Session 6 |
| | Weather and Forecasting I |
| 1:30 PM | | Plenary Talk
|
| 2:00 PM | 6.2 | Transient eddy forcing of the Southern Hemisphere annular mode variability: Results from NCEP-DOE Reanalysis and a quasi-linear model 
Harun A. Rashid, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia; and I. Simmonds |
| 2:15 PM | 6.3 | Influence of midlatitude circulation characteristics on extratropical transition in the southwest Pacific Ocean
Mark R. Sinclair, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Prescott, AZ |
| 2:30 PM | 6.4 | Conceptual models of synoptic-scale cyclones in the New Zealand – Australia area
Peter V. Kreft, Meteorological Service of New Zealand Limited, Wellington, New Zealand; and M. A. Schwarz, G. H. Thompson, and C. S. Webster |
| 2:45 PM | 6.5 | Climatology of the South American cold fronts
Iracema F. A. Cavalcanti, CPTEC/INPE, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil; and V. E. Kousky |
| 3:00 PM | | Coffee Break
|
| 3:30 PM | 6.6 | Ocean heat content as a lower boundary condition for numerical weather prediction models
Kevin J.E. Walsh, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Vic., Australia |
| 3:45 PM | 6.7 | A potential vorticity view of Southern Hemisphere blocking
Stewart C. R. Allen, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia; and D. J. Karoly and M. J. Reeder |
| 4:00 PM | 6.8 | Interaction between Diffluence and Potential Vorticity in Southern Hemisphere Blocking Cases
Li Dong, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY; and S. J. Colucci |
| 4:15 PM | 6.9 | An operational Definition of El Niño
Phillip A. Reid, Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Vic, Australia |
| 4:30 PM | 6.10 | Improved skill of ENSO coupled model probability forecasts by Bayesian combination with empirical forecasts
Caio A. S. Coelho, University of Reading and ECMWF, Reading, Berks, United Kingdom; and S. Pezzulli, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, and D. B. Stephenson |
| 4:45 PM | 6.11 | Forecast of the October-December 2002 Atmospheric Circulation, Using the UCLA-AGCM and the NCEP forecasted TP-SST, combined with a statistical downscaling to estimate Oct-Dec/02 Precipitation in regions of Uruguay and Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil)
Gabriel Cazes, Universidad de la Republica, Montevideo, Uruguay; and G. Pisciottano |