24th Conference on Severe Local Storms

Session 13A

 Ensemble Forecasts of Severe Weather
 Chair: Steven J. Weiss, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK
1:30 PM13A.1Utility of Short-Range Ensemble Forecast (SREF) guidance for forecasting the development of severe convection  extended abstract wrf recording
Jared L. Guyer, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK ; and D. R. Bright
1:45 PM13A.2Utilizing Short Range Ensemble Point Forecast Soundings for Severe Storms Forecasting  extended abstract wrf recording
Jason J. Levit, NOAA/NWS/NCEP/SPC, Norman, OK ; and J. Hart, R. S. Schneider, D. R. Bright, and R. L. Thompson
2:00 PM13A.3Using Short Range Ensemble Forecasts and High Resolution Model Guidance to Assess the Potential for Tornadoes across Southeast Virginia on 28 April 2008  extended abstract wrf recording
Josh Korotky, NOAA/NWS, Pittsburgh, PA; and R. Grumm
2:15 PM13A.4Ensemble forecasts of severe convective events during spring 2007: Improvements from surface data assimilation using an ensemble Kalman filter   wrf recording
David J. Stensrud, NOAA/NSSL, Norman, OK; and N. Yussouf and D. C. Dowell
2:30 PM13A.5Ensemble forecasts of severe convective storms   wrf recording
David C. Dowell, NCAR, Boulder, CO; and D. J. Stensrud
2:45 PM13A.6Toward improved convection-allowing ensembles: Model physics sensitivities and optimizing probabilistic guidance with small ensemble membership  extended abstract wrf recording
Craig S. Schwartz, School of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK ; and J. S. Kain, D. R. Bright, S. J. Weiss, M. Xue, F. Kong, J. J. Levit, M. C. Coniglio, and M. S. Wandishin

Wednesday, 29 October 2008: 1:30 PM-3:00 PM, North & Center Ballroom

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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