29th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

4A.7

Application of scale-selective data assimilation to seasonal simulation of tropical cyclones

Shiqiu Peng, South China Sea Institute of Oceanology, Guangzhou, China

To improve the seasonal simulation of tropical cyclones, large-scale wind components from global analysis or forecasting are ingested into a regional forecasting model using a scale-selective data assimilation scheme. This scale-selective data assimilation scheme involves a low-passed filter and a 3-dimensional variational data assimilation approach. The low-passed filter is used to perform the scale separation of the wind components from the global analysis/forecasting as well as the regional model forecast. Then the large-scale wind components from the global analysis/forecasting are assimilated into the regional forecast model using 3-dimensional variational data assimilation method. This scheme is applied to a case study of summer 2005 over the regions of the Atlantic and the eastern US. The results show that the assimilation of large-scale wind components from the global GFS reanalysis improves the large-scale environmental circulation and leads to a more accurate seasonal simulation of tropical cyclones.

Keywords: Scale-selective Data Assimilation, Tropical Cyclones, Global Model, Regional Climate Model, Seasonal Simulation

Session 4A, Tropical Cyclones and Climate: Modeling Studies
Monday, 10 May 2010, 3:30 PM-5:15 PM, Arizona Ballroom 6

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