We performed two high resolution (1250 m horizontal resolution) multiple-day simulations to investigate the break-up of a solid layer of stratocumulus with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model using the NCAR Cheyenne Supercomputer, and combined them with coincident measurements collected at the United States Department of Energy's Eastern ENA Climate Research Facility. The transition stratocumulus that we observed and simulated were found behind two summertime cold fronts over the Eastern North Atlantic (ENA). We analyzed the simulations in a Lagrangian framework to better understand the cloud life cycle. Overall, the simulations depict a stratocumulus breakup process that is consistent with the deepening-warming hypothesis and decoupling is identified as the key initial instigator of the break-up process. The simulations produced a range of cloud configurations associated with the transition region that are compared to similar cloud structures observed routinely in the summertime at the ENA site. Marine boundary layer depths simulated by WRF in the two runs were comparable to those that are measured in the region, as were the thermodynamic profiles that it produced. Hence, the simulations appear to bear a significant resemblance to reality.
Decoupling of the cloud layer from the surface supply of moisture and turbulent kinetic energy is known to be an important process in this region. It can be initiated by several mechanisms including solar radiation during the daytime, drizzle evaporating in the sub-cloud layer, or increases in the Lifting Condensation Level (LCL) height caused by warmer sea surface temperatures as the cloud advects southward toward the tropics. The simulations suggest a cloud layer erosion process that includes contributions from above and from below, and that the relative importance of these erosion processes depends critically upon the coupling state of the cloud layer. Erosion from below in the simulations was highly correlated with the latent heat flux at the surface and with the height of the LCL. Given the notable increase in the latent heat flux as the tracked columns advected south and an accompanying rise in the LCL, we concluded that warming from below was the likely perpetrator of the onset of decoupling. We also found that the onset of decoupling was characterized by variations in all variables in the column, especially the surface latent heat flux. Circumstantially, we concluded that the initiation of decoupling was stimulated by local surface variations in the latent heat flux and LCL.
We investigated several parametric relationships to determine the dynamic range that they produced across the transition from a solid deck of stratocumulus to broken cloud structure. Non-dimensional diagnostic parameters that used the LCL as the scaling depth produced a considerably greater dynamic range across the transition than any other parametric combination that we tested indicating that it is the most sensitive measure of the degree of decoupling, and coincidentally the likelihood of a transition. Viewed in the context of all results from our study, the key process that is implicated as the initial instigator of stratocumulus breakup into individual cloud elements in these simulations is the energy required to lift a parcel from the surface to the LCL.