JPD 6C Predictability Across Scales

Tuesday, 14 January 2025: 10:45 AM-12:00 PM
Great Hall C (New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center)
Hosts: (Joint between the Presidential Conference; and the Gerald A Meehl Symposium )
Moderator:
Panelists:
Gerald Allen Meehl, NCAR, Climate and Global Dynamics Lab, Boulder, CO; Emily J. Becker, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, College Park, MD; Thomas L. Delworth; Chidong Zhang, NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, PMEL Bldg 3 Rm 1108, Seattle, WA; L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA and Kathleen Pegion

Accurate climate predictions on sub-seasonal to decadal (S2D) timescales can greatly benefit society. Building on the success of weather forecasting, research into S2D predictions has rapidly advanced over the past five years. This has been spurred on by an increasing sense of urgency for human societies to have credible predictions of the time evolution of regional climate to provide information as to what we are going to have to adapt to. Unlike weather forecasts, where initial conditions play a key role in deterministic predictions, in S2D climate predictions their influence diminishes gradually as the prediction timescale extends, while boundary conditions and external forcings become increasingly important. In this presidential session, we will explore the challenges and opportunities for improving predictions on S2D timescales via keynotes and panel discussions.

Papers:
10:45 AM
Keynote: Dr. Meehl

11:10 AM
Panel Discussion

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