23rd Conference on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/19th Conference on Numerical Weather Prediction

5B.4

Assessment of weather-related non-recurring congestion on Utah's highways: Investigation of event impacts from the winter of 2008-09'

Ralph Patterson, Utah Dept of Transportation, Salt Lake City, UT; and R. Graham, K. Barjenbruch, G. Blackwelder, B. Hansen, M. Holts, J. Miller, M. Seaman, J. Williams, and A. Yocom

Over the past several decades Utah has experienced rapid population growth including nearly a 24% increase between 2000 and 2008 alone. This has resulted in increased demand on Utah's existing interstate and arterial infrastructure. Recurring traffic congestion (i.e., AM/PM peak commute times) and non-recurring congestion (i.e., weather-related) result in an average annual cost of $250 million dollars in Utah alone. Recent Utah Dept of Transportation (UDOT) studies have confirmed that inclement weather plays a significant role in non-recurring congestion and associated negative impacts with respect to delays, mobility, productivity, and safety. It is important to note that one of the most cost effective solutions for mitigation of the congestion problem is driver habit modification.

In an effort to measure and potentially mitigate weather-related traffic congestion, a cooperative effort between federal (Salt Lake City National Weather Service), state (UDOT) and private sector (NorthWest Weathernet) entities is being undertaken. The project initiative is to develop mitigation strategies for non-recurring congestion associated with inclement weather. It is hoped that mitigation strategies can be developed which will influence driver behavior and, ultimately, reduce delays and congestion while at the same time minimizing accidents and the loss of productivity. To assist in this endeavor the UDOT Traffic Mobility Section will monitor driver behavior utilizing a complex network of 240 Traffic Monitoring Stations (TMS) along Utah's urban freeway system. Performance measures will be developed to assess the impact of weather on traffic patterns as well as whether or not mitigation strategies have any influence on driver behavior during storm events. UDOT's Weather Operations Section will employ the use of 55 Road Weather Information Systems (RWIS) as well as, plow driver observations, road condition forecasts and Traffic Operations Center (TOC) Operator reports to monitor and track the impact of weather on area roadways.

This presentation will compare and contrast several weather events which impacted commuters in the Salt Lake City area during the winter of 2008-09'. Measures such as average travel time between Traffic Monitoring Stations, average speed and productivity lost due to delays will be assessed. In addition, the use of enhanced societal impact wording in National Weather Service statements, as well as UDOT 511 and CommuterLink web reports and targeted news releases will be discussed. Finally, advisory and warning lead times will be investigated with respect to their possible influence on event impacts.

wrf recording  Recorded presentation

Session 5B, Societal Impacts of Weather Forecasts
Tuesday, 2 June 2009, 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, Grand Ballroom West

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