The Fred Sanders Symposium

P1.7

The impact of tropical remnants on extratropical cyclogenesis: case study of hurricanes Danielle and Earl (1998)

Ron McTaggart-Cowan, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada; and J. Gyakum and M. K. Yau

The importance of remnant tropical cyclone (TC) circulation and moisture structures is investigated for a simultaneous extratropical transition (ET) event involving ex-hurricanes Danielle and Earl (September 1998). Although both storms undergo prolonged periods of reintensification following ET, the forcings involved in each of their redevelopment processes differ fundamentally. A review of the tropical and baroclinic ET modes in the North Atlantic stresses the importance of jet/front structures to the nature of the reintensification process.

The two elements of the remnant TCs considered here are circulation and moisture. Potential vorticity-based modifications are made to the initial atmospheric state of the Mesoscale Compressible Community model in order to remove either one or both of these possible cyclogenetic forcings. The resulting set of sensitivity tests is analyzed in terms of system intensity and structure. It is found that the tropical mode reintensification (ex-hurricane Danielle) process requires the presence of the remnant's circulation and moisture for rapid redevelopment. However, the baroclinic mode transition studied (ex-hurricane Earl) is remarkably insensitive to the removal of the ex-tropical vorticity and moisture structures of the TC remnant.

Poster Session 1, General Poster Session (Hall 4AB)
Monday, 12 January 2004, 2:30 PM-4:00 PM, Hall 4AB

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