Session 9 Modeling and Verification

Thursday, 7 October 2004: 8:00 AM-12:00 PM
Host: 11th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace
Steven E. Koch, NOAA/FSL, R/FS1, Boulder, CO and Jennifer L. Mahoney, NOAA/ERL/FSL

8:00 AM
Preliminary results of WRF model performance as a step towards the NCEP Rapid Refresh cycle
Tatiana G. Smirnova, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ERL/FSL, Boulder, CO; and J. M. Brown and S. G. Benjamin
8:30 AM
Current Icing Potential (CIP) severity index
Tressa L. Fowler, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and M. Chapman, B. G. Brown, and J. L. Mahoney
8:45 AM
New verification approaches for convective weather forecasts
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. R. Bullock, C. A. Davis, J. H. Gotway, M. Chapman, A. Takacs, E. Gilleland, J. L. Mahoney, and K. Manning
9:00 AM
9:30 AM
Development of NCEP's Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model within WRF: Description and forecast guidance
Thomas Black, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and M. Pyle, Z. Janjic, and H. Y. Chuang
9:45 AM
Defining observation fields for verification of the Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP): Part 2
Jennifer Luppens Mahoney, OAR, Boulder, CO; and S. Seseske, J. E. Hart, M. P. Kay, and B. G. Brown
10:00 AM
Coffee Break

10:30 AM
Numerical simulations of the wake of Kauai with implications for the Helios flights
T. P. Lane, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and R. Sharman, R. G. Frehlich, J. M. Brown, J. T. Madura, and L. J. Ehernberger
10:45 AM
Aviation forecast products using the 10-km meso-scale model (MSM)
Jun Ryuzaki, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tokyo, Japan; and Y. Yamada, S. I. Takada, A. Kudo, and K. Niimi
11:00 AM
AUTOTREND – Automated guidance for short-term aviation weather forecasts
Albert J.M. Jacobs, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands; and N. Maat
11:15 AM
Assimilation of METAR cloud and visibility observations in the RUC
Stanley G. Benjamin, NOAA/Forecast Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO; and S. S. Weygandt, J. M. Brown, T. L. Smith, T. Smirnova, W. R. Moninger, B. Schwartz, E. J. Szoke, and K. Brundage
11:30 AM
An Experiment to Measure the Value of Statistical Probability Forecasts for Aerodromes
Ross Keith, Bureau of Meteorology and James Cook Univ., Townsville, Australia; and S. M. Leyton
11:45 AM
An introduction to NCEP SREF aviation project
Binbin Zhou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, J. McQueen, G. Dimego, G. Manikin, B. Ferrier, Z. Toth, H. Juang, M. Hart, J. Han, and J. Du
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