Session 8 Probabilistic Forecasting for ARAM

Wednesday, 3 August 2011: 9:00 AM-10:00 AM
Imperial Suite ABC (Los Angeles Airport Marriott)
Host: 15th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
Chair:
John R. Mecikalski, University of Alabama in Huntsville, Department of Atmospheric Science, Huntsville, AL

Papers:
9:00 AM
8.1
The use of statistical relationships to produce probabilistic nowcasts of storms
John K. Williams, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado; and D. A. Ahijevych, C. P. Kalb, C. L. Phillips, J. O. Pinto, and M. Steiner

9:15 AM
8.2
Probabilistic thunderstorm guidance from the High Resolution Rapid Refresh (HRRR) model: evaluation and evolution of a prototype system
Eric P. James, CIRES/Univ. of Colorado and NOAA/ESRL/GSD, Boulder, CO; and C. Alexander, S. Weygandt, S. Benjamin, and P. Hofmann
Recorded Presentation

Handout (6.6 MB)

9:30 AM
8.3
Probabilistic forecasting of ceiling and visibility: Skill improvement through blending of rapid refresh, LAMP and regression
Paul H. Herzegh, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and B. Lambi, R. Bateman, and J. Cowie
Recorded Presentation

Handout (692.3 kB)

9:45 AM
8.4
Introduction to NCEP's time lagged north american rapid refresh ensemble forecast system (NARRE-TL)
Binbin Zhou, IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NWS/NOAA, Camp Springs, MD; and J. Du, G. Manikin, and G. DiMego
Recorded Presentation

Handout (2.1 MB)

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
See more of: 15th Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology
<< Previous Session | Next Session >>