Assessing the predictability of tropical cyclone rapid intensification as a function of forecast lead-time using the SHIPS rapid intensification index

John Kaplan, NOAA/AOML/HRD, Miami, FL; and C. M. Rozoff, C. R. Sampson, J. P. Kossin, C. S. Velden, M. DeMaria, and J. A. Knaff