Session 4A Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output: Development, Evaluation, and Applications of Downscaling and Post-processing Methods II

Monday, 13 January 2025: 4:30 PM-6:00 PM
209 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 39th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs:
Mimi R. Abel, NOAA, ESRL/Physical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO; Adrienne Wootten; Daniel Feldman, LBNL, Climate and Ecosystems Sciences Division, Berkeley, CA and Ethan D. Gutmann

All weather forecasts and climate projections must start from model simulations that span a global domain, often necessitating a coarse spatial grid; however, most applications of those models need data at highly local spatial scales. In addition, these models have biases that preclude their direct application for some uses. Because of these mismatches, many approaches have been developed to make climate and weather model output more useful and usable for hydrologic purposes. Statistical and dynamical downscaling, alongside pre- and post-processing methods,  allow these model outputs to better resolve features such as mountains, coastal boundaries, and other hydroclimatic features. In addition, careful evaluation of their historical skill in current climate, statistical reliability for weather forecasts, and diagnosis of their representation of future changes are critical, and bias correction may be necessary for their application. Finally, understanding gained through applications of downscaled products provides key feedback between users and developers of the models and methods.  We invite presentations on the development of downscaling approaches and datasets, post-processing and bias correction techniques, evaluations of different methods, and applications of downscaled products. We especially welcome submissions that explore gaps in our landscape of regional downscaling methods, including understanding the interpretation of differences in pseudo-global warming, multi-model and large-ensemble regional projections.

Papers:
4:30 PM
4A.1
Insights on Internal Variability and Uncertainty from a Downscaled Climate Large Ensemble (invited)
Samantha Hartke, NCAR, Longmont, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. J. Newman, F. Lehner, R. R. McCrary, and E. D. Gutmann

4:45 PM
4A.2
Evaluating the EPA Dynamically Downscaled Ensemble (EDDE) for Hydrological Endpoints
Jeff Willison, EPA, Durham, NC; and M. S. Mallard, T. Spero, and J. H. Bowden

5:00 PM
4A.3
Downscaling Method Evaluation for Regional Precipitation and Temperature Over CONUS
Nicholas D. Lybarger, NCAR, Louisville, CO; NCAR, Boulder, CO; and E. D. Gutmann, S. Hartke, T. Eidhammer, S. McGinnis, R. R. McCrary, S. Rasmussen, A. J. Newman, and A. W. Wood

5:15 PM
4A.4
A Framework for Downscaling and Bias Correction using Differentiable Models
Kamlesh Arun Sawadekar, The Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA; and P. Li and C. Shen

5:30 PM
4A.5
Quantifying Changes in Extreme Snow Accumulation Under a Future Climate
Brennan Bean, Utah State University, Logan, UT; and K. Pomeyie, W. Zhang, D. J. McEvoy, A. Liel, M. Maguire, C. Ratterman, and S. O'Neil

5:45 PM
4A.6
- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner