Session 3 Methods of Verification and Evaluation of Forecasts: Focus on High Impact

Monday, 13 January 2020: 2:00 PM-4:00 PM
260 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)
Host: 26th Conference on Probability and Statistics
Cochairs:
Tara Jensen, NCAR, Joint Numerical Testbed, Boulder, CO; Tanya R. Peevey, NOAA/ESRL/GSD and CSU/CIRA, Forecast Impact and Quality Assessment Section, Boulder, CO and Burkely T. Gallo, CIMMS/Univ. of Oklahoma and NOAA/NWS/SPC, Norman, OK

Papers:
2:00 PM
3.1
Streamlining Verification through the Enhanced Model Evaluation Tools (METplus)
Tara Jensen, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and J. H. Gotway, M. P. Row, B. Strong, J. Frimel, J. J. Levit, M. Win-Gildenmeister, and M. Marquis

2:45 PM
3.3
Evaluation of Convective Storm Attributes using Advanced Verification Techniques during HWT 2019
Christina P. Kalb, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and T. Jensen, B. T. Gallo, R. Adams-Selin, A. J. Clark, B. Roberts, P. S. Skinner, and C. R. Alexander

3:00 PM
3.4
The Impact of Radar Data Assimilation on Short-Term and Next-Day Thunderstorm Forecasts in the 2016 Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE)
Patrick S. Skinner, CIMMS, Norman, OK; NSSL, Norman, OK; and A. J. Clark, J. K. Wolff, T. Jensen, J. Halley Gotway, R. Bullock, and M. Xue

3:15 PM
3.5
Forecasting a Continuum of Environmental Threats (FACETs): Verification of the Tornado and Lightning Plumes
Ian Gesell, School of Meteorology, Norman, OK; CIMMS, Norman, OK; NSSL, Norman, OK; and K. M. Calhoun and H. E. Brooks

3:30 PM
3.6
Verifying the Performance of the Colorado Fire Prediction System
Amanda R. Siems-Anderson, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. DeCastro, B. Kosovic, P. Jimenez, D. Munoz-Esparza, and J. Knievel

3:45 PM
3.7
User-driven verification of tropical cyclone predictions
Barbara G. Brown, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and L. B. Nance and C. L. Williams

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