To address these issues, we build upon our earlier work, the implementation of an operational testbed, dubbed "Deep Thunder". This protoype provides nested 24-hour forecasts for the New York City metropolitan area to 1 km resolution, which are updated twice daily. The work began with building a capability sufficient for operational use. In particular, the goal is to provide weather forecasts at a level of precision and fast enough to address specific business problems. Hence, the focus has been on high-performance computing, visualization, and automation while designing, evaluating and optimizing an integrated system that includes receiving and processing data, modelling, and post-processing analysis and dissemination. Part of the rationale for this focus is practicality. Given the time-critical nature of weather-sensitive btransportation operations, if the weather prediction can not be completed fast enough, then it has no value. Such predictive simulations need to be completed at least an order of magnitude faster than real-time. But rapid computation is insufficient if the results can not be easily and quickly utilized. Thus, a variety of fixed and highly interactive flexible visualizations have also been implemented, including ones focused on support of operational decision making in transportation.
The concept behind Deep Thunder in this context is clearly to be complementary to what the National Weather Service (NWS) does and to leverage their investment in making data, both observations and models, available. It is therefore also complementary to the deployment of Road Weather Information System (RWIS) stations by state highway administrations to monitor real-time weather conditions along roads. The idea, however, is to have highly focused modelling by geography with a greater level of precision and detail than what is ordinariliy available. Hence, we will review our particular architectural approach and implementation as well as the justification and implications for various design choices. Then we will outline how this approach enabled customization for problems associated with transportation applications as well as discuss the specific customizations. Finally, we will present some results concerning the effectiveness of such modelling capabilities for these applications.
Supplementary URL: http://www.research.ibm.com/weather/DT.html