16th Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences
    

Session 1

 

forecast evaluation

  Chairperson: Laurence W. Wilson, Enviornment Canada, Dorval, PQ Canada
9:30 AMWelcoming Remarks  
9:45 AM1.1Summary of Short Course on Verification of Climate Forecasts  
To be determined,
10:15 AM1.2Transformed skill scores  extended abstract
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. G. Bullock and B. G. Brown
10:30 AMCoffee Break in Poster Session Room  
11:00 AM1.3Additional Measures of Skill for Probabilistic Forecasts  extended abstract
F. Wesley Wilson, NCAR, Boulder, CO
 1.4PAPER WITHDRAWN  
11:14 AM1.5Using Verification Techniques to Evaluate Differences Among Convective Forecasts  extended abstract
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, NOAA/FSL, Boulder, CO; and B. G. Brown, J. E. Hart, and C. Fischer
11:29 AM1.6Improved approaches for measuring the quality of convective weather forecasts  extended abstract
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Mahoney, C. A. Davis, R. Bullock, and C. K. Mueller
11:44 AM1.7Relative economical value of CMC seasonal forecasts  extended abstract
Normand Gagnon, MSC, Dorval, PQ; and R. Verret
11:59 AMLunch Break  
1:29 PM1.8Diagnostic Verification of the IRI Net Assessment Forecasts, 1997–2000  
Daneil S. Wilks, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and C. M. Godfrey
1:44 PM1.9Workstation ETA Verification Efforts at the Lower Mississippi River Forecast Center  extended abstract
Steven A. Listemaa, NOAA/NWS, Slidell, LA
1:59 PM1.10A Methodology for Determining River Forecasting Skill using Monthly Cumulative Distribution Functions of Mean Daily Flow  
Noreen O. Schwein, NOAA/NWS, Kansas City, MO
2:14 PM1.11A Statistical Evaluation of Mainstem Forecasting Errors for the Missouri and Mississippi Rivers  
Lee W. Larson, NOAA/NWS (retired), Prairie Village, KS; and N. O. Schwein
2:29 PM1.12On the verification of ensemble precipitation products  
John. C. Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and E. Welles and M. Mullusky
 1.13PAPER WITHDRAWN  
2:43 PM1.14Statistical comparison of forecast meteorology with observations using the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System  extended abstract
Robert L. Buckley, Savannah River Technology Center, Aiken, SC; and A. H. Weber and J. H. Weber
2:58 PMCoffee Break in Poster Session Room  

Monday, 14 January 2002: 9:30 AM-3:30 PM

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