P2A.14
Analysis of environmental factors associated with tropical cyclone activity in a future climate
Kevin Talgo, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC; and A. Aiyyer
Tropical cyclones (TCs) are one of the most destructive natural phenomena
and impact a significant portion of the world's population. A major
problem, that has been well recognized, is the potential for
increased vulnerability of coastal areas in a warmer climate.
Since the large scale environment exerts a strong control over
TC development, it is of particular importance to assess the
changes in the environmental factors as predicted by climate
models.
In this study, data from a suite of coupled climate models spanning
several scenarios are analyzed and spatio-temporal patterns of
environmental conditions of importance to TC development are
examined. The model outputs are compared and contrasted in order
to ascertain the range of predicted changes. Both, common elements
and model-to-model discrepancies are studied in order to assess
the potential skill and uncertainty in predictions for TC activity
in a future climate.
Poster Session 2A, Poster Session Hurricanes and Climate
Thursday, 1 May 2008, 3:30 PM-5:00 PM, Palms ABCD
Previous paper Next paper