothwell, SPC, Norman, OK; and G. W. Carbin |
| 4:15 PM | | Discussion
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| 4:30 PM, Tuesday
Oral Sessions end for the day |
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| 4:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Poster Session 1 Poster Session |
| | P1.1 | Micrometeorological changes to the boreal forest following wildfires: Airborne measurements during BOREAS
B. D. Amiro, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and J. I. MacPherson and R. L. Desjardins |
| | P1.2 | Applications of AWIPS in Fire Weather Forecasting
Jeanne L. Hoadley, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT |
| | P1.3 | On-scene real time fire weather forecasting: A new capability
David I. Knapp, US Army Research Laboratory, White Sands Missile Range, NM; and P. A. Haines, M. S. D'Arcy, and S. F. Kirby |
| | P1.4 | The Mann Gulch Fire and the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System
Martin E. Alexander, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada |
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| Wednesday, 12 January 2000 |
| 8:00 AM-11:15 AM, Wednesday
Session 6 Weather Data and Forecasts for Fire Behavior Applications |
Organizer: Chris Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
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| 8:00 AM | | Session Introduction: Chris Gibson, NOAA/NWS, Salt Lake City, UT
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| 8:15 AM | 6.1 | Development of a seasonal fire severity forecast for the contiguous United States
John O. Roads, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA; and S. C. Chen, F. M. Fujioka, and R. E. Burgan |
| 8:30 AM | 6.2 | Producing 1-km resolution atmospheric forecasts for a prototype gridded National Fire Danger Rating System
Timothy W. Barker, NOAA/NWS, Missoula, MT |
| 8:45 AM | 6.3 | Verification and Assessment of Automated NFDRS Forecasts Based on Gridded Weather Forecasts and Satellite Derived Fuel Parameters
Larry S. Bradshaw, USDA Forest Service, Missoula, MT; and T. W. Barker and R. E. Burgan |
| 9:00 AM | 6.4 | A high resolution fire danger rating system for Hawaii
Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Riverside, CA; and D. R. Weise and R. E. Burgan |
| 9:15 AM | 6.5 | The Northeast fire danger index system
Lawrence Bach, NOAA/NWS, Albany, NY; and A. Cacciola |
| 9:30 AM | 6.6 | An Index for Assessing the Potential Escape of a Prescribed Burn
Timothy J. Brown, DRI, Reno, NV; and C. Fontana |
| 9:45 AM | 6.7 | FireFamily Plus: Fire Weather and Fire Danger Climatology at your Fingertips
Larry S. Bradshaw, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Stations, Missoula, MT; and S. Brittain |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
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| 10:30 AM | 6.8 | Model predicted spread rates for the Sydney January 1994 fires
Milton S. Speer, Bureau of Meteorology, Sydney, NSW, Australia; and L. M. Leslie, W. Catchpole, R. Bradstock, and R. Bunker |
| 10:45 AM | | Discussion
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| 11:15 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday
Remote Sensing Lecture Title: Remote Sensing from Space Using Occultation and Lidar Techniques Speaker: M. Patrick McCormick, Hampton Univ., Hampton, VA |
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| 12:00 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break |
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| 1:30 PM-4:45 PM, Wednesday
Session 7 Use of Forecasts for Fire Planning, Execution and Suppression |
Organizer: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Riverside, CA
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| 1:30 PM | | Session Introduction: Francis M. Fujioka, USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, Riverside, CA
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| 1:45 PM | 7.1 | The September 2, 1998 Firestorm: Saving Lives Through Effective Communication
Mark Moede, NOAA/NWS, San Diego, CA; and P. Curran |
| 2:00 PM | 7.2 | The North Central Nebraska Prairie Fire of 16 March 1999
John W. Stoppkotte, NOAA/NWS, North Platte, NE |
| 2:15 PM | 7.3 | Providing meteorological information for controlled burns at the Savannah River Site
Robert L. Buckley, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and C. H. Hunter |
| 2:30 PM | 7.4 | Long-range fire assessments: procedures, products, and applications
G. Thomas Zimmerman, USDA Forest Service, Albuquerque, NM; and M. Hilbruner, P. Werth, T. Sexton, and R. Bartlette |
| 2:45 PM | 7.5 | Experimental daily NCEP Eta model smoke management forecasts
Matthew G. Fearon, DRI and Univ. of Nevada, Reno, NV; and T. J. Brown |
| 3:00 PM | | Coffee Break
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| 3:30 PM | 7.6 | Prospects Of Long-Lead Seasonal Wildland Fire Predictions For Oahu, Hawaii
Pao-Shin Chu, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and W. Yan and F. M. Fujioka |
| 3:45 PM | 7.7 | The relationship between area burned by wildland fire in Canada and circulation anomalies in the mid-troposphere
Walter R. Skinner, AES, Toronto, ON, Canada; and B. J. Stocks, D. L. Martell, B. Bonsal, and A. Shabbar |
| 4:00 PM | 7.8 | Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures and their relation to Area Burned in Canada
Mike D. Flannigan, Canadian Forest Service, Edmonton, AB, Canada; and B. Todd, M. Wotton, W. R. Skinner, B. J. Stocks, and D. L. Martell |
| 4:15 PM | | Discussion
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| 4:30 PM | | Symposium Closing Remarks: Dave Goens and Sue Ferguson
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| 4:45 PM, Wednesday
Symposium Ends |
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| 6:00 PM, Wednesday
Reception (Cash Bar) |
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| 7:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet |
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