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Compact View of Conference

Monday, 22 May 2000
	5:00 PM-7:00 PM, Monday Conference Registration
Tuesday, 23 May 2000
	7:00 AM-5:00 PM, Tuesday Conference Registration
	5:30 PM-5:45 PM, Tuesday Icebreaker/Reception
Wednesday, 24 May 2000
	7:30 AM, Wednesday Conference Registration Continues through Friday, 2 June
	8:00 AM-9:45 AM, Wednesday Joint Session 1 Ocean interaction effects on tropical cyclone intensity I (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Organizer: Yuqing Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
8:00 AM J1.1 Hurricane directional wave spectrum spatial variation in the open ocean   C. Wayne Wright, NASA/GSFC, Wallops Island, VA; and E. J. Walsh, D. C. Vandemark, W. B. Krabill, A. W. Garcia, S. H. Houston, M. D. Powell, P. G. Black, and F. D. Marks 8:15 AM J1.2 Global Analogues of Deep Warm Upper Ocean Layers: Hurricane Heat Potential Estimates   Lynn K. Shay, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and G. J. Goni, P. G. Black, S. D. Jacob, J. J. Cione, and E. Uhlhorn 8:30 AM J1.3 Role of the Upper Ocean Structure on the Intensification of Hurricane Bret From Satellite Altimetry   Gustavo J. Goni, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, P. G. Black, S. D. Jacob, T. M. Cook, J. J. Cione, and E. Uhlhorn 8:45 AM J1.4 Hurricane intensity change modulated by air-sea interaction effects based on unique airborne measurements during the 1998–99 hurricane seasons   Peter G. Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn, J. J. Cione, G. J. Goni, L. K. Shay, S. D. Jacob, E. J. Walsh, and E. A. D'Asaro 9:00 AM J1.5 Operational heat content charts at the Tropical Prediction Center   Michelle Mainelli Huber, NOAA/NWS/TPC, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay and R. J. Pasch 9:15 AM J1.6 The GFDL/URI coupled hurricane ocean prediction system and its performance evaluation in the 1999 hurricane season   Isaac Ginis, Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and C. Rowley, L. Rothstein, S. A. Frolov, and M. A. Bender 9:30 AM J1.7 Effects of planetary vorticity gradient and uniform current on Tropical Cyclone Intensity   Johnny C. L. Chan, City Univ. of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, China; and Y. Duan
	9:45 AM, Wednesday Coffee Break
	10:15 AM-11:45 AM, Wednesday Joint Session 2 Ocean Interaction Effects on Tropical Cyclone Intensity II/JASMINE I (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Organizer: Pete Black, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
10:15 AM J2.1 A Study of Ocean-atmospheric Interactions over the Gulf of Mexico during Non Cyclonic and Cyclonic Activity   R. Suseela Reddy, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and R. Guyton and R. L. Miller 10:30 AM J2.2 How sea spray can affect the intensity of tropical cyclones   Edgar L Andreas, U.S. Army Cold Regions Research and Engineering Laboratory, Hanover, NH; and K. A. Emanuel 10:45 AM J2.3 On the Effect of Sea Spray Evaporation on Tropical Cyclone Boundary-layer Structure and Intensity   Yuqing Wang, BMRC, Melbourne, Vic., Australia; and J. D. Kepert and G. J. Holland 11:00 AM J2.4 Exploring the intraseasonal variability of the monsoon: An overview of JASMINE   Peter J. Webster, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO 11:15 AM J2.5 Deep Convection Observed During the May-August 1999 Indian Monsoon   Paquita Zuidema, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and D. M. Lawrence and P. J. Webster 11:30 AM J2.6 The northward propagating envelope of convection during JASMINE   David M. Lawrence, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster
	12:00 PM-1:45 PM, Wednesday Poster Session: 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorlogy (Buffet Luncheon with sponsorship from Aerosonde Robotic Aircraft Pty Ltd, Hawthorn, Vic., Australia)
	2:00 PM-3:29 PM, Wednesday Joint Session 3 JASMINE II (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmospehere)
Organizer: Peter Webster, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO
J3.1 Vertical structure over the Bay of Bengal during the monsoon onset   Yolande L. Serra, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 2:00 PM J3.2 Cloud Statistics during JASMINE from 35 GHz Cloud Radar   Michelle N. Ryan, Science & Technology Corporation, Boulder, CO; and T. Uttal 2:14 PM J3.3 An analysis of downwelling IR fluxes over the Indian Ocean using cloud radar reflectivity for pre-monsoon and monsoon periods during JASMINE   Catherine A. Russell, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and C. W. Fairall and M. N. Ryan 2:29 PM J3.4 JASMINE observations of upper ocean structure and variability in the Bay of Bengal during the southwest monsoon   Peter Hacker, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and R. Lukas, E. Firing, and J. S. Godfrey 2:44 PM J3.5 Heat and Freshwater Budgets From Two Intensive Upper Ocean Surveys During JASMINE   Roger Lukas, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and M. Feng and P. Hacker 2:59 PM J3.6 Air-Sea Flux Measurements in the Bay of Bengal during the JASMINE Field Program   C. W. Fairall, NOAA/ETL, Boulder, CO; and J. E. Hare, A. A. Grachev, and E. F. Bradley 3:14 PM J3.7 Air-sea interaction in the Bay of Bengal during the post-monsoon period   E. Frank Bradley, CSIRO Land and Water, Canberra, Australia; and J. S. Godfrey, T. J. Ansell, and M. G. Wells
	3:30 PM, Wednesday Coffee Break
3:30 PM Morning Coffee Break
	4:00 PM-6:00 PM, Wednesday Joint Session 4 Influence of air-sea interactions on monsoon development, variability and predictability (Joint Session with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Organizer: Victor Magana, National Autonomous Univ. of Mexico, Mexico City Mexico
4:00 PM J4.1 Relationships between Northern Gulf of California Sea Surface Temperatures and Arizona Summer Rainfall   David L. Mitchell, DRI, Reno, NV; and D. Ivanova, R. Rabin, and K. Redmond 4:15 PM J4.2 Impact of air-sea coupling on the MJO in a General Circulation Model   Harry Hendon, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, CO 4:30 PM J4.3 Mechanisms of the ENSO-Monsoon Interaction During Mature-Decay Phase of ENSO Cycle   Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and R. Wu and X. Fu 4:45 PM J4.4 Intraseasonal Ocean-Atmosphere-Land Interaction during Northern Summer   Huang-Hsiung Hsu, National Taiwan Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. H. Weng 5:00 PM J4.5 Annual cycle and interannual variability of the Asian-Australian monsoon system   Michio Yanai, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and X. Liu 5:15 PM J4.6 The role of SST on the Asian summer monsoon circulation   P. L. S. Rao, IBM India Research Laboratory, New Delhi, India 5:30 PM J4.7 Intraseasonal and Interannual Variability of the Indian Ocean   Galina Chirokova, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO; and P. J. Webster 5:45 PM J4.8 Influence of Indian Ocean SST anomalies on the Indian monsoon during Eastern Pacific warm events   Brian N. Belcher, Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY; and K. H. Cook
Thursday, 25 May 2000
	8:00 AM-8:15 AM, Thursday Joint Session 5 Debate: "Is There Skill in Forecasting El Nino and La Nina Events?" (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
8:00 AM J5.1 Write-up of Debate   D. Enfield, R. Livezey, J. Knaff,
	9:45 AM, Thursday Coffee Break
	10:15 AM-12:00 PM, Thursday Joint Session 6 Predictability of the tropical atmosphere-ocean system on seasonal timescales (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Organizer: Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI
10:15 AM J6.1 Air-sea feedbacks in the western Pacific using a coupled single-column model   Carol Anne Clayson, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and A. Chen 10:30 AM J6.2 A unified theory for the El Nino-Southern Oscillation   Chunzai Wang, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL 10:45 AM J6.3 A Generalized Canonical Mixed Regression Model for ENSO Prediction with Its Experiment   Zhihong Jiang, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, China; and S. Neng and D. Yuguo 11:00 AM J6.4 How much "skill" was there in forecasting the strong 1997-98 El Nino and 1998-2000 La Nina events?   Christopher W. Landsea, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and J. A. Knaff 11:15 AM J6.5 Multi-model superensemble forecasts for Weather and seasonal climate   T. N. Krishnamurti, Florida State Univ., Tallahassee, FL; and T. S. V. Vijaya Kumar, Z. Zhang, T. LaRow, D. R. Bachiochi, C. E. Williford, S. Gadgil, and S. Surendran 11:30 AM J6.6 A Poisson generalised linear model for the extended range forecasting of seasonal typhoon numbers   F. P. Roberts, Univ. College London, Dorking, Surrey, United Kingdom 11:45 AM J6.7 Tropospheric direct circulations associated with the climatic components of SST variability in the equatorial Pacific   David B. Enfield, NOAA/AOML, Miami, FL; and A. Mestas-Nuñez
	12:00 PM, Thursday Lunch Break
	1:15 PM-3:00 PM, Thursday Joint Session 7 Atmospheric and oceanic boundary layers in tropical cyclones I (Joint Session with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Organizer: Joe Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL
1:15 PM J7.1 A Smart Balloon Designed to Investigate Hurricane Inflow Energetics   Steven Businger, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes, R. Johnson, and J. A. Businger 1:30 PM J7.2 Analysis Of a Tropical Cyclone Boundary Layer Database Against MM5 Model Simulations   Pat J. Fitzpatrick, Jackson State Univ., Jackson, MS; and Y. Li and R. Mahecha 1:45 PM J7.3 Large eddy simulations of the hurricane boundary layer   Shouping Wang, USRA, Huntsville, AL; and E. W. McCaul and K. R. Knupp 2:00 PM J7.4 Development of an over-water gust factor model for hurricane conditions   Craig A. Miller, Risk Management Solutions Ltd, London, United Kingdom 2:15 PM J7.5 Comparison of Gust Factor Data from Hurricanes   Mark R. Conder, Texas Tech Univ., Lubbock, TX; and R. E. Peterson 2:30 PM J7.6 A numerical study of the Gulf Stream response to hurricanes   Sergey A. Frolov, Univ. of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI; and I. Ginis 2:45 PM J7.7 Sea surface salinity reduction in the upper ocean induced by tropical cyclones   Vladimir Pudov, Institute of Experimental Meteorology, Obninsk, Russia; and I. Ginis
	3:00 PM, Thursday Coffee Break
	3:30 PM-5:30 PM, Thursday Joint Session 8 Atmospheric & Oceanic Boundary Layers on Tropical Cyclones II (Joint with the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
Organizer: Nick Shay, Univ. of Miami, RSMAS, Miami, FL
3:30 PM J8.1 Tropical cyclone boundary layer wind variability   Mark D. Powell, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and T. A. Reinhold and R. D. Marshall 3:45 PM J8.2 High Surface Winds in Tropical Cyclones: Boundary-Layer Models vs. Dropsonde Observations   Lixin Zeng, E.W. Blanch Co., Minneapolis, MN; and R. A. Brown 4:00 PM J8.3 Inflow Layer Energetics of Hurricane Bonnie near Landfall   Derek R. Wroe, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and G. M. Barnes 4:15 PM J8.4 Turbulence in the Ocean Boundary Layer Below Hurricane Dennis   Eric A. D'Asaro, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA; and P. G. Black 4:30 PM J8.5 Response of the Coastal Ocean to Hurricanes Floyd and Irene at the South Florida Ocean Measurement Center   Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern Univ., Dania Beach, FL; and R. H. Weisberg and M. E. Luther 4:45 PM J8.6 Upper Ocean Response to Hurricane Wind Asymmetries   S. Daniel Jacob, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, P. G. Black, and S. H. Houston 5:00 PM J8.7 Coupled Air-Sea Interactions During Hurricane Bonnie   Thomas M. Cook, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and L. K. Shay, P. G. Black, G. J. Goni, M. M. Huber, S. D. Jacob, and J. J. Cione 5:15 PM J8.8 Atmospheric boundary layer and upper ocean structure observed in Hurricane Erika (1997)   Joseph J. Cione, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and E. W. Uhlhorn and P. G. Black
	7:00 PM-9:00 PM, Thursday Session 11C Conference Banquet, Speaker: Peter Davies (Joint between the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology and the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere)
7:00 PM 11C.1 Biography of Banquet Speaker   Peter Davies, Author, West Yorkshire, United Kingdom
Friday, 26 May 2000
	8:30 AM-11:45 AM, Friday Session 1 Air-sea interactions in the warm water pool and other tropical regions
Organizers: Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; Richard Reynolds, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
8:30 AM 1.1 Effects of convection and clouds on TOA and surface energy budget and on sea surface temperature   Xiaoqing Wu, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. W. Moncrieff 8:45 AM 1.2 Intraseasonal Fluctuations at the onset of the 1997–98 El Nino   John W. Bergman, NOAA/CDC and CIRES, Boulder, CO; and H. H. Hendon and K. M. Weickmann 9:00 AM 1.3 SST Variation due to Interactive Convective-Radiative Processes   W.-K. Tao, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD; and C. -. L. Shie, D. Johnson, J. Simpson, X. Li, and C. -. H. Sui 9:15 AM 1.4 A New Look at an Old Problem: The Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall over Tropical Oceans   David B. Parsons, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and F. Guichard, E. Miller, S. Cohn, W. O. J. Brown, and K. Yoneyama 9:30 AM 1.5 Horizontal Structure of the Near-Surface Temperature and Salinity Fields in the Western Equatorial Pacific Warm Pool   Alexander V. Soloviev, Nova Southeastern Univ., Dania Beach, FL; and R. Lukas and P. Hacker 9:45 AM Morning Coffee Break   10:15 AM 1.6 Intraseasonal Perturbations in Sea Surface Temperatures of the Equatorial Eastern Pacific: Induced by the Madden-Julian Oscillation?   Chidong Zhang, RSMAS/Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL 10:30 AM 1.7 Intraseasonal Oscillations as triggers for warm events in a three-dimensional ocean model: sensitivity at various time scales   Jon M. Schrage, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and C. A. Clayson 10:45 AM 1.8 The interannual variability in the tropical Indian Ocean   Bohua Huang, COLA, Calverton, MD; and J. L. Kinter III 11:00 AM 1.9 Interannual Variability of Radiative Fluxes and Sea Surface Temperature in the Vicinity of the Indonesian Throughflow   Kathryn A. Bush, SAIC, Hampton, VA; and G. L. Smith and D. F. Young 11:15 AM 1.10 Simulation of the tropical Atlantic interannual variability   Lishan Tseng, National Taiwan Normal Univ., Taipei, Taiwan; and C. R. Mechoso 11:30 AM 1.11 A Discussion on the Master-Servant Relation of Air-Sea Interaction over NINO3 Region and the Equatorial Eastern Indian Ocean   Jinhai He, Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China; and H. Xu and B. Zhou
	11:45 AM-1:45 PM, Friday Session 2 Influence of freshwater flux and salinity on sea surface temperatures and ocean dynamics
Organizer: Richard Reynolds, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
11:45 AM 2.1 Upper ocean heat and salt variability in the equatorial Pacific   Heidi Zeleznik, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN; and C. A. Clayson 12:00 PM 2.2 Influence of Rainfall on the Subtropical North Pacific Mixed Layer   Roger Lukas, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 12:15 PM Lunch Break
	2:00 PM-3:45 PM, Friday Session 3 Air-sea interaction and Pacific Decadal Variability
Organizer: Bin Wang, Univ. of Hawaii, Honalulu, HI
2:00 PM 3.1 Freshening of the Upper Pycnocline in the North Pacific Subtropical Gyre Associated With Decadal Changes of Rainfall   Roger Lukas, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI 2:15 PM 3.2 Propagation of North Pacific interdecadal subsurface temperature anomalies in an ocean GCM   Masami Nonaka, Frontier Research System for Global Change, Tokyo, Japan and Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie 2:30 PM 3.3 Spatiotemporal Structure of decadal scale variability observed in the Global SST and lower-tropospheric circulation fields   Tomohiko Tomita, Frontier Research Program for Global Change, Tokyo, Japan and Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and B. Wang, T. Yasunari, and H. Nakamura 2:45 PM 3.4 Decadal variability and the anomalous 1990s ENSO events   Qin Zhang, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Honolulu, HI; and Y. Ding and L. Yi 3:00 PM 3.5 A "Heat Pump" Picture for the ENSO System   De-Zheng Sun, NOAA/CDC, Boulder, Colorado 3:15 PM 3.6 Is the PDO a Single Mode of Climate Variability or the Result of Several? Implications for the Next Decade   Robert E. Livezey, CPC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Silver Spring, MD; and T. M. Smith 3:30 PM Afternoon Coffee Break
	3:45 PM-4:45 PM, Friday Session 4 Air-sea interactions and the North Atlantic Oscillation
Organizer: Richard Reynolds, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD
3:45 PM 4.1 The Coupling between the Thermohaline Circulation and North Atlantic Oscillation in Global Ocean Atmosphere Land System Model   Tian-jun Zhou, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China; and X. H. Zhang 4:00 PM 4.2 Response of an Atmospheric GCM to Tropical Atlantic SST Dipole   Yuko Okumura, Univ. of Hawaii, Honolulu, HI; and S. P. Xie, A. Numaguti, and Y. Tanimoto 4.3 Comparing the physics of ocean-atmosphere coupling and estimates of extratropical predictability in models and reality   Mark J. Rodwell, UK Met Office, Bracknell, Berks., United Kingdom 4.4 Midlatitude ocean-atmosphere interaction in an idealized coupled model   Sergey V. Kravtsov, Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA; and A. W. Robertson and M. Ghil
Saturday, 27 May 2000
	8:30 AM-10:15 AM, Saturday Session 5 Turbulent surface fluxes and SSTs
Organizer: Carol Anne Clayson, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN
8:30 AM 5.1 SEAFLUX: Ocean Surface Turbulent Flux Project   Judith A. Curry, Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO 8:45 AM 5.2 Uncertainties in global sea surface turbulent flux algorithms   Michael A. Brunke, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng 9:00 AM 5.3 Effect of Precipitation and Clouds on Ocean Surface Fluxes at Different Spatial Scales   Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and Q. Zhang, D. Johnson, and W. K. Tao 9:15 AM 5.4 Measuring heat flux with differential absorption techniques   Walter J. McKeown, NRL, Stennis Space Center, MS 9:30 AM 5.5 Air-Sea surface heat flux, solar irradiance and surface temperature measurement using an in-situ sensor   J. P. Boyle, Univ. of Wisconsin, Madison, WI 9:45 AM 5.6 Evaluation of AVHRR and GOES SST algorithms using skin temperature data   John W. Makevich Jr., Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ; and X. Zeng, X. Li, and X. Wu 10:00 AM Morning Coffee Break
	10:30 AM-11:30 AM, Saturday Session 6 Coupled ocean-atmosphere phenomena
Organizer: Xubin Zeng, Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
10:30 AM 6.1 A coupled atmosphere-ocean model applied to the simulation of Mediterranean lows and hurricanes   P. Lionello, Univ. of Lecce, Lecce, Italy; and P. Malguzzi, E. Caldognetto, and A. Sanna 10:45 AM 6.2 Dynamical and thermal feedback mechanisms between the atmosphere and ocean surface   Will Perrie, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada; and Y. Zhang and Q. Zheng 11:00 AM 6.3 A Numerical Study of Air-Sea Interaction in the Japan/East Sea   Li Wang, Univ. of Miami, Miami, FL; and S. S. Chen and J. Tenerelli 11:15 AM 6.4 Anomalous cloud lines over the Chesapeake and Delaware Bays   Todd D. Sikora, U.S. Naval Academy, Annapolis, MD; and E. O'Marr and R. Gasparavic
	11:45 AM-12:00 PM, Saturday CONFERENCE ENDS
	1:00 PM, Saturday Session Tour of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in west Miami-Dade County (Bus to depart from the Convention Center at 1:00 p.m., the tour will begin in Miami at 2:00 p.m. and will take approximately 1 hour, the bus will return to the convention center by 4:30 p.m.) Bus tickets may be purchased at the AMS Registration desk on-site. The final cost for the bus ticket will be between $6-$10, depending on how many people sign up for transportation. (Joint between the 10th Conference on Interaction of the Sea and Atmosphere and the 24th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology)

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