Session 4 Ensemble and Multi-Model Forecasting, Including Post-Processing and Decision Support

Tuesday, 14 January 2020: 8:30 AM-10:00 AM
260 (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Cochairs:
Andrew Geyer, Air Force Institute of Technology, Wright-Patterson AFB, OH; Johnna Infanti, NOAA, Climate Prediction Center/Innovim, LLC, College Park, MD and Elizabeth Satterfield, NRL, Monterey, CA
Papers:
8:30 AM
4.1
Multi-model Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Forecasting
Mark D. Powell, Risk Management Solutions, Tallahassee, FL; and M. E. Kozar

8:45 AM
4.2
Use of Mixture-Model Clustering to Inform Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasts
Alex M. Kowaleski, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA; and J. L. Evans

9:00 AM
4.3
Improving Meteorological Development Laboratory (MDL) Station-based Model Output Statistics (MOS) for Wind Speed and Wind Gust through Daily Bias Correction, Objective Weighting, and Blending
David E. Rudack, NOAA/NWS, Silver Spring, MD

9:15 AM
4.4
Regime Dependent Verification and Calibration of a 10-Member Convection-Permitting Ensemble during the 2019 HWT SFE
Soleil Cotterell, Georgetown University, Washington, DC; University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK; and A. Johnson and X. Wang

9:30 AM
4.5
An Exploration of the Analog Ensemble Search Space Extension and Spatio-Temporal Reconstruction.
Laura Clemente-Harding, Pennsylvania State Univ., State College, PA; Engineer Research and Development Center, Alexandria, VA; and G. S. Young, G. Cervone, W. Hu, S. E. Haupt, and L. Delle Monache

Abstract Submissions Closed



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