Session 3 Impact of Visibility, Clouds, Icing, and Turbulence on Aviation Operations I

Monday, 13 January 2025: 1:45 PM-3:00 PM
354 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 25th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Cochairs:
Tammy J. Flowe and Paul E. Bieringer, FAA, Washington, DC

Our ability to observe, analyze and forecast major aviation, range, and aerospace hazards (turbulence, icing, convection, ceiling, visibility, and wind shear) continues to improve each year. Nonetheless, these hazards remain a leading cause of aircraft accidents and injuries, as well as delays among commercial air carriers to this day. This session invites papers that explore the newest advances and techniques in observing, analyzing and forecasting aviation hazards. In addition, and equally importantly, the session seeks papers focused on novel methods and practices to effectively assess, model, predict and share safety-critical hazard guidance among all aviation decision-makers.

Papers:
1:45 PM
3.1
Forecasting a Severe Convectively Induced Turbulence Event of a Passenger Aircraft using the ECMWF IFS model
Sonja Gisinger, DLR, Oberpfaffenhofen, Bayern, Germany; and M. Bramberger, A. Dörnbrack, and P. Bechtold

2:00 PM
3.2
Invisible Threats: How Jet Stream Shifts are Amplifying Clear Air Turbulence in U.S. Aviation (1980 - 2023)
Idamis Enid Rodriguez Nazario, University of Wisconsin - Madison, Madison, WI; and M. I. Oyola-Merced

2:15 PM
3.3
Variations in In-Flight Icing Likelihood over the U.S. During Different Weather Regimes
Daniel R. Adriaansen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. L. Rugg, J. Haggerty, and S. M. Ellis

2:30 PM
3.4
Application of surface-reported weather type in the Terminal Area Icing Diagnosis and Forecasting Capability
Darcy Jacobson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and S. D. Landolt, S. DiVito, and B. Bernstein

2:45 PM
3.5
Classifying Cloud Top Phase with GOES-16 Longwave Bands, ICICLE Data, and Machine Learning
Joshua Lave, NSF NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Bernstein, S. D. Landolt, and S. DiVito

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner