This forecasting approach employs available "climatological" approximations, which are driven by the period-specific or "weather-scale" drivers, as a continuous feed for the ionospheric model. The validity and limitations of such approach are investigated in this research. Ongoing year-long massive scale (100,000+ of all cases) comparisons of the EPPIM-predicted critical plasma frequencies with the ionosondes' network measurements demonstrated that the approach forecasting accuracy is in the range of 30-70% for the day-side solar maximum winter ionosphere. Summer comparisons generally improve the statistical agreement up to 15% or even better for some locations. Night-side comparisons reveal systematic statistical bios of the model, which provided information for the empirical model corrections.
An experience of transfer of the research model to operational capability is described. Organization of the continuous WWW-based run is discussed, particularly a dynamic shift of the model time to accommodate the solar wind delay from the L1 sampling point while propagating toward the Earth. Research program for the next tier of comparisons and validations includes elements of the adaptive schemes and has an emphasis on the real-time data utilization when available. Such massive statistical validations contributes to a formulated goal of the National Space Weather Program of establishing the currently achieved capabilities in the polar ionospheric modeling and sets a target for possible improvements.
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