Session 14A Advances in Large-scale Flood Modeling, Monitoring, Forecasting, Analysis, and Management II

Thursday, 16 January 2025: 10:45 AM-12:00 PM
209 (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Host: 39th Conference on Hydrology
Cochairs:
Sudershan Gangrade, ORNL, Environmental Sciences Division/Water Resources Science and Engineering, Oak Ridge, TN; Shih-Chieh Kao, Texas A&M University, Civil Engineering, College Station, TX and Mario Morales-Hernández, ORNL, Knoxville, TN

The increasing magnitude and frequency of hydrometeorological extremes are exacerbating global flood risks on an unprecedented scale. Changing human-climate dynamics further presents unique challenges for scientific communities to accurately monitor, analyze, forecast, predict, and manage large-scale flood events. Accurate and timely prediction of flood hazards is pivotal for decision-makers in developing flood mitigation, climate resilience, and disaster management strategies. Recent advances in science and technology have led to the development of improved monitoring systems and predictive models that can assimilate observational data into modeling frameworks, including hybrid data-model fusion to provide improved understanding and characterization of flood risks. The evolution of remote sensing technologies and monitoring networks, in conjunction with human feedback, are advancing the predictive capabilities, but challenges remain for large-scale floods. The session invites contributions including but not limited to (1) the development of flood-monitoring, prediction, and forecasting tools (integrated atmospheric-hydrologic-hydrodynamic modeling, data assimilation, uncertainty quantification, and machine learning) and (2) lessons learned from managing big floods from scientific and societal perspectives. We welcome papers that particularly focus on large-scale flood modeling as well as continental and global-scale hydrologic forecasting systems.

Papers:
10:45 AM
14A.1
Progress in Large-Scale Hydrology Simulation Technologies (Invited)
Ahmad Tavakoly, US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Vicksburg, MS; ERDC Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS; and M. Geheran, A. Sisco, V. Roland, and N. Memarsadeghi

11:00 AM
14A.2
Evaluation of National Water Model Streamflow Forecasts for Large- and Small- Scale Flood Events during the 2024 Hurricane Season
Kathryn van Werkhoven, NWS, Tuscaloosa, AL; Research Triangle Institute, Boone, NC; and J. A. Regina, J. R. Zimmerman, and M. Denno

11:15 AM
14A.3
Propagation of Uncertainties in CMIP6-Based Multi-Model Streamflow Projections Across the Conterminous US
Ganesh R Ghimire, ORNL, Oak Ridge, TN; and S. C. Kao and S. Gangrade

11:30 AM
14A.4
An Automated Cloud-Based Hydrodynamic Flood Modeling Workflow
Elizabeth Perry, Jupiter Intelligence, New York, NY; and H. M. Hampson, J. W. Oyler, and J. Rogers

11:45 AM
14A.5
FLASH Guidance Validation: The Puerto Rico Study
Ahmed E. Gandía, University of Puerto Rico at Mayaguez, Toa Alta, PR; and O. Martinez and E. Rodríguez

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