462150 The climatology and temperature sensitivity of the snow-to-precipitation ratio based on satellite observations

Shangyong Shi, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD; and G. Liu and B. F. Zaitchik

Quantifying changes in the snow-to-precipitation (S/P) ratio in response to warming is crucial for evaluating changes in cryosphere and ecosystem, assessing impacts of natural hazards, and arranging proper water resources management. In this study, we examined the climatology and temperature sensitivity of the S/P ratio using snowfall estimates from CloudSat CPR and rainfall estimates from GPM DPR. Precipitation phase is classified using a recently published method based on atmospheric energies computed from ice-bulb temperature profiles.

By leveraging spatial and temporal analogs, we established a statistical relationship between the S/P ratio and temperature. We present the global climatological map of T50%—the temperature at which the S/P ratio reaches 50% as well as the maximum and current sensitivity of the S/P ratio to warming. These results are provided at a 1° × 1° resolution, covering latitudes up to 65°.

T50% stays between 1°C and 2°C including ocean grids, exceeds 5°C in high elevation regions, and is colder than 2°C in the eastern North America and west to mid Asia. The T50% is related to relative humidity (RH), elevation and temperature regimes. Additionally, the elevation variation within each 1° grid contributes to its spatial variability. In contrast, the maximum sensitivity remains relatively homogeneous over midlatitude continents and exhibits strong land-ocean contrast, where the average value is around -10%/°C over land and exceeds -25%/°C over ocean. Besides RH and elevation, both the annual temperature standard deviation and the snowfall season length affect maximum sensitivity.

A closer examination of temperature sensitivity reveals that latitudes between 40°N–60°N and around 60°S experience relatively high sensitivity (<-8%/°C and <-15%/°C, respectively) under current climatological conditions. If climatological temperatures continue to rise, regions north of 50°N, south of 60°S, and the Tibetan Plateau will see an accelerated decline in the S/P ratio per 1°C of warming, exhibiting a stronger sensitivity.

Our results provide the climatology of the S/P ratio and highlight the spatial variability of the phase transition temperature and S/P ratio temperature sensitivity, providing valuable insights for improving model parameterizations and enhancing the representation of precipitation phase partitioning in large-scale applications.

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