16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
    

Session 12

 

Predictability

 Chair: Adam H. Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC Canada
8:30 AM12.1Connection of unstable periodic orbits with statistical characteristics and predictability of barotropic atmospheric model  
Andrey Gritsun, Institute of Numerical Mathematics, Moscow, Russia
8:45 AM12.2Large deviation theory applied to extreme waves  
Oliver Buhler, New York Univ., New York, NY
9:00 AM12.3Information flow between subspaces in ensemble prediction for complex dynamical systems  
Andrew J. Majda, New York University, New York, NY; and J. Harlim
 12.4On predictability of nonlinear models with large uncertainty in the evolution law  
Leonid M. Ivanov, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA
9:15 AM12.4ASpatial growth of perturbations in turbulent baroclinic flows  
Rahul B. Mahajan, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim
9:30 AM12.5Growth of differences in global simulations with explicit convection  
Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and T. Nasuno and M. Satoh
9:45 AM12.6The limit of predictability in the stratosphere versus troposphere of a coupled GCM  extended abstract
Cristiana Stan, COLA, Calverton, MD; and D. M. Straus

Thursday, 28 June 2007: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Ballroom South

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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