1.1
Global Weather Services in 2025—a Five-Year Update
Richard Anthes, UCAR, Boulder, CO
“By 2025 the data problem for weather prediction will be solved. Observational errors as we know them today will have been eliminated. Global weather prediction models with 1 km horizontal resolution will have reached the theoretical limits of predictability theory. Numerical predictions in the 0-2 day time frame will be essentially perfect. One week forecasts will be as accurate as 2-3 day forecasts are today. Weather information will be hundreds of times more useful to society than today and at less cost per person.”
I made the above “predictions” in my 1999 presentation Global Weather Services in 2025. It is now 5 years into this 26-year forecast, and my talk evaluates how my quarter-century forecast is verifying (and not verifying) and updates it as appropriate, giving examples of recent progress in the areas of observations, scientific advances and modeling.
Session 1, Keynote Session (ROOM 6B)
Monday, 12 January 2004, 9:00 AM-10:15 AM, Room 6B
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