Session 12 Predictability

Thursday, 28 June 2007: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
Ballroom South (La Fonda on the Plaza)
Host: 16th Conference on Atmospheric and Oceanic Fluid Dynamics
Chair:
Adam H. Monahan, University of Victoria, School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Victoria, BC

Papers:
8:30 AM
12.1
Connection of unstable periodic orbits with statistical characteristics and predictability of barotropic atmospheric model
Andrey Gritsun, Institute of Numerical Mathematics, Moscow, Russia
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
12.2
Large deviation theory applied to extreme waves
Oliver Buhler, New York Univ., New York, NY
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
12.3
Information flow between subspaces in ensemble prediction for complex dynamical systems
Andrew J. Majda, New York University, New York, NY; and J. Harlim
Recorded Presentation

12.4
On predictability of nonlinear models with large uncertainty in the evolution law

9:30 AM
12.4A
Spatial growth of perturbations in turbulent baroclinic flows
Rahul B. Mahajan, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and G. J. Hakim
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
12.5
Growth of differences in global simulations with explicit convection
Brian Mapes, Univ. of Miami/RSMAS, Miami, FL; and T. Nasuno and M. Satoh
Recorded Presentation

10:00 AM
12.6
The limit of predictability in the stratosphere versus troposphere of a coupled GCM
Cristiana Stan, COLA, Calverton, MD; and D. M. Straus

Presentation PDF (451.2 kB)

- Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting
- Indicates an Award Winner
See more of:
<< Previous Session | Next Session >>