Session 5 Mesoscale Predictability and Data Assimilation I

Tuesday, 4 August 2015: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM
Republic Ballroom AB (Sheraton Boston )
Host: 16th Conference on Mesoscale Processes
Cochairs:
Zhaoxia Pu, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT and Stanley B. Trier, NCAR, Boulder, CO

Papers:
8:00 AM
5.1
Mesoscale Predictability, Thunderstorms and the -5/3 Kinetic Energy Spectrum (INVITED)
Dale R. Durran, University of Washington, Seattle, WA; and J. A. Weyn
Recorded Presentation

8:30 AM
5.2
Intrinsic Predictability of the 20 May 2013 Tornadic Thunderstorm Event in Oklahoma at Storm Scales
Yunji Zhang, Peking University, Beijing, China; and F. Zhang, D. J. Stensrud, and Z. Meng
Recorded Presentation

8:45 AM
5.3
Climatology and Case Studies of Northeast Severe Convection with Low-Predictive Skill
Matthew T. Vaughan, SUNY, Albany, NY; and B. Tang and L. F. Bosart
Recorded Presentation

9:00 AM
5.4
Significance of environmental vertical wind shear in convective upscale growth: Observations and model analyses
Christopher A. Kerr, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and D. J. Stensrud and X. Wang
Recorded Presentation

9:15 AM
5.5
The scale- and case- dependence of the predictability of precipitation by a storm scale ensemble forecasting system
Madalina Surcel, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and M. K. Yau and I. Zawadzki
Recorded Presentation

9:30 AM
5.6
The Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX): Overview and Results from a Realtime Ensemble-Based Forecast System
Morris Weisman, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and G. Romine, C. Schwartz, and R. Sobash
Recorded Presentation

9:45 AM
5.7
Quality of the Target Area for Metrics with Different Strengths of Nonlinearity in a Mesoscale Convective Vortex
Ling Huang, Schoo of lPhysics , Peking University, Beijing, China; and Z. Meng
Recorded Presentation

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