S131 Potential of Future Weather Extreme Cold Events in Central Texas using CWRF

Sunday, 28 January 2024
Hall E (The Baltimore Convention Center)
Christopher "Chuck" Charles Baker, Jr, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD; and B. H. Sheppard Sr.

Handout (3.5 MB)

The Texas Winter Storm was an unprecedented and historical eight-day period of winter weather that occurred between 10 February 2021 and 18 February 2021 across South-Central Texas. Originating from the February 13 - 17, 2021 North American winter storm, extreme temperatures and record winter precipitation crippled the Texas economy, causing power outages, road closures, and other societal impacts across the state. Using the Climate-Weather Research and Forecasting (CWRF) model, we will initialize the study by comparing the CWRF results to the American Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and the ERA5 reanalysis datasets. We will then analyze CWRF data output on the potential of similar timescale, future extreme events through investigating modular temperature and precipitation projections for a 50 year run.
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