Session 3 Error Growth and Predictability Limits

Monday, 13 January 2020: 2:00 PM-3:45 PM
104C (Boston Convention and Exhibition Center)

Chair:
Carolyn Reynolds, NRL, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA
Papers:
2:00 PM
3.2
Impact of the Mesoscale Range on Error Growth and the Limits to Atmospheric Predictability
Tsz Yan Leung, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; and M. Leutbecher, S. Reich, and T. G. Shepherd

2:15 PM
3.3
Is Weather Chaotic? Coexistence of Chaos and Order within a Generalized Lorenz Model
Bo-Wen Shen, San Diego State University, San Diego, CA; and R. Pielke Sr., X. Zeng, J. J. Baik, T. Reyes, S. Faghih-Naini, R. Atlas, and J. Cui
Manuscript (7.3 MB)

2:30 PM
3.4
Moving Beyond State Variables to Enabling Underlying Physical Processes for Increased Predictability
James R. Stalker, RESPR, Inc., Tolland, CT

2:45 PM
3.6
Dynamical Ensembles: A Critical Assessment
Zoltan Toth, NOAA, Boulder, CO; and J. Feng and M. Peña

Abstract Submissions Closed



See more of: Fourth Symposium on Multiscale Predictability: Data-model Integration and Uncertainty Quantification for Weather, Climate and Earth System Monitoring and Prediction
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