Session 4 Advances in Model Technologies for High-Resolution S2S Predictions

Tuesday, 14 January 2020: 3:00 PM-4:00 PM
252B (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: Eighth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise
Cochairs:
Bradford Johnson, Trivector Services, Inc./NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD and Bonnie R. Brown, Trivector Services, Inc./NOAA/OAR, Silver Spring, MD

Ocean and land surface processes influence atmospheric predictability from weeks to two years. This session focuses on prediction improvements from advances in high-resolution, subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) models via improvements in modeling coastal ocean processes, ocean eddies, combinations of land-ice-air-ocean coupling techniques, transient Arctic/Antarctic ice, and vertical/horizontal atmospheric resolution, in addition to improvements to overall model skill and predictability via stochastic methods.

Papers:
3:00 PM
4.1
GEOS S2S Version 3: The New GMAO High-Resolution Seasonal Prediction System (Invited Presentation)
Andrea Molod, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, MD
Recorded Presentation

3:15 PM
4.2
Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Predictions with the Navy Global Coupled Model (Invited Presentation)
Neil P. Barton, NRL, Monterey, CA; and C. A. Reynolds, E. J. Metzger, J. G. Richman, W. Crawford, M. Flatau, P. Hogan, G. Jacobs, M. A. Janiga, J. McLay, J. Ridout, B. Ruston, T. R. Whitcomb, S. Frolov, and D. Eleuterio
Recorded Presentation

3:30 PM
4.3
Convective-Permitting Modeling for Retrospective Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Forecasting Using the Framework of the Coordinated Regional Ensemble Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) (Invited Presentation)
Christopher L. Castro, 100 Mosher Way, Palo Alto, CA; and H. I. Chang, M. S. Bukovsky, and A. F. Prein
Recorded Presentation

3:45 PM
4.4
High-Resolution and Ultra-High-Resolution Modeling in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) (Invited Presentation)
L. Ruby Leung, PNNL, Richland, WA; and D. C. Bader, P. Caldwell, and M. A. Taylor
Recorded Presentation

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