Session 8 |
| | Probabilistic Forecasting for ARAM |
| | Chair: John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL
|
| 9:00 AM | 8.1 | The use of statistical relationships to produce probabilistic nowcasts of storms
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and D. A. Ahijevych, C. P. Kalb, C. L. Phillips, J. O. Pinto, and M. Steiner |
| 9:15 AM | 8.2 | Probabilistic thunderstorm guidance from the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model: evaluation and evolution of a prototype system
Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. Alexander, S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, and P. Hofmann |
| 9:30 AM | 8.3 | Probabilistic forecasting of ceiling and visibility: Skill improvement through blending of rapid refresh, LAMP and regression
Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Lambi, R. Bateman, and J. Cowie |
| 9:45 AM | 8.4 | Introduction to NCEP's time lagged north american rapid refresh ensemble forecast system (NARRE-TL)
Binbin Zhou, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, G. Manikin, and G. DiMego |