27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Session 11A

 Tropical Cyclone Prediction V - Track
 Chair: Robert E. Tuleya, EMC, Norfolk, VA
8:00 AM11A.1Prediction of tropical cyclone track forecast error for Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma  extended abstract wrf recording
James S. Goerss, NRL, Monterey, CA
8:15 AM11A.2Sensitivity of tropical cyclone track forecasts to convective momentum transport in the NOGAPS Emanuel cumulus parameterization  extended abstract wrf recording
Timothy F. Hogan, NRL, Monterey, CA; and R. L. Pauley
8:30 AM11A.3The Impact of Dropsonde Data from DOTSTAR on Tropical Cyclone Track Forecasting  extended abstract wrf recording
Kun-Hsuan Chou, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; and C. C. Wu, P. H. Lin, S. Aberson, M. Peng, and T. Nakazawa
8:45 AM11A.4Improvement of tropical cyclone track forecasting using a model-constrained 3D-Var data assimilation scheme  
Xudong Liang, Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai, China; and B. Wang, J. Chan, Y. Duan, D. Wang, Z. Zeng, and L. Ma
9:00 AM11A.5Impact of AMSU and AMSR-E Measurements on Hurricane Prediction  extended abstract wrf recording
Tong Zhu, Colorado State Univ./CIRA at NOAA/NESDIS, Camp Springs, MD; and F. Weng, Q. Liu, and N. Surgi
9:15 AM11A.6Evaluation of causes of large 96-h and 120-h track errors in the western North Pacific  extended abstract wrf recording
Kathryn Anne Payne, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA; and R. M. Kehoe, M. A. Boothe, and R. L. Elsberry
9:30 AM11A.7An Experiment on the Impact of Initial Fields and Boundary Conditions on the Typhoon Track Simulation in the Northwest Pacific Ocean  extended abstract
Der-Song Chen, Central Weather Bureau, Taipei, Taiwan; and L. F. Hsiao, K. N. Huang, and T. C. Yeh
9:45 AM11A.8Tropical cyclone modeling in a probabilistic framework  extended abstract wrf recording
William E. Lewis, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI; and G. J. Tripoli

Thursday, 27 April 2006: 8:00 AM-10:00 AM, Regency Grand BR 4-6

* - Indicates paper has been withdrawn from meeting

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