Wednesday, 22 August 2007: 11:25 AM
Multnomah (DoubleTree by Hilton Portland)
A high-altitude
version of the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS-ALPHA)
is used to model the atmosphere's response to the total solar eclipse of 4
December 2002. Local reductions in solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation during the
eclipse are estimated using astronomical calculations of umbral and penumbral
surface trajectories from the US Naval Observatory, and observed solar limb
darkening at ~200-300 nm. In NOGAPS-ALPHA these UV eclipse shadows yield
stratospheric radiative cooling rate footprints peaking near 27 K day-1,
a value 2-3 times larger than assumed in previous modeling. Difference fields
between NOGAPS-ALPHA runs with and without this eclipse forcing reveal
vertically deep middle atmospheric responses, with three-dimensional horizontal
structures very similar to the large-scale bow-wave response first proposed by
Chimonas (1970). Such structure appears clearly only at later times when total
eclipses have abated and gravity waves generated in the stratosphere have had
time to propagate vertically. Bow-wave amplitudes and direct thermal cooling
responses in the stratosphere are both small (≤1 K for temperature and 2-3 ms-1
for horizontal winds), contradicting some rocketsonde measurements that suggest
much larger responses near 50-60 km altitude. We also find clear evidence of a
bow wave-like response in the model's surface pressure fields, with an amplitude
~0.1-0.5 hPa, while surface air temperatures in NOGAPS-ALPHA show ~4 K cooling
over Africa during the eclipse. Both findings are consistent with surface
atmospheric data acquired during previous eclipse passages.
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