Session 11 Advancing Hazards Forecasting and Decision Support through NOAA Testbeds and Proving Grounds


Description:

The NOAA Testbeds and Proving Grounds (TBPGs) are cross-NOAA networks that are crucial for transitioning research on hazards forecasting and risk communication into operations at NOAA. TBPGs are working relationships for developmental testing, in a quasi-operational framework among researchers and operational scientists /experts (measurement specialists, forecasters, IT specialists, social scientists, etc.) including partners in academia, the private sector and government agencies, aimed at solving operational problems or enhancing operations, all in the context of user needs. TBPGs have four major roles. First, they are devoted to testing, evaluating, and refining the emerging probabilistic innovations that are at the forefront of forecasting a continuum of environmental threats. Second, they design and develop products to communicate risk in order to advance actionable outlooks, watches, and warnings. This includes translating hazards into impacts, optimizing watches/warnings, and facilitating social science studies to understand how these products are interpreted. Third, they put innovations in front of NOAA forecasters and users, including emergency managers and broadcast meteorologists, to introduce them to new products and get feedback on their development. Finally, they provide feedback from operations and testing into research and research priorities. Testing and evaluation are iterative, with innovations often going through several rounds of testing and refinement in experiments.

 

This session will include presentations from facilitators, researchers, and developers in TBPG activities across a range of hazards, and across the four types of testbed roles, including the testing and evaluation of advanced modeling, data assimilation, science and product development to advance forecasting and communication of those hazards. These hazards include, but are not limited to, aviation, fire and space weather, heavy precipitation, heat, winter storms, severe storms and tornadoes, hurricanes, hazards in the Arctic and Alaska, and coastal and ocean hazards.

 

Ultimately these innovations in weather, water, and climate applications are available for use by decision makers and other end users and the public for societal benefits. This session will illustrate the roles and efforts of TBPGs to conduct testing and evaluation to enable and accelerate the transition of innovations to NOAA operations, including products and services on environmental hazards at the National Weather Service, National Ocean Service, and the National Environmental Satellite and Data Information Service.

Conveners: Chandra Kondragunta (NOAA/OAR/WPO),
Andrea Ray (NOAA/OAR/PSL), James Nelson (NOAA/NWS/WPC),
Jordan Dale (NOAA/OAR/WPO), Louisa Nance (NCAR/RAL/JNT)


Papers:
An Overview of the 2023 Aviation Weather Testbed Experiment
Stephanie J. Avey, NWS/AWC, Kansas City, MO; and A. E. Cross, R. Hepper, A. P. Korner, A. M. Terborg, N. R. Hardin, and S. Alvidrez

Forecasters’ Use of Warn-on-Forecast System Probabilistic Hazard Information (WoFS-PHI) during the 2023 HWT Watch-to-Warning Experiment
Pamela Heinselman, NSSL, Norman, OK; and E. D. Loken, K. M. Calhoun, T. Sandmael, P. C. Burke, K. L. Berry, P. A. Campbell, R. B. Steeves, C. N. Satrio, P. Skinner, J. G. Madden, J. W. Monroe, T. J. Galarneau, and J. Martin

AWC web experience with cloud, mobile first, and faster AWT prototyping
Austin E. Cross, NWS/Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO

The NOAA Testbeds and Proving Grounds: Role in advancing hazards forecasting for decision support
Andrea J. Ray, NOAA/Earth System Research Lab, Boulder, CO; and J. J. Brost, S. J. Avey, K. L. Berry, M. D. Cash, J. Correia Jr., J. Dale, T. Fanara, A. Gerard, W. Hogsett, P. T. Marsh, L. B. Nance, J. A. Nelson Jr., E. M. Petrescu, M. Rosencrans, J. Scheck, P. J. Stone, Z. Tolby, J. G. Yoe, and M. Youngman

Urban Heat Experiment Around Lubbock, Texas (U-HEAT): An Exploration of Urban Heat Islands and Associated Advection
Tyler Bell Danzig, Texas Tech Univ., Atmospheric Science Group, stafford, VA; and S. Pal, Z. M. Medley, H. K. Dhaliwal, M. Hamel, T. R. Lee, and M. R. Conder

Operational Challenges of Precipitation Type Forecasts
Andrew A. Rosenow, PhD, CIWRO - Cooperative Institute for Severe and High Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; and J. Correia Jr., H. D. Reeves, D. D. Tripp, K. J. Harnos, A. D. Werkema, J. Dufort, and M. E. Baldwin

Development and evaluation of fire weather products in the WoFS
Thomas A. Jones, Cooperative Institute for Severe and High Impact Weather Research and Operations, Norman, OK; and P. Skinner, R. Ahmadov, E. P. James, T. Lindley, J. Martin, and B. C. Matilla

FV3-LAM Convection-Allowing Model Forecasts and Ensemble Consensus Products for the 13th HMT Winter Weather Experiment
Phillip Spencer, CAPS, Norman, OK; and K. A. Brewster, J. Park, N. A. Snook, and M. Xue

Exploring the operational utility of entraining CAPE in supercell tornado forecasting
Brice Evan Coffer, North Carolina State Universtiy, Raleigh, NC; and K. Halbert, J. M. Peters, and R. L. Thompson

Results from the 2023 Flash Flood and Intense Rainfall (FFaIR) Experiment
Sarah Marie Trojniak, CIRES-CIESRDS @ NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, MD; and J. Correia Jr., W. M. Bartolini, B. S. Albright, and J. A. Nelson Jr.

Volcanic Ash, Aerosols, and Trace Gases Over Alaska: A Perspective from a High-Latitude Proving Ground
Jennifer Delamere, Univ. of Alaska, Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK; and N. A. Krotkov, V. J. Realmuto, C. Dierking, J. Cable, C. Li, and N. Eckstein

Submission Deadline: Thursday, 31 August 2023