Session 12 | |||
Predictability | |||
Chair: Adam H. Monahan, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC Canada | |||
8:30 AM | 12.1 | Connection of unstable periodic orbits with statistical characteristics and predictability of barotropic atmospheric model Andrey Gritsun, Institute of Numerical Mathematics, Moscow, Russia | |
8:45 AM | 12.2 | Large deviation theory applied to extreme waves Oliver Buhler, New York Univ., New York, NY | |
9:00 AM | 12.3 | Information flow between subspaces in ensemble prediction for complex dynamical systems Andrew J. Majda, New York University, New York, NY; and J. Harlim | |
12.4 | On predictability of nonlinear models with large uncertainty in the evolution law Leonid M. Ivanov, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA | ||
9:15 AM | 12.4A | Spatial growth of perturbations in turbulent baroclinic flows Rahul B. Mahajan, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim | |
9:30 AM | 12.5 | Growth of differences in global simulations with explicit convection Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and T. Nasuno and M. Satoh | |
9:45 AM | 12.6 | The limit of predictability in the stratosphere versus troposphere of a coupled GCM Cristiana Stan, COLA, Calverton, MD; and D. M. Straus |
Thursday, 28 June 2007: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM, Ballroom South
* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting