Session El Niño Southern Oscillation: Dynamics, Prediction and Projection


Description:

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the dominant mode of variability in the tropical Pacific at interannual timescales. Given its large-scale influence and global impacts, understanding, predicting and projecting ENSO is of great societal relevance. ENSO events are the results of complex ocean-atmosphere feedbacks, mediated by influences from the extra-tropical Pacific as well as Atlantic and Indian Oceans which may be stochastic in nature. As a result, ENSO events are very diverse in their initiation, development, demise and spatial patterns, posing key challenges to our ability to predict them. Climate change can also be expected to alter ENSO characteristics and its local and remote impacts. This session invites contributions that explore all aspects of ENSO, including its dynamics, diversity, event predictability and prediction, teleconnections, impacts, and future projections from observational, theoretical and modeling perspectives. Contributions that examine the role of inter-basin interactions on ENSO development and diversity are also welcome.


Submission Deadline: Wednesday, 24 August 2022