25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

10D.4

Sensitivity of modeled tropical cyclone track and structure of Hurricane Irene (1999) to the convective parameterization scheme

Barbara E. Prater, Penn State Univ., University Park, PA

The Betts-Miller and the Kain-Fritsch schemes are two of the many approaches to convective parameterization available to modelers. In the case of Hurricane Irene (1999), the choice of parameterization markedly impacted the modeled track and structure of the hurricane and its subsequent extratropical transition. Specifically, in model runs using Betts-Miller, Irene recurved too early, causing the storm to weaken over the cool open ocean, delaying its transition, and changing the character of the storm. The Kain-Fritsch scheme more accurately reproduced the track of Irene and, hence, its interaction with upper-level features that caused extratropical transition and post-transition intensification. The two parameterizations produce different characteristic vertical warming profiles; the differences in warming are related to the structural differences in the simulated storm, affecting the hurricane response to its environment.

extended abstract  Extended Abstract (180K)

Supplementary URL: http://www.angelfire.com/mi/cyndertobey/irene/index.html

Session 10D, Tropical Cyclone Simulation: Parameterizations and Numerics (Parallel with Sessions 10A, 10B, and 10C)
Wednesday, 1 May 2002, 2:00 PM-3:30 PM

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