27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology


Interannual variability of near-coastal eastern Pacific tropical cyclones

David S. Gutzler, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM; and E. A. Ritchie, A. V. Douglas, and M. D. Lewis

Interannual variability of tropical cyclones affecting the west coast of North America is shown to be modulated by the ENSO cycle and by Pacific decadal variability. More tropical storms affect the Pacific coast during La Niņa years (when equatorial Pacific Ocean temperature is anomalously cold) compared to El Niņo years, although previous research suggests that the overall number of Pacific tropical storms is not significantly related to the ENSO cycle. The difference between La Niņa and El Niņo years was particularly pronounced during the mid-20th Century epoch when cold equatorial temperatures were enhanced, as described by a standard index of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Composite sea level pressure maps of warm seasons with high and low landfall counts show that the SLP anomalies associated with the "cold" phase of ENSO and PDO are consistent with tropical storm tracks preferentially steered toward the west coast.

extended abstract  Extended Abstract (116K)

Poster Session 2, The North American Monsoon
Tuesday, 25 April 2006, 1:30 PM-5:00 PM, Monterey Grand Ballroom

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