| Sunday, 9 January 2000 |
| 7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration |
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| 9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration |
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| 7:00 PM-8:30 PM, Sunday
1 Welcome Reception |
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| Monday, 10 January 2000 |
| 8:30 AM-3:30 PM, Monday
Session 1 Natural hazard mitigation strategies |
Organizer: William H. Hooke, NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD
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| 8:30 AM | 1.1 | Mitigation of Natural Disasters: WMO's Contributions to Societal Needs in the New Millennium
Godwin O. P. Obasi, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland |
| 9:00 AM | 1.2 | Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: Hurricanes
Jerry D. Jarrell, NOAA/NHC/TPC, Miami, FL |
| 9:15 AM | 1.3 | Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: Hurricanes
Lacy Suiter, FEMA, Washington, DC |
| 9:30 AM | 1.4 | Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: The Oklahoma Tornado of 3 May 1999. Part 1: The Historical Foundation
Kenneth C. Crawford, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. A. Morris |
| 9:45 AM | 1.5 | Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: The Oklahoma Tornado of 3 May 1999. Part 2: Rural Applications of Modern Weather Information During a Disaster
Dale A. Morris, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. Honigsberg, J. Lewis, and B. Springfield |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
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| 10:30 AM | 1.6 | Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: Seasonal/Interannual
Ants Leetmaa, NOAA, Washington, DC |
| 10:45 AM | 1.7 | Collaborations Between Meteorologists and Emergency Managers: Seasonal/Interannual
Richard Andrews, EQE International, Oakland, CA |
| 11:00 AM | 1.8 | Panel Discussion: Trends in Hazard Mitigation. Robert Ryan, WRC-TV (Changing Private Sector Roles), Brent Woodworth, IBM Corp. (Business Recovery Systems), and Nancy Maynard, NASA (Links to Climate Change)
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| 12:00 PM | | Lunch Break
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| 1:30 PM | 1.9 | OK-FIRST: An Innovative Information-Support System for Public-Safety Agencies
Dale A. Morris, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. C. Crawford, H. L. Johnson, R. A. McPherson, M. A. Shafer, and J. M. Wolfinbarger |
| 1:45 PM | 1.10 | Applying Environmental Data to Aid Decision Making During Hazardous Weather Events
Kevin A. Kloesel, Oklahoma Climatological Survey, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and K. C. Crawford, R. A. McPherson, D. A. Morris, R. Jesuroga, and C. Subramaniam |
| 2:00 PM | 1.11 | An independent evaluation of the OK-FIRST decision-support system
Thomas E. James, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and P. O. Long and M. A. Shafer |
| 2:15 PM | 1.12 | Midwestern Ice Storms: Frequency, Amounts, and Associated Weather
James R. Angel, ISWS, Champaign, IL; and R. Fisher |
| 2:30 PM | 1.13 | Distance criteria for safe operations when lightning is present
Tamara L. Parsons, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright Patterson AFB, OH; and G. R. Huffines and C. C. Cox |
| 2:45 PM | | Coffee Break
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| 3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Monday
Session 2 Development and Applications of Warning Systems to Protect Human Health |
Organizers: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; Robert Livezey, NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
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| 3:30 PM | 2.1 | Climate Change: Vulnerability, Adaptation and Human Health
Rosina M. Bierbaum, Office of Science and Technology Policy, Washington, DC |
| 4:00 PM | 2.2 | Evaluation of heat/health watch-warning systems: implications for practical development and application
Robert E. Livezey, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC, Camp Springs, MD; and L. S. Kalkstein |
| 4:15 PM | 2.3 | Observed Trends in Summertime Extreme Heat Events in the U.S. and China
Dian J. Gaffen, NOAA/ARL, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Ross and J. X. L. Wang |
| 4:30 PM | 2.4 | The Showcase Projects on Heat/Health Warning Systems: International Collaboration Within the Climate Agenda
Paul D. Llanso, WMO, Geneva, Switzerland; and L. S. Kalkstein and S. C. Sheridan |
| 4:45 PM | 2.5 | Philadelphia action plan to mitigate heat related death and illness
Lawrence Robinson, Philadelphia Dept. of Public Health, Philadelphia, PA; and J. H. Libby |
| 5:00 PM | 2.6 | What really happened in Chicago in July, 1995?
Steven S. Whitman, Chicago Dept. of Public Health, Chicago, IL; and G. D. Good and N. D. Benbow |
| 5:15 PM | 2.7 | Estimating wet bulb globe temperature using standard meteorological measurements
Charles H. Hunter, Westinghouse Savannah River Co., Aiken, SC; and C. O. Minyard |
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| 5:30 PM, Monday
1 Sessions end for the day |
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| Tuesday, 11 January 2000 |
| 8:00 AM-10:29 AM, Tuesday
Session 3 Human Health: Use of Environmental Data and Information for Societal Needs |
Organizers: Laurence Kalkstein, Univ. of Delaware, Newark, DE; Joel Scheraga, EPA, Washington, DC
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| 8:00 AM | 3.1 | Integrating assessment of human health and ecosystem health
Joel D. Scheraga, EPA, Washington, DC; and A. E. Grambsch |
|  | 3.2 | Title to be determined
Dana Fochs, U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Gainesville, FL |
| 8:29 AM | 3.2A | A Physiologically-based Framework to Evaluate Possible Risk Factors for Heat-Related Illnesses
Kristie L. Ebi, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA; and N. Y. Chan, M. T. Stacey, and T. F. Wilson |
| 8:44 AM | 3.3 | Predicting Hantaviral Disease Outbreaks in Southwestern United States
Gregory E. Glass, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD |
| 8:59 AM | 3.4 | Climate Tools For Public Health: A Synthesis Of Enso Experiment Research Findings
Juli Trtanj, NOAA, Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD |
| 9:14 AM | 3.5 | Using Environmental Information to Improve Air Quality
Darrell A. Winner, EPA, Washington, DC |
| 9:29 AM | 3.6 | A Year-Round Comfort Index That Incorporates Multiple Meteorological Parameters
Daniel Kottlowski, AccuWeather, Inc., State College, PA; and M. A. Steinberg |
| 9:44 AM | 3.7 | The New Summer Simmer Index - A Comfort Index for the New Millennium
John W. Pepi, Maynard, MA |
| 9:59 AM | | Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 10:00 A.M.-2:15 P.M.)
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| 10:30 AM-12:00 PM, Tuesday
Session 4 Special President's Session on Environmental Applications |
Organizer: George Frederick, Radian Corporation, Austin, TX
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| 12:15 PM, Tuesday
1 Conference Luncheon. Speaker: D. James Baker, Undersecretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere, Administrator for NOAA, Sliver Spring, MD |
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| 2:15 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Session 5 Ecosystem and natural resource management |
Organizer: David Matthews, DOI/U. S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO
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| 2:15 PM | 5.1 | Decision support systems for river system management in the Colorado and Rio Grande Basins
Terry Fulp, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and S. Hansen, D. King, and D. Matthews |
| 2:30 PM | 5.2 | The Modular Modeling System (MMS)—The Physical Process Modeling Component of a Database-Centered Decision Support System for Water and Ecosystem Management
George H. Leavesley, U.S. Geological Survey, Denver, CO; and S. L. Markstrom and R. J. Viger |
| 2:45 PM | 5.3 | Agricultural Water Resources Decision Support System
Curtis L. Hartzell, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and L. A. Brower, R. W. Stodt, and S. P. Meyer |
| 3:00 PM | 5.4 | Evapotranspiration Toolbox for the Upper Rio Grande Water Operations Model
L. Albert Brower, U.S. Dept. of the Interior, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and C. L. Hartzell and S. P. Meyer |
| 3:15 PM | 5.5 | Ecosystem management in the Upper Colorado basin: can climate information help provide water for ecosystems?
Andrea J Ray, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO |
| 3:30 PM | | Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 3:30-7:00 P.M.)
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| 4:00 PM | 5.6 | Air and water quality modeling system: application to the Los Angeles metropolitan area
Michael Brown, LANL, Los Alamos, NM; and S. Burian, T. McPherson, G. Streit, K. Costigan, and J. Turin |
| 4:15 PM | 5.7 | A Proposed Solar-Terrestrial Coupling Mechanism for Inducing Weekly to Monthly Synoptic Changes and Decadal Climate Variations
Alfred M. Powell Jr., Autometric Inc., Springfield, VA; and P. A. Zuzolo |
| 4:30 PM | 5.8 | The Effects of Daily and Interannual Climate Variability on Peanut Crop Production in Córdoba, Argentina
Marta G. Vinocur, Univ. of Rio Cuarto, Rio Cuarto, Cordoba, Argentina; and L. O. Mearns |
| 4:45 PM | 5.9 | Spatial variation in growing season heat sums within northern hardwood forest canopy gaps
Brian E. Potter, USDA Forest Service, East Lansing, MI; and P. J. Croft |
| 5:00 PM | 5.10 | Analysis and Modeling of Morro Bay, Califorina
Zhen-Gang Ji, Tetra Tech, Inc., Fairfax, VA; and M. R. Morton |
| 5:15 PM | 5.11 | Satellite Analysis of Gulf Coast Atmospheric Moisture and Tropospheric Aerosols
Paul J. Croft, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS |
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| 5:30 PM, Tuesday
1 Sessions end for the Day |
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| Wednesday, 12 January 2000 |
| 8:15 AM-4:29 PM, Wednesday
Session 6 Economic & Societal Impacts of Wx |
Organizer: R. Nick Keener, Duke Energy Corp., Mt. Holly, NC
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| 8:15 AM | 6.1 | Prediction in Atmospheric Sciences
Roger A. Pielke Jr., NCAR, Boulder, CO |
| 9:00 AM | 6.2 | A twentieth century history of flooding in the U.S. and what the future might hold
Frank Richards, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD |
| 9:30 AM | 6.3 | Convective storms and their impact
Joseph T. Schaefer, NOAA/NWS/Storms Prediction Center, Norman, OK; and H. E. Brooks |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 10:00 A.M.-1:30 P.M.)
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| 10:30 AM | 6.4 | Using long range seasonal forecasts to improve prediction of Oklahoma wheat yield
Rebecca House, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and S. Greene, E. Cook, and E. Maxwell |
| 11:00 AM | 6.5 | Impacts of Weather on Emergency Management Agencies
Armond T. Mascelli, American Red Cross National Headquarters, Falls Church, VA |
| 11:30 AM | 6.6 | Seasonal climate forecasts and their value to society
David Changnon, Northern Illinois Univ., DeKalb, IL; and S. A. Changnon |
| 11:45 AM | 6.7 | Assessing the Hail Risk to Crops and Property in the United States
Stanley A. Changnon Jr., Changnon Climatologist, Mahomet, IL |
| 12:00 PM | | Lunch Break
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| 1:30 PM | 6.8 | Financial and operational implications of weather forecasts at an airline
Warren L. Qualley, American Airlines, Inc., Ft. Worth, TX |
| | 6.9 | Impact of Weather on the Retail and Manufacturing Sectors
Frederic D. Fox, Strategic Weather Services, Inc., Wayne, PA |
| 1:59 PM | 6.10 | New technologies for demonstrating environmental science impacts to society
Phillip A. Zuzolo, Autometric Incorporated, Springfield, VA; and A. M. Powell |
| 2:14 PM | 6.11 | Early detection and warning of cloud-to-ground lightning at a point of interest
Martin J. Murphy, Global Atmospherics, Inc., Tucson, AZ; and K. L. Cummins |
| 2:29 PM | | Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 3:00-7:30 pm)
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| 2:59 PM | 6.12 | Panel Discussion-The Widening Role of Private Sector Weather Services in Supporting the Needs of Industry and Society
William S. Weaving, Strategic Weather Services, Inc., Wayne, PA; and J. Myers, A. Eustis, P. Leavitt, and T. Anderson |
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| 2:00 PM-4:30 PM, Wednesday
Session 7 Transportation [Including meteorological aspects of the Intelligent Transportation System (ITS)] (Parallel with Session 6) |
Organizer: Douglas Jonas, Matrix Management Corp., Bainbridge Island, WA
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| 2:00 PM | 7.1 | The DoT ITS Program
Christine Johnson, DOT, Washington, DC |
| 2:30 PM | 7.2 | Delivering surface transportation weather information: Borrowing from aviation weather experience
Gary G. Nelson, Mitretek Systems, Inc., Washington, DC; and R. A. Wagoner |
| 2:45 PM | 7.3 | Development of Surface Transportation Weather Decision Support Requirements
Gary G. Nelson, Mitretek Systems, Washington, DC; and S. M. Holt and P. Pisano |
| 3:00 PM | | Coffee Break (Exhibit Hours 3:00-7:30 P.M.)
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| 3:30 PM | 7.4 | The social and economic impact of weather information: a case study of surface transportation industries
Christopher R. Adams, CIRA/Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO; and D. J. Berri |
| 3:45 PM | 7.5 | Societal value of improved precipitation forecasts: A case study in surface transportation
Thomas R. Stewart, SUNY, Albany, NY; and R. Nath, R. A. Pielke, and M. W. Downton |
| 4:00 PM | 7.6 | Contribution to a baseline understanding of the impact of weather on airline carrier operations
Thomas A. Seliga, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and J. A. Shorter |
| 4:15 PM | 7.7 | Challenges and opportunities for using weather information to support transportation
Michael A. Rossetti, Volpe National Transportation Systems Center, Cambridge, MA; and Thomas A Seliga, Volpe National Transportation System Center, Cambridge, MA and Basav Sen, Volpe National Transportation System Center, Cambridge, MA |
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| 5:00 PM, Wednesday
Sessions end for the day |
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| 7:30 PM-9:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet |
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| Thursday, 13 January 2000 |
| 8:30 AM-9:00 AM, Thursday
Session 8A Special Session |
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| 9:00 AM-1:30 PM, Thursday
1 Exhibit Hours |
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| 9:00 AM-11:00 AM, Thursday
Session 8 Applied Climatology |
Organizer: David Easterling, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC
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| 9:00 AM | 8.1 | Modern Climatic Data Applications
Michael Crowe, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. R. Karl |
| 9:30 AM | 8.2 | Development of Regional Abnormality Climate Indices for Southern Quebec, Canada
Alain Bourque, Environment Canada, Montreal, PQ, Canada |
| 9:45 AM | 8.3 | The National Climate Extremes Committee
Andrew Horvitz, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. Leffler, M. Changery, and G. Taylor |
| 10:00 AM | | Coffee Break
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| 10:30 AM | 8.4 | Applications for the NOAAPort Data Archive and Retrieval System (NDARS) at the National Climatic Data Center
Glenn K. Rutledge, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and A. Stanley, E. Page, L. Spayd, and J. Brundage |
| 10:45 AM | 8.5 | Exploring the Use of Geographic Information System technology for quality control and climatological analysis of radar and rain gage data
Claude E. Duchon, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and M. J. Menne |
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| 10:30 AM-1:30 PM, Thursday
Session 9 Insurance |
Organizer: Lee Branscome, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Palm Beach Gardens, FL
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| 10:30 AM | 9.1 | Extreme Weather Events and the Insurance Industry: Opportunities and Challenges for the Atmospheric Sciences Community
John L. Keller, Applied Insurance Research, Inc., Boston, MA |
| 11:00 AM | 9.2 | Climate Science and Insurance Risk: Making Academia-Industry Partnerships that Work
Anthony F. Michaels, Univ. of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. Close |
| 11:30 AM | 9.3 | Regional climate variability & management of long-term weather risk
Lee E. Branscome, Environmental Dynamics Research, Inc., Palm Beach Gardens, FL |
| 11:45 AM | 9.4 | Climatological risk of strong and violent tornadoes in the United States
Peggy R. Concannon, Northern Illinois Univ., Dekalb, IL; and H. E. Brooks and C. A. Doswell |
| 12:00 PM | | Lunch Break
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| 1:30 PM-4:45 PM, Thursday
Session 10 Wx Derivatives |
Organizer: Bob Dischel, WxPx.com, New York, NY
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| 1:30 PM | 10.1 | The Challenge to Meteorologists in the Weather risk market
Bob Dischel, WxPx.com, New York, NY |
| 2:00 PM | 10.2 | Reducing weather derivative risk
Aaron Studwell, Reliant Energy Wholesale Group, Houston, TX |
| 2:15 PM | 10.3 | Weather Derivatives-Weather Impacts and the World of Finance
Jon B. Davis, Salomon Smith Barney, Chicago, IL |
| 2:30 PM | 10.4 | Weather derivatives Data: Practical Considerations and Technical Solutions
David A. Portman, AER, Cambridge, MA |
| 2:45 PM | | Coffee Break
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| 3:30 PM | 10.5 | Developing and Tracking climate indices for the weather derivatives market
Michael Crowe, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and T. R. Karl |
| 3:45 PM | 10.6 | Worldwide weather, water and climate data: the key drivers in past and future derivatives trading
Susan Zevin, NOAA/NESDIS, Silver Spring, MD; and A. C. Eustis |
| 4:00 PM | 10.7 | Development of standardized data sets for weather derivatives
Richard J. Murnane, Bermuda Biological Station for Research, St. George's, Bermuda |
| 4:15 PM | 10.8 | Weather Derivatives Pricing and the Market Forecast
Kevin D. Green, Castlebridge Weather Markets, Chicago, IL |
| 4:30 PM | 10.9 | Panel Discussion: Critical Issues in the Weather Market
Bob Dischel, WxPx, New York, NY |
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| 4:15 PM, Thursday
1 Sessions end for the day |
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| Friday, 14 January 2000 |
| 8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Friday
Session 11 Energy use and design |
Organizer: Robert Swanson, Climatological Consulting Corporation, Concord, CA
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| 8:30 AM | 11.1 | Future Electric Energy Sources and Production in the U.S
C. McGowian, EPRI, Palo Alto, CA |
| 8:45 AM | 11.2 | The Use of Meteorological Information In Support of 21st Century Environmental Applications to Nuclear Energy
Carl A. Mazzola, Stone & Webster Engineering Corporation, Evans, GA |
| 9:00 AM | 11.3 | Renewable Energy: The Status of Wind Energy at the Beginning of the New Decade
Edward F. McCarthy, Wind Economics & Technology, Inc., Martinez, CA |
| 9:15 AM | 11.4 | Advances in Hydrologic Forecasting and their Impact on Water Management
Larry E. Brazil, Riverside Technology, Inc., Fort Collins, CO; and G. N. Day and D. J. Epstein |
| 9:30 AM | 11.5 | Surface solar energy and meteorological data available for renewable energy use
John O. Olson, Computer Sciences Corporation, Hampton, VA; and C. Whitlock, A. Carlson, N. A. Ritchey, D. Brown, and W. Chandler |
| 9:45 AM | 11.6 | A dynamical-statistical atmospheric modeling system designed to simulate wind-generated power production rates
John W. Zack, MESO, Inc., Troy, NY; and K. T. Waight, G. E. Van Knowe, and M. D. Bousquet |
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| 10:00 AM, Friday
1 Symposium ends |
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