Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges (Expanded View)

Saturday, 8 February 2003
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Saturday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-5:00 PM, Saturday
Conference Registration*
 
Sunday, 9 February 2003
7:30 AM-9:00 AM, Sunday
Short Course Registration
 
9:00 AM-6:00 PM, Sunday
Conference Registration
 
Monday, 10 February 2003
7:30 AM-5:30 PM, Monday
Conference Registration (continues through Thursday, 13 February)
 
9:00 AM-12:00 PM, Monday
Session 1 Perspectives on Impacts and Response Options in North America
9:00 AM1.1Keynote Address  
Robert M. Hirsch, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA
9:30 AM1.2Planning and Managing for Increased Water Supply Variability in Urban Southern California  
Timothy H. Quinn, Metropolitan Water District of Southern California, Sacramento, CA
9:45 AM1.3The California Water Delivery System: Impacts of Climate Variability  extended abstract
Douglas Osugi, California Department of Water Resources, Sacramento, CA
10:00 AM1.4Moving to a New National Drought Policy Emphasizing Preparedness Rather than Response  
Shaun McGrath, Western Governors' Association, Denver, CO
10:15 AMCoffee Break  
10:45 AM1.5The Uneasy Relationship between Science and Law: Protecting Endangered Species  
Denise Fort, University of New Mexico, School of Law, Albuquerque, NM
11:00 AM1.6Critical hydrometeorological needs and integrated, multi-disciplinary DSS for water resource managers in the Bureau of Reclamation  extended abstract
Dave Matthews, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and D. Frevert
11:15 AM1.7Types of Data Needed to Identify and Evaluate Potential Impact of Climate Change on PG&E's Hydropower Operations  extended abstract
Gary J. Freeman, Pacific Gas and Electric Company, San Francisco, CA
11:30 AM1.8Hydrologic Information Needs for Emergency Management  
Kevin G. Stewart, National Hydrologic Warning Council, Denver, CO
 1.9PAPER WITHDRAWN  
11:45 AMLunch Break  
 
10:15 AM-10:45 AM, Monday
Coffee Break in Poster Session Room
 
1:30 PM, Monday
Panel Discussion 1 Panel Discussion—Impacts on Multiple Sectors and Cross Cutting Issues
 
2:30 PM, Monday
1 Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
4:00 PM-5:30 PM, Monday
Session 2 Drought 2002—Impacts, Lessons, Management and Policy Innovations
Chairperson: Donald A. Wilhite, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
4:00 PM2.1The 2002 Drought in the United States:Lessons Learned and Future Challenges  
Donald A. Wilhite, National Drought Mitigation Center, Lincoln, NE
4:30 PM2.2The North American Drought Monitoring Initiative  
Scott Stephens, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, and K. Gleason
5:00 PM2.3The Perfect Ocean for Drought  
Martin Hoerling, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO; and A. Kumar
 
5:30 PM-7:30 PM, Monday
Formal Opening of Exhibits with Reception (Cash Bar)
 
5:30 PM, Monday
Sessions End for the Day
 
Tuesday, 11 February 2003
8:30 AM-12:15 PM, Tuesday
Joint Session 4 Flood Hydrology, Management, and Information Systems: Near and Real-Time Management, Impacts, Forecasting, and Communication Issues (Joint with the Symp on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Chairperson: Eve Gruntfest, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs, CO
8:30 AMJ4.1Assessing the Needs of Users warm season of Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts in Colorado  extended abstract
Rebecca Morss, NCAR, Boulder, CO
8:45 AMJ4.2From Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) to Nowcasts for extreme precipitation events  extended abstract
Roderick A. Scofield, NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and R. J. Kuligowski and C. Davenport
9:00 AMJ4.3Short-term radar nowcasting for hydrologic applications over the Arkansas-Red River basin  extended abstract
Matthew P. Van Horne, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. R. Vivoni, D. Entekhabi, R. N. Hoffman, and C. Grassotti
9:15 AMJ4.4Quantitative flood forecasts based on short-term radar nowcasting  extended abstract
Matthew P. Van Horne, MIT, Cambridge, MA; and E. R. Vivoni, D. Entekhabi, R. N. Hoffman, and C. Grassotti
9:30 AMJ4.5An Early Alert System for Flooding in the MIiddle Atlantic River Forecast Domain  extended abstract
Richard H. Grumm, NOAA/NWSFO, State College, PA; and D. J. Ondrejik, P. G. Knight, and J. M. Brolley
9:45 AMFormal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break  
11:00 AMJ4.6Understanding the Mesoscale Processes of Flash Floods: Impacts on Prediction and Response  extended abstract
Matthew Kelsch, UCAR/COMET, Boulder, CO
11:15 AMJ4.7Some practical applications of Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction  extended abstract
Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA
11:30 AMJ4.8Very high resolution precipitation forecasting on low cost high performance computer systems in support of hydrological modeling  extended abstract
Daniel Soderman, FORECA Ltd, Helsinki, Finland; and F. Meneguzzo, B. Gozzini, D. Grifoni, G. Messeri, M. Rossi, S. Montagnani, M. Pasqui, A. Orlandi, A. Ortolani, E. Todini, G. Menduni, and V. Levizzani
11:45 AMJ4.9A Distributed Model for Flood Forecasting in the Arno River Basin (Italy)  
Enrica Caporali, Università di Firenze, Firenze, Italy; and V. Tartaglia
12:00 PMJ4.10Operational rainfall and flow forecasting for the Panama Canal Watershed  extended abstract
Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and J. A. Sperfslage
 
9:45 AM-11:00 AM, Tuesday
Joint Poster Session 3 Flood Hydrology Management and Information Systems Posters (JOINT WITH THE SYMP ON IMPACTS OF WATER VARIABILITY: BENEFITS AND CHALLENGES and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Chairperson: Richard A. Fulton, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD
JP3.1Statistical methods for nowcasting thunderstorm rainfall  extended abstract
Neil I. Fox, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and C. K. Wikle and B. Xu
JP3.2Improving precipitation and streamflow forecasts for Amite River basin in Louisiana  
Ashutosh S. Limaye, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and W. L. Crosson, J. F. Cruise, and K. Stellman
JP3.3A test of two distributed hydrologic models with WSR-88D radar precipitation data input  extended abstract
Steven Hunter, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and J. Jorgesen, S. Meyer, and B. Vieux
JP3.4Finding factors for fatal flash floods in Missouri  extended abstract
Elizabeth A. McCoy, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO; and N. I. Fox
JP3.5Quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) skill for selected tropical cyclone forecast models during Hurricane Irene (1999)  extended abstract
David A. Robertson, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans
JP3.6Problems of flood hydrology in a transboundary river basin  
Rita Pongracz, Eotvos Lorand University, Budapest, Hungary; and J. Bartholy, G. Balint, I. Bogardi, and A. Bardossy
JP3.7Short-range Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts for NWS Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Services (AHPS): Parameter Estimation Issues  extended abstract
John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Mullusky, E. Welles, and L. Wu
JP3.8Retrospective Verification of Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (esp): A Case Study  extended abstract
Shuzheng Cong, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and J. Schaake and E. Welles
JP3.9SIMULATIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI FLOOD OF MAY 8–10th, 1995 WITH A PENN STATE/NCAR MESOSCALE MODEL (MM5) AND GIS/RS TECHNOLOGY  extended abstract
Suseela Redddy Remata, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and M. V. Vatti, P. Chigbu, and P. Croft
JP3.10Why customize Flash Flood Monitoring and Prediction watersheds?  extended abstract
Ami T. Arthur, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and R. S. Davis and P. Jendrowski
JP3.11Using radar data with the WATERFLOOD hydrological model to estimate streamflow  extended abstract
Allyson K. Bingeman, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada; and N. Kouwen and I. Zawadzki
JP3.12Precipitation induced isotopic variations in stream flow  extended abstract
Madhav V. Machavaram, LBNL, Berkeley, CA; and K. E. Bashford, M. E. Conrad, and N. L. Miller
JP3.13A modelling-based methodology for determining extreme precipitation potential at high elevations in Colorado  extended abstract
William R. Cotton, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO; and R. L. McAnelly and C. T. Ashby
JP3.14A retrospective assessment of seasonal hydrologic forecast skill in the western U.S  
Andrew W. Wood, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and C. Zhu, A. F. Hamlet, and D. P. Lettenmaier
JP3.15Analysis of new remote sensing and ancillary inputs to land surface water and energy balance modeling  
David L. Toll, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and J. Gottschalck, P. R. Houser, B. Cosgrove, J. Entin, and A. Wilhelm
JP3.16Calibration of PQPF forecasts based on the NCEP global ensemble  
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth
JP3.17Information and Products Derived From Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts  extended abstract
Mary Mullusky, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. DeWeese, E. Welles, and J. Schaake
JP3.18Development of a Large-Scale Hydrologic Prediction System  extended abstract
Ji Chen, Univ. of California, San Diego, CA; and J. Roads
JP3.19Evaluation of skill and error characteristics for alternative seasonal streamflow forecast methods  
Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier
JP3.20Hydroclimatic Information for Water Resources Management in the Western U.S.: Integrated monitoring and diagnostics tools  
Shaleen Jain, NOAA/ERL/CDC, Boulder, CO; and G. Morin
JP3.21Impact of water variability on chemical river water quality in Central Asia  
Vladimir B. Aizen, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID; and E. M. Aizen and M. G. Glazirina
JP3.22Empirical Probability Models to Predict Puerto Rico Monthly Rainfall Process  extended abstract
Nazario D. Ramirez-Beltran, University of Puerto Rico, Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; and K.-M. Lau, A. Winter, J. M. Castro, and N. R. Escalante
 
12:15 PM, Tuesday
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM-4:45 PM, Tuesday
Session 5 Global Perspectives on Impacts
Chairperson: Heidi Cullen, NCAR, Boulder, CO
1:30 PM5.0aChallenges and Opportunities in Water Resource Management—The Role of the World Meteorological Organization"  
G. O. P. Obasi, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
 5.1PAPER WITHDRAWN  
2:30 PM5.2Paper has been moved, new paper number 5.10  
2:31 PM5.3Impacts of the protracted drought in central and southwest Asia  
Bradfield Lyon, IRI for Climate Prediction, Palisades, NY; and H. Cullen and M. Barlow
2:46 PMCoffee Break  
 5.4PAPER WITHDRAWN  extended abstract
3:16 PM5.5ENSO Impacts on the Flow of the Caroní River, Venezuela  
Pedro Cárdenas, EDELCA Venezuela, Caracas, Venezuela; and A. Gil, E. Colon, and O. Garcia
 5.6PAPER WITHDRAWN  
3:30 PM5.7Climate Variability and Water Resources: A study in the Paraiba Valley, Brazil  extended abstract
Ana P. Barros, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA; and S. J. Simoes and D. A. Raff
3:45 PM5.8Quantifying precipitation reduction due to air pollution downwind of major urban areas  extended abstract
Amir Givati, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; and D. Rosenfeld
4:00 PM5.9The Impact of Global Warming on U.S. Agriculture: An Econometric Analysis  
Wolfram Schlenker, University of California, Berkeley, CA; and W. M. Hanemann and A. C. Fisher
4:15 PM5.10Climate and Rural Poverty (Formerly paper 5.2)  extended abstract
Alan Basist, NOAA/NWS/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and C. Williams, F. Kogan, R. Mendelsohn, P. Kurukulasuriya, A. Dinar, and R. C. Reddy
 
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Joint Session 5 Flood Hydrology, Management, Information Systems: Longer-Term Planning, Management, Impacts, and Forecasting Issues (Joint with the Symp on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and the 17th Conference on Hydrology)
Chairperson: Robert S. Davis, NOAA/NWSFO, Moon Township, PA
1:30 PMJ5.1Tropical Cyclone Floods in Florida: Geographical Influences and Community Preparedness  
Arlene G. Laing, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL
1:45 PMJ5.2Problems of climate variability and uncertainty in flood hazard planning for the Colorado Front Range  extended abstract
Mary W. Downton, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and H. Cullen, R. Morss, O. Wilhelmi, and B. Rajagopalan
2:00 PMJ5.3National Weather Service Hydrologic Science and Development: Coupling the Atmosphere to the Oceans  extended abstract
Gary Carter, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and G. F. Smith
2:15 PMJ5.4Enhanced flood forecasting and real-time inundation mapping in the Tar River Basin, North Carolina, USA  
Douglas C. Marcy, NOAA/NWS, Charleston, SC; and G. Austin, J. Feldt, and S. Harned
2:30 PMJ5.5Short Term Ensemble River Stage Forecasts: Application  extended abstract
Xiaobiao Fan, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and M. Mullusky, L. Wu, E. Welles, J. Ostrowski, N. Pryor, and J. Schaake
2:45 PMJ5.6The role of a prominent rain shadow on flooding in California's coastal mountains: A CALJET case study and sensitivity to the ENSO cycle  
Paul J. Neiman, NOAA/ERL/ETL, Boulder, CO; and F. M. Ralph, D. E. Kingsmill, E. D. Andrews, and R. C. Antweiler
3:00 PMCoffee Break in exhibit hall (exhibits open 1:30–6:30 p.m.)  
3:30 PMJ5.7Toward a Science Infusion Strategy for NWS Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting (PQPF)  extended abstract
John Schaake, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and Z. Toth, D. Reynolds, M. Antolik, J. Maloney, J. Du, B. Zhou, M. Halpert, R. Martin, P. Dallavalle, E. Danaher, and K. Lynott
3:45 PMJ5.8Distributed model flow sensitivities to input and parametric uncertainty: Case studies for three watersheds in the Central U.S  extended abstract
Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos and J. A. Sperfslage
4:00 PMJ5.9Hydrological Forecasting using Distributed Models in the Great Lakes Basin  
Alain C. Pietroniro, EC, Saskatoon, SK, Canada; and H. Goertz, P. Pilon, H. Ritchie, P. Campbell, R. P. Ford, and N. Kouwen
4:15 PMJ5.10Chimera watersheds to understand the relative importance of rainfall distribution in semi-distributed rainfall-runoff models  extended abstract
Vazken Andréassian, Cemagref, Antony, France; and A. Oddos, C. Michel, and C. Perrin
4:30 PMJ5.11Optimization of a macroscale hydrological model for flood forecasting in the Odra watershed  extended abstract
Joachim Geyer, GKSS Research Center, Geesthacht, Germany; and M. Klein and H.-T. Mengelkamp
4:45 PMJ5.12Potential benefits of long-lead hydrologic predictability on Missouri River main-stem reservoirs  
Edwin P. Maurer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier
5:00 PMJ5.13Applying high resolution land surface data, modeling and assimilation techniques to water supply and demand forecasts  extended abstract
Curtis L. Hartzell, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO; and T. Pruitt, S. M. Hunter, D. A. Matthews, W. Sharp, K. R. Arsenault, and P. R. Houser
5:15 PMJ5.14Simulation of Possible future effects of greenhouse warming on Great Lakes water supply using a regional climate model  extended abstract
Brent M. Lofgren, NOAA/ERL/GLERL, Ann Arbor, MI
 
5:00 PM-5:30 PM, Tuesday
Special Address. Conrad C. Lautenbacher, NOAA, Washington, DC
 
5:30 PM, Tuesday
Sessions End for the Day
 
Wednesday, 12 February 2003
8:30 AM-9:30 AM, Wednesday
Session 6 Water Management Issues - Role of Information
Chairperson: Jim Giraytys, Certified Consulting Meteorologist, Winchester, VA
8:30 AM6.1The benefit of long lead-time hydrologic forecasts during drought in the Ohio River Valley  
Thomas E. Adams, III, NOAA/NWS, Wilmington, OH
8:45 AM6.2The role of climate in modern water planning and related decisions: Nebraska case study  extended abstract
Donna L. Woudenberg, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE; and K. G. Hubbard, R. D. Kuzelka, and S. J. Meyer
9:00 AM6.3Water Distribution Options in Industrial Nations: A sustainability assessment  
Christine Anne Smith, School for Resource and Environmental Studies, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
9:15 AM6.4Water Variability: Challenges Where the Rubber Hits the Road  extended abstract
Jim Giraytys, Certified Consulting Meteorologist, Winchester, VA; and T. Dean, K. Schilling, and J. Shull
 
9:45 AM-10:15 AM, Wednesday
Coffee Break in the Ballroom Foyer, 2nd Level, Promenade
 
10:00 AM-12:00 PM, Wednesday
Presidential Forum: Administration Priorities in Climate Change Research and Technology
 
12:00 PM-1:30 PM, Wednesday
Lunch Break
 
1:30 PM, Wednesday
Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
 
1:30 PM-5:30 PM, Wednesday
Session 7 Regional Integrated Assessments
Chairperson: Harvey Hill, NOAA Office of Global Programs, Silver Spring, MD
1:30 PM7.1Reducing vulnerability to hydro-climatic variability through integrated assessment in the southwestern U.S  
R.C. Bales, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and D. M. Liverman
1:45 PM7.2Climate Information and Water Resource Management: Two Initiatives in the Southwest  extended abstract
Gregg M. Garfin, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and B. Morehouse
2:00 PM7.3Helping Water Resource Managers Understand Hydroclimatic Variability and Forecasts  
Holly C. Hartmann, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and T. C. Pagano, K. Franz, S. Sorooshian, and R. Bales
2:15 PM7.4The CIRES-NOAA Western Water Assessment  
Martyn P. Clark, Center for Science and Technology Policy Research, Boulder, CO; and S. K. Avery and R. M. Dole
2:30 PM7.5Climate Assessment of the 1999–2002 drought in Colorado  
Klaus Wolter, NOAA/ERL/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and R. Pielke, Sr., M. Hoerling, S. Jain, and N. Doesken
2:45 PM7.62002 Municipal Response to Drought in the Colorado Front Range  extended abstract
Douglas Kenney, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and R. Klein, A. Morrison, and B. Gravell
3:00 PMCoffee Break in Exhibit Hall (Exhibits open 1:30-7:30 p.m.)  
3:30 PM7.7Rapid response to the 2002 drought in Colorado: an experiment in regional climate services  
Robert Stabler Webb, NOAA/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Ray, K. T. Redmond, R. S. Pulwarty, K. Wolter, C. A. Woodhouse, S. Avery, and R. M. Dole
3:45 PM7.8A user study approach for identifying needs for regional climate services  
Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/CIRES/CDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb and R. S. Pulwarty
4:00 PM7.9Integrated Forecast and Reservoir Management—Lessons Learned  
Konstantine P. Georgakakos, Hydrologic Research Center/SIO, San Diego, CA; and N. E. Graham and A. P. Georgakakos
4:15 PM7.10Incorporating hydroclimatic variability in reservoir management at Folsom Lake, California  extended abstract
Theresa M. Carpenter, Hydrologic Research Center, San Diego, CA; and K. P. Georgakakos, N. E. Graham, A. P. Georgakakos, and H. Yao
4:30 PM7.11Climate science issues and needs of the CALFED Bay-Delta Program  extended abstract
Michael Dettinger, US Geological Survey and SIO, La Jolla, CA; and W. Bennett, D. R. Cayan, J. Florsheim, M. Hughes, B. L. Ingram, A. Jassby, N. Knowles, F. Malamud-Roam, D. Peterson, K. Redmond, and L. Smith
4:45 PM7.12Application and Potential use of Climate Information in Water Resources Management in Florida  
Neeraj Vedwan, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and F. Miralles-Wilhelm, K. Broad, D. Letson, G. Podesta, J. Jones, and J. J. O'Brien
5:00 PM7.13Climate Change Streamflow Scenarios for Water Planning Studies in the Pacific Northwest  
Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and D. P. Lettenmaier and P. Mote
5:15 PM7.14Responding to stakeholders' needs for climate change information for water resources planning  
Amy K. Snover, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and A. F. Hamlet, P. Mote, and D. P. Lettenmaier
 
5:30 PM, Wednesday
Sessions End for the Day
 
6:00 PM-7:30 PM, Wednesday
Reception (Cash Bar)
 
7:30 PM-9:30 PM, Wednesday
AMS Annual Awards Banquet
 
Thursday, 13 February 2003
8:30 AM-9:45 AM, Thursday
Joint Session 2 Weather Derivatives and the Value of Forecasts(Joint with the Symposium on Impacts of Water Variability: Benefits and Challenges and 14th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations)
Chairperson: Jeff Shorter, Weather Services International, Billerica, MA
8:30 AMJ2.1Assessing and quantifying the economic benefits of improved weather and climate forecasts  
Rodney F. Weiher, NOAA/U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, DC
8:45 AMJ2.2Blending Climatology and Forecasts to Compete in the Weather Market  
Jeff Shorter, WSI, Billerica, MA; and R. J. Boucher
9:00 AMJ2.3National Climatic Data Center Quality Assurance Procedures for Temperature Data  
Stephen A. Del Greco, NOAA/NCDC, Asheville, NC
9:15 AMJ2.4The weather risk market: a growing consumer of climatology and seasonal forecasts  
Robert S. Dischel, Weather Market Observer, New York, NY
9:30 AMJ2.5What Are Weather Forecasts Worth?  
Jeffrey K. Lazo, Stratus Consulting Inc., Boulder, CO
 
9:00 AM, Thursday
Simpsons Symposium—A Tribute to Robert and Joanne Simpson
 
9:45 AM, Thursday
Formal Poster Viewing with Coffee Break
 
11:00 AM-12:30 PM, Thursday
Session 8 Drought Impacts, Preparedness and Mitigation
Chairperson: Donald A. Wilhite, University of Nebraska, Lincoln, NE
11:00 AM8.1Improved NWS Climate Products and Services in Response to Customer Feedback  extended abstract
Barbara E. Mayes, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD; and R. J. Leffler, R. E. Livezey, and D. Lecomte
11:15 AM8.2Managing Droughts in the Future: the Impacts of Climate Change on Municipal Water Supplies  
Richard N. Palmer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and M. A. Hahn
11:30 AM8.3Midwestern Drought  extended abstract
Michael A Palecki, ISWS, Champaign, IL
11:45 AM8.4Using dendrohydrologic data in Colorado water resource planning and management  
Connie A. Woodhouse, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Boulder, CO; and R. S. Webb and J. J. Lukas
12:00 PM8.5Water banking as institutional adaptation to climate variability: the Colorado experiment  extended abstract
John D. Wiener, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
12:15 PMLunch Break  
 
1:30 PM-3:30 PM, Thursday
Session 9 Impacts Related to Global Climate Change - What do we know, and how can we best hedge our bets?
Chairperson: Daniel R. Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography/USGS, La Jolla, CA
1:30 PM9.1The Climate of 2002 in Historical Perspective  
Scott Stephens, NOAA/NESDIS/NCDC, Asheville, NC; and J. Lawrimore, R. Heim, K. Gleason, and A. Waple
1:45 PM9.2Response of U.S. water resources to HadCM2 projections of climate change and consequences for agriculture  extended abstract
N. J. Rosenberg, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD; and R. C. Izaurralde, R. A. Brown, and A. M. Thomson
 9.3PAPER WITHDRAWN  extended abstract
2:00 PM9.4Using Clustered Climate Regimes for Understanding Water Cycle Variability  extended abstract
Forrest M. Hoffman, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and W. W. Hargrove, D. J. Erickson III, and R. Oglesby
2:15 PM9.5High and low spatial resolution climate change scenarios for the Missouri River basin: water yield responses  
Mark C. Stone, Washington State University, Pullman, WA; and R. H. Hotchkiss and L. O. Mearns
2:30 PM9.6Consequences of Climate Variability and Change for the Pacific Island Water Resources: Challenges and Opportunities  extended abstract
Eileen L. Shea, East-West Center, Honolulu, HI
2:45 PM9.7Changes in snowmelt runoff over Western North America over the last 5 decades  
Dan Cayan, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UC San Diego /U.S. Geological Survey, La Jolla, CA; and M. Dettinger, I. Stewart, and N. Knowles
3:00 PM9.8Vulnerability of water resources in eastern Mediterranean ecosystems due to climate change—An integrated approach to sustainable management  extended abstract
Pinhas Alpert, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel; and D. Silverman
 
2:15 PM, Thursday
Conference Ends
 
5:30 PM, Thursday
Closing Reception in Exhibit Hall (Cash Bar)
 
6:00 PM, Thursday
Simpsons Banquet
 
8:00 PM-10:00 PM, Thursday
Closing Event at the Long Beach Aquarium on the Pacific
 

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