Session 4A |
| | Ensemble Forecasting Part I |
| | CoChair: Edward Bensman, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN
Chair: Carolyn A. Reynolds, NRL, Monterey, CA
|
| 4:00 PM | 4A.1 | AFWA's Joint Ensemble Forecast System Experiment  
Evan Kuchera, Air Force Weather Agency, Offutt AFB, NE; and T. Nobis, S. Rentschler, S. Rugg, J. Cunningham, J. Hughes, and M. Sittel |
| 4:15 PM | 4A.2 | The Air Force Weather Agency's mesoscale ensemble: scientific description and recent results
Joshua Hacker, NRL, CA; and C. Snyder, S. Ha, J. Schramm, M. Pocernich, and D. Dowell |
| 4:30 PM | 4A.3 | Representing Model Error in the AWFA Joint Mesoscale Ensemble by a Stochastic Kinetic Backscatter Scheme
Judith Berner, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and A. Fournier, S. Y. Ha, J. Hacker, and C. Snyder |
| 4:45 PM | 4A.4 | Recent upgrade of NCEP short-range ensemble forecast (SREF) system
Jun Du, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD; and G. Dimego, Z. Toth, D. Jovic, B. Zhou, J. Zhu, J. Wang, and H. Juang |
| 5:00 PM | 4A.5 | Upgrade of NCEP Global Ensemble Forecast System
Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth, R. Wobus, D. Hou, and B. Cui |
| 5:15 PM | 4A.6 | The impact of a stochastic perturbation scheme on hurricane prognosis in NCEP global ensemble forecast
Dingchen Hou, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/EMC and SAIC, Camp Springs, MD; and Z. Toth and Y. Zhu |