Session 5B Exploring the Pipeline from Trustworthy AI to Effective Delivery of Decision-Support Services

Tuesday, 14 January 2025: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
245 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 24th Conference on Artificial Intelligence for Environmental Science
Submitters:
Monica Youngman; Robert Redmon, NOAA / NCEI, NCEI, Boulder, CO and Jebb Q. Stewart, ESRL, Boulder, CO
Cochairs:
Monica Youngman and Jebb Q. Stewart, ESRL, Boulder, CO

Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool in geophysics, revolutionizing data analysis, modeling, and prediction capabilities as well as having the potential to revolutionize weather impact-based decision support services and risk communication. However, the adoption of AI in geophysical research and applications raises critical questions about trustworthiness and ethics and how systems are trusted (or not) to provide decision support services. While Policies are being established to mandate trustworthy and ethical AI, such as the U.S. Executive Order on the Safe, Secure, and Trustworthy Development and Use of Artificial Intelligence, there is little clarity on what this means for scientists, developers, and how users will trust AI for decision support. This session will explore the multifaceted aspects of trustworthy and ethical AI through the uses of AI for decision support.

  • Integration of Weather Data and Impact Models: How can we leverage AI to integrate weather models and forecasts with impact models to provide tailored decision support services that account for local conditions and vulnerabilities? What advancements have been made in coupling weather forecasts with socioeconomic data and models to assess the potential impacts of extreme weather events on various sectors, such as emergency resource management, agriculture, transportation, and public health?
  • Personalized Decision Support Services: How can AI be used to personalize IDSS and risk communication based on individual or community-specific needs, preferences, and vulnerabilities? What approaches and algorithms can be employed to tailor weather-related recommendations, warnings, and mitigation strategies to diverse user groups, including vulnerable populations and decision-makers in different sectors?
  • Innovations in AI Risk Communication: What innovative tools, technologies, and communication strategies are being utilized to improve the creation and dissemination of warnings and risk information? How can we use AI to leverage social media, mobile apps, citizen science, and other digital platforms to reach diverse audiences and facilitate real-time communication during weather emergencies and feedback that provides for continuous improvement of services?
  • Case Studies and Best Practices: What real-world examples and case studies demonstrate the successful integration of AI into IDSS and risk communication efforts? What lessons learned and best practices can be derived from these experiences to guide future implementation and deployment of AI technologies in weather forecasting, emergency response, and public communication?

Papers:
8:30 AM
5B.1
2025 Update on the NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography (AI2ES)
Amy McGovern, NSF AI Institute for Research on Trustworthy AI in Weather, Climate, and Coastal Oceanography Univ. of Oklahoma (AI2ES), Norman, OK

8:45 AM
5B.2
Exploring the Meaning of Trustworthy and Ethical AI through the Lens of Knowledge Graphs for Explainable AI Infrastructure.
Ryan Riccucci, Customs & Border Protection, Tucson, AZ; Department of Homeland Security, Tucson, AZ; and A. Mitchell

9:00 AM
5B.3
Hierarchical Superpixel Explanations Improve XAI Attribution Methods for Geospatial Models
Evan Andrew Krell, Texas A&M Univ. - Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX; and A. Mamalakis, S. A. King, P. E. Tissot, and I. Ebert-Uphoff

9:15 AM
5B.4
National Weather Service (NWS) Forecasters' Perceptions of AI/ML and its Use in Operational Forecasting
Christopher D. Wirz, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. L. Demuth, M. G. Cains, M. C. White, J. T. Radford, and A. Bostrom

9:30 AM
5B.5
Tropical Storms, Translations, and Trust: AI's Influence on Spanish Speaking Communities' Weather Risk Perceptions
America Rosario Gaviria Pabon, Institute for Public Policy Research and Analysis, Norman, OK; CIWRO/NSSL/Behavioral Insights Unit, Norman, OK; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; CIWRO, Norman, OK

9:45 AM
5B.6
From Data to Decision: Exploring User Engagement with Machine Learning Models During Cold-Stunning Events
Miranda Carolyne White, NOAA Center for Coastal and Marine Ecosystems, Corpus Christi, TX; Texas A&M Univ.-Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX; NSF AI Institute (AI2ES), Corpus Christi, TX; and C. D. Wirz, M. G. Cains, J. L. Demuth, J. Q. Stewart, and P. E. Tissot

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner